2016 Postmortem

democrattotheend

(11,607 posts) Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:46 PM Nov 2016

IOWA: Clinton 44 Trump 43 (Loras College)

Don't know anything about this pollster but it was a live interviewer poll of 500, conducted 11/1-11/3.

Hillary Clinton 44 percent
Donald Trump 43 percent
Gary Johnson 3 percent
Jill Stein 3 percent
Undecided 7 percent

http://www.loras.edu/news/clinton-trump-tight-race-iowa-grassley-young-blum-leads-loras-college-poll-finds/

20 replies

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***IOWA: Clinton 44 Trump 43 (Loras College)*** (Original Post) democrattotheend Nov 2016 OP

Niiiice :) jcgoldie Nov 2016 #1

Anyone have updates on early vote totals there? triron Nov 2016 #2

Wouldn't be surprised if this drives her winning percentage down on 538 lol qdouble Nov 2016 #3

He adjusted it down to a tie. vdogg Nov 2016 #8

Seems to me that he's just hedging his bet at this point. qdouble Nov 2016 #10

To be Fair, Silver Has ADMITTED to Being Overly Conservative kebob Nov 2016 #12

Who can possibly be undecided at this point? BSdetect Nov 2016 #4

I talked to an undecided R voter: here's what he said: emulatorloo Nov 2016 #9

Show him the article that came out. Share info and ask him to send you his info. DLCWIdem Nov 2016 #17

a ray of hope. riversedge Nov 2016 #19

I think most of those people mean "I'm not voting" TrekLuver Nov 2016 #18

Iowa! DCBob Nov 2016 #5

Third party is collapsing in HRC's favor, great. Stein is not getting 3%. Foggyhill Nov 2016 #6

Hoping this fires up IA dems and GOTV!!! Democrats Ascendant Nov 2016 #7

Drumpf needs shoring up all over workinclasszero Nov 2016 #11

I know 5 republicans in Iowa. madaboutharry Nov 2016 #13

Trump was never going to win Iowa nevergiveup Nov 2016 #14

Did 20 GOTV calls today to Iowa (from NM) triron Nov 2016 #15

Crosstabs show more triron Nov 2016 #20

jcgoldie

(11,651 posts)

1. Niiiice :)

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:47 PM

Nov 2016

Perhaps some folks are coming to their senses when they contemplate what a vote for cheeto would really mean.

triron

(22,023 posts)

2. Anyone have updates on early vote totals there?

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:50 PM

Nov 2016

qdouble

(891 posts)

3. Wouldn't be surprised if this drives her winning percentage down on 538 lol

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:51 PM

Nov 2016

But definitely a good poll. It appears momentum is swinging back in Hillary's direction.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)

8. He adjusted it down to a tie.

Reply to qdouble (Reply #3)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:58 PM

Nov 2016

I shit you not.

qdouble

(891 posts)

10. Seems to me that he's just hedging his bet at this point.

Reply to vdogg (Reply #8)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:04 PM

Nov 2016

If he only has Clinton at 55-65% and she wins on Election day, he can still claim he was right. Hopefully some state results will expose that he's being overly conservative.

kebob

(499 posts)

12. To be Fair, Silver Has ADMITTED to Being Overly Conservative

Reply to qdouble (Reply #10)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:10 PM

Nov 2016

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-why-our-model-is-more-bullish-than-others-on-trump/

BSdetect

(8,999 posts)

4. Who can possibly be undecided at this point?

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:54 PM

Nov 2016

It defies explanation.

Beam me up Scotty!

emulatorloo

(44,188 posts)

9. I talked to an undecided R voter: here's what he said:

Reply to BSdetect (Reply #4)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:04 PM

Nov 2016

"Trump is a douchebag, but Clinton has been proven to be Corrupt"

When I gently pushed back on the "proven Corrupt"/bogus investigations and said that she is fundamentally honest with a great record of service, he cut me off.

He did say he would keep an open mind so ...

DLCWIdem

(1,580 posts)

17. Show him the article that came out. Share info and ask him to send you his info.

Reply to emulatorloo (Reply #9)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:49 PM

Nov 2016

That article written by the reporter who knows N.Y.. That article also stated why those FBI agents started their vendetta Eric Gardner

riversedge

(70,311 posts)

19. a ray of hope.

Reply to emulatorloo (Reply #9)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:53 PM

Nov 2016

TrekLuver

(2,573 posts)

18. I think most of those people mean "I'm not voting"

Reply to BSdetect (Reply #4)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:51 PM

Nov 2016

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

5. Iowa!

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:55 PM

Nov 2016

Trump heartland!

Foggyhill

(1,060 posts)

6. Third party is collapsing in HRC's favor, great. Stein is not getting 3%.

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:57 PM

Nov 2016

Democrats Ascendant

(601 posts)

7. Hoping this fires up IA dems and GOTV!!!

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:57 PM

Nov 2016

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

11. Drumpf needs shoring up all over

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:05 PM

Nov 2016

To bad he has no ground game.

madaboutharry

(40,224 posts)

13. I know 5 republicans in Iowa.

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:22 PM

Nov 2016

5 people who have always voted for the republican presidential nominee. ONLY ONE is voting for Trump. One is voting for Hillary, two aren't voting, one is voting for Gary Johnson.

So there you have it. My personal poll, fwiw.

nevergiveup

(4,764 posts)

14. Trump was never going to win Iowa

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:25 PM

Nov 2016

There is a reason you didn't see any big Democratic names campaigning there. Iowa loves Obama but he didn't show. What do you want to bet that internal polling always showed Hillary in the lead there?

triron

(22,023 posts)

15. Did 20 GOTV calls today to Iowa (from NM)

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:42 PM

Nov 2016

Onlly one person answered but person wasn't home. Rest were voicemail.
Have a feeling no one wants to be bothered.
Discouraging.

triron

(22,023 posts)

20. Crosstabs show more

Reply to democrattotheend (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 02:00 PM

Nov 2016

repubs than dems surveyed.

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