2016 Postmortem

TomCADem

(17,390 posts) Sat Oct 29, 2016, 05:49 PM Oct 2016

Trump Is Coming Back in Polls Because Too Many People Are Afraid To Take a Stand

Here is Trump just freely lying and pushing conspiracy theory after conspiracy theory:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/29/politics/donald-trump-fbi-doj-corruption-james-comey-hillary-clinton-emails/index.html

In the closing weeks, the media has once again taken to giving Trump softball interviews, including this one by Mark Halperin who himself chastised other journalists for refusing to press Trump on his failure to disclose his tax returns:

http://mediamatters.org/blog/2016/10/28/mark-halperin-s-donald-trump-interview-even-fails-mark-halperin-test/214179

Finally, putting party over country, the GOP has stood by even as Trump has cozied up to Russia even when they themselves have said that Russia has taken an active role in trying to influence the election.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/mike-mccaul-trump-russia-hacks-230286

This is how we descend into facism. When people are afraid and intimidated to do what is right.

4 replies

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Highlight:

Trump Is Coming Back in Polls Because Too Many People Are Afraid To Take a Stand (Original Post) TomCADem Oct 2016 OP

For all the acid thrown at Star Wars DonCoquixote Oct 2016 #1

Even corporate media knows he is toast but they love to keep the appearance of Iliyah Oct 2016 #2

Ain't happening....bookies are not changing the odds beachbumbob Oct 2016 #3

bs - the polls don't measure it yet... getagrip_already Oct 2016 #4

DonCoquixote

(13,616 posts)

1. For all the acid thrown at Star Wars

Reply to TomCADem (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 05:52 PM

Oct 2016

There is a line that fits: "this is how democracy ends, to thunderous applause!"

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)

2. Even corporate media knows he is toast but they love to keep the appearance of

Reply to TomCADem (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 05:56 PM

Oct 2016

a close election. Yawn

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

3. Ain't happening....bookies are not changing the odds

Reply to TomCADem (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 06:04 PM

Oct 2016

getagrip_already

(14,795 posts)

4. bs - the polls don't measure it yet...

Reply to TomCADem (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 06:04 PM

Oct 2016

I'm sure there are some instant internet polls, but those are hardly scientific. They are like the polls Trump quotes after the debates.

You need to wait a couple of more days to see if there is an effect.

Also, look back at past elections. Polls always converge towards election day, and always near unity.

Why? Pollsters intentionally adjust them to do that. They don't want to be an outlier when people look back and rate pollsters. So they figure most elections end close, so they just target a winner by 2-3 points, just inside the margin of error.

Internal campaign data doesn't do that. Look to the campaign data, not the public. You won't be shown it directly, so you have to read tea leaves.

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