2016 Postmortem

ffr

(22,671 posts) Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:26 PM Oct 2016

Early voting numbers surge in Harris County (Houston, TX) - Houston Chronicle

October 28, 2016 Updated: October 28, 2016 7:19pm

Harris County residents cast more ballots in the first four days of early voting than five states did in the entire 2012 presidential election.

Locally, the number of ballots cast over those days was 45 percent higher than the same period four years ago. Other parts of the state, which sported the nation's lowest turnout in 2014, have seen similar growth.

Now, the question is, will it continue? If it does, Harris County could see close to one million people – almost half the county's registered voters – cast ballots before election day.
<snip>

- Houston Chronicle

I love seeing people excited to vote for democrats! My kind of peeps!

20 replies

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Early voting numbers surge in Harris County (Houston, TX) - Houston Chronicle (Original Post) ffr Oct 2016 OP

That's great, considering TX usually has low voter turnout. LisaL Oct 2016 #1

The Devil is in the details ffr Oct 2016 #2

Do we know they're all Dems? babylonsister Oct 2016 #3

Heavy voter turnout is a leading indicator of democratic turnout. ffr Oct 2016 #5

Could also be republicans voting in large numbers because they are scared election in TX is close. LisaL Oct 2016 #7

Not a chance. This is Harris County. You'll see. Scan the story. ffr Oct 2016 #8

I know what Harris county is. LisaL Oct 2016 #10

And here's the graph showing how 2012 compares to 2016 ffr Oct 2016 #13

Which shows more people voted. It doesn't show how they voted. LisaL Oct 2016 #14

Houston is changing. texanwitch Oct 2016 #15

Of course they are not all Dems. LisaL Oct 2016 #6

Found you! Pinkflamingo Oct 2016 #9

Just saw that Nevada's Washoe County Dems won EV again today! ffr Oct 2016 #4

My county. texanwitch Oct 2016 #11

Go rock that vote!!! ffr Oct 2016 #12

Working on more. texanwitch Oct 2016 #16

Even better! ffr Oct 2016 #17

One person is young woman and this will be her first time to vote for a President. texanwitch Oct 2016 #18

They can wear blue. No law against it. ffr Oct 2016 #19

I am wearing blue. texanwitch Oct 2016 #20

LisaL

(44,974 posts)

1. That's great, considering TX usually has low voter turnout.

Reply to ffr (Original post)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:29 PM

Oct 2016

ffr

(22,671 posts)

2. The Devil is in the details

Reply to LisaL (Reply #1)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:32 PM

Oct 2016

"The first four days looked pretty good for local Democrats," said Murray, who has studied Harris County voting patterns since 1966. "More female, more ethnic, less Caucasian."

The county's turnout so far has been 57 percent female, Murray said, compared with the typical 54 percent, which he called "probably something of a Trump effect."

From that report

babylonsister

(171,076 posts)

3. Do we know they're all Dems?

Reply to ffr (Original post)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:33 PM

Oct 2016

I lived in Harris County for 15+ years; the turnout is great news!

ffr

(22,671 posts)

5. Heavy voter turnout is a leading indicator of democratic turnout.

Reply to babylonsister (Reply #3)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:35 PM

Oct 2016

Something's up in Texas.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)

7. Could also be republicans voting in large numbers because they are scared election in TX is close.

Reply to ffr (Reply #5)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:36 PM

Oct 2016

ffr

(22,671 posts)

8. Not a chance. This is Harris County. You'll see. Scan the story.

Reply to LisaL (Reply #7)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:37 PM

Oct 2016

LisaL

(44,974 posts)

10. I know what Harris county is.

Reply to ffr (Reply #8)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:40 PM

Oct 2016

Obama barely won it in 2012. Barely.
Here is the result:
B. Obama (i) Dem 49.4% 585,451
M. Romney GOP 49.3% 584,866

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/results/president/texas/

ffr

(22,671 posts)

13. And here's the graph showing how 2012 compares to 2016

Reply to LisaL (Reply #10)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:43 PM

Oct 2016

LisaL

(44,974 posts)

14. Which shows more people voted. It doesn't show how they voted.

Reply to ffr (Reply #13)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:45 PM

Oct 2016

If this was heavily democratic county, one could think Hillary is pulling big numbers there. But county is almost evenly split based on past voting history.

texanwitch

(18,705 posts)

15. Houston is changing.

Reply to LisaL (Reply #10)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:48 PM

Oct 2016

Inside the 610 Loop lots of townhouses now instead of single family homes.

The old inner city neighborhoods are being tore down.
The old neighborhoods were blue collar and democratic.

I don't know how the vote will be now.

Lots of none Texans moving in from everywhere.

This election will tell us a lot.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)

6. Of course they are not all Dems.

Reply to babylonsister (Reply #3)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:36 PM

Oct 2016

Harris county is blue, but barely. Obama won it by 0.1% in 2012. I think its great people are voting. But lets not fool ourselves into thinking they are all democrats.

Pinkflamingo

(177 posts)

9. Found you!

Reply to babylonsister (Reply #3)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:39 PM

Oct 2016

You said you'd be here!

ffr

(22,671 posts)

4. Just saw that Nevada's Washoe County Dems won EV again today!

Reply to ffr (Original post)

Fri Oct 28, 2016, 09:34 PM

Oct 2016

Not by much, but they're beating 2012 numbers. I'll have today's state results posted in about 3 hours, when Clark County's (Las Vegas) numbers come in.

Nervously excited!