2016 Postmortem

ffr

(22,671 posts) Sat Oct 29, 2016, 01:07 AM Oct 2016

#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 6TH day. Dems lead by > 31,500 EV, 44% to 36%

Last edited Sat Oct 29, 2016, 01:52 AM - Edit history (1)

10:00 PM PST Hillary For America added at least 6,000 EV to her NV firewall, which I find strange. I'm trying to figure out where the SoS office invented this many, since Clark only added 3,500 gross. Also, the SoS PDF is off by 1 vote.

Washoe County Dems are keeping pace, winning by 20 and performing far better than 2012. As of this moment, HRC has a net lead of ~32,014 EV after six days of heavy voter turnout, less a few red counties that will appear in tomorrow's SoS report.

No other news source has these numbers. When the SoS reports statewide figures tomorrow, the total EV lead should close to what is listed in the title.

Democratic GOTV surges FORWARD TOGETHER.

Statewide EV (ballots & absentee)
Total: 376,937
Dems: 166,017
Reps: 134,003
Other: 79,918

Percentages
Dems: 44.0%
Reps: 35.6%
Other: 20.4%

Nevada SoS PDF <here>
Washoe County & Clark County elections results also included.

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5 replies

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#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 6TH day. Dems lead by > 31,500 EV, 44% to 36% (Original Post) ffr Oct 2016 OP

Better turnout in Clark than Thursday Awsi Dooger Oct 2016 #1

Clark's raw numbers are as follows. 2012 was 6,000 net gain. ffr Oct 2016 #3

Obama carried Nevada by nearly 7% in 2012 Awsi Dooger Oct 2016 #5

Dec 1969 #

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

1. Better turnout in Clark than Thursday

Reply to ffr (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 01:21 AM

Oct 2016

Overall a positive day in Nevada.

Trump has a rally Sunday at the Venetian, which is owned by Sheldon Adelson. Estimates of 5000 to 10,000 attendees. We need to continue to prioritize Nevada because the electoral math changes wildly depending which way it falls.

ffr

(22,671 posts)

3. Clark's raw numbers are as follows. 2012 was 6,000 net gain.

Reply to Awsi Dooger (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 01:59 AM

Oct 2016

Total: 32,672
Dems: 14,574
Reps: 10,955
Other: 7,143

2016 Net gain - 3,639
Dems won Clark by 3,619
Dems won Washoe by 20

If we're going to stop creepy Donald and his 'when can we begin nuking people' ideology, we're going to need more, much much more.

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

5. Obama carried Nevada by nearly 7% in 2012

Reply to ffr (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 02:57 AM

Oct 2016

I'm looking at margin needed to win, not necessarily to match Obama's 2012 result.

To carry the senate race we'd likely need something like Obama 2012 margin.

I agree that independents are difficult to project this year. Those percentages have been moving in Trump's favor, at least according to national polls.

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