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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:37 PM Oct 2016

Early Voting has pretty much already locked in a Clinton victory in NV

So here's how daunting it is for Donald Trump right now in Nevada, with six days left in early/mail voting, which is usually 60 percent or so of all votes cast:

If you assume he and Hillary Clinton get 90 percent of their bases (and almost no poll shows Trump doing that well), and she loses indies by 20 points (and most here show her up with indies) she STILL wins the state by 2 points.

Let's suppose Republicans end up coalescing and he gets 90 percent and she gets only 80 percent of Democrats -- a highly unlikely scenario, to put it mildly -- he would still need to win indies by at least 10 points to win the state.

That is what the nearly 90,000-voter registration edge does for the Democrats in Nevada -- if they have their usual turnout, it's almost impossible for Trump to win.
http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

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Early Voting has pretty much already locked in a Clinton victory in NV (Original Post) Godhumor Oct 2016 OP
Huh, thought this would have a bit more of a look-see n/t Godhumor Oct 2016 #1
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