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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMoody's analytics projects big win for Clinton. Moodys has always been accurate
in its presidential prediction since 1980
of course we have allan lichtman who predicts trump, and says he has been right since 1984
I will take Moodys
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Moody's analytics projects big win for Clinton. Moodys has always been accurate (Original Post)
still_one
Nov 2016
OP
tavernier
(12,396 posts)1. Lichtman said there is a major variable this year.
that could very well throw a monkey wrench into his normal calculations. It's called Trump.
duffyduff
(3,251 posts)3. Two variables: Trump and women.
Millions of GOP women will cross over this year to vote for the first woman president in American history.
still_one
(92,372 posts)7. escape clause
TrekLuver
(2,573 posts)2. Moody's ain't no slouch...I'm with Moody's
Cosmocat
(14,568 posts)4. Watching on LOD
Agree their history is good, but the have Hill winning Ohio, which is a stretch.
Zynx
(21,328 posts)6. I don't know. There hasn't been much polling out of Ohio.
major debacle
(508 posts)5. Was gonna post this
Instead I will bump yours
oasis
(49,401 posts)8. Allan Lichtman's arrived at a Trump victory through dopey methodology.
I'll take Moody.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)10. His system should take into account the quality of the candidates.
oasis
(49,401 posts)11. Exactamundo, and Trump has tepid support from establishment GOP.
Lichtman at least got his face on teevee.