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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTargetSmart/William & Mary Release Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters (LINK)
https://www.scribd.com/document/329698329/TargetSmart-William-Mary-Florida-Poll-of-Early-and-Likely-Voters
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TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters (LINK) (Original Post)
AmericanMan1958
Nov 2016
OP
kevin881
(465 posts)1. This is great, thanks.
TeamPooka
(24,248 posts)2. The Targetsmart CEO is on Lawrence O'Donnell saying 28% of GOP early voters in FL voting for H
Hillary!
Wow.
madamesilverspurs
(15,806 posts)3. Hmmm...
Other than the letter, everything else at the link is unreadable.
??
.
AmericanMan1958
(520 posts)4. Mine link is working fine!!
Jarqui
(10,130 posts)5. If this is true
https://www.scribd.com/document/329698329/TargetSmart-William-Mary-Florida-Poll-of-Early-and-Likely-Voters
To win, if the electorate grows a record tying 27% as it did in 2004, Trump would have to win 51% of of the remaining votes to Clinton's 42%. That's a pretty tall order.
Ignore the good news. Don't trust anything with this racist animal lurking.
GOTV.
As of the morning of November 1st , 2016, TargetSmart tracks that 3,695,359 people have already cast their votes in Florida. Leveraging TargetSmarts proprietary voter file - that is updated daily through the early voting window - this poll reached a significant number of voters who have already participated. Among those early voters (who were asked which candidate they had voted for), Clinton outpaces Trump by a 17-point margin, 55 to 38 percent.
To win, if the electorate grows a record tying 27% as it did in 2004, Trump would have to win 51% of of the remaining votes to Clinton's 42%. That's a pretty tall order.
Ignore the good news. Don't trust anything with this racist animal lurking.
GOTV.
GOTV... It ain't over till it is over!!
BainsBane
(53,056 posts)7. The guy is on Lawrence O'Donnel now
8 percent ahead for Clinton, and she is winning 28% of registered Republicans. Trump winning only 6% of registered Dems. That 8% is a combination of those who have already voted and have yet to vote.
Does this ever make me feel a lot better.
DURHAM D
(32,611 posts)8. I would love to know what percentage of
the Republican cross-overs are female. I assume they have that data and maybe someone will post it.
BainsBane
(53,056 posts)9. That should be in the full report released tomorrow
A lot of those Republicans are almost certainly Cuban Americans as well.