2016 Postmortem

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts) Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:48 PM Nov 2016

Clinton Above 70% On 538 Again

Trying to save face Mr. Silver?

22 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Clinton Above 70% On 538 Again (Original Post) Doctor Jack Nov 2016 OP

And Michigan Lefthacker Nov 2016 #1

I hate it when prognosticators are wrong for an entire campaign then at the last second change aaaaaa5a Nov 2016 #4

He no longer needs to justify his existence/$$$ to ESPN?... Princess Turandot Nov 2016 #10

I go from confident to anxious on an hourly basis MelSC Nov 2016 #15

Just in time for Nate to later say, "I was 50 for 50 again!" Buckeye_Democrat Nov 2016 #16

Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2016 #20

Oh oh! Lefthacker Nov 2016 #21

Well Lefthacker Nov 2016 #22

Dec 1969 #

Lefthacker

(264 posts)

1. And Michigan

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:51 PM

Nov 2016

Turned darker blue. I feel so much better. 538 improved her win probability there as well! Hell yes!

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)

4. I hate it when prognosticators are wrong for an entire campaign then at the last second change

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:52 PM

Nov 2016

their numbers or projections so they can be credited with scoring the race correctly.

A lot of pollsters do this. Especially right wing pollsters (See the Rasmussen number today.)

Sadly, I can now add Nate Silver to this group.

Princess Turandot

(4,787 posts)

10. He no longer needs to justify his existence/$$$ to ESPN?...

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:57 PM

Nov 2016

....via the page views of agitated Dems?

MelSC

(256 posts)

15. I go from confident to anxious on an hourly basis

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:07 PM

Nov 2016

I have already voted but I pray we win. I can't have Trump as my President...CANNOT!

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,855 posts)

16. Just in time for Nate to later say, "I was 50 for 50 again!"

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:10 PM

Nov 2016

That's the map that seems to be the overall consensus among many forecasting sites, assuming the NYT's table of forecasts is up to date. See the lower part of the page here: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

I'll stick with the consensus and predict Hillary wins the electoral college, 322 to 216.

I WANT her to win Ohio too, but I'll predict that Trump barely wins this state.

Response to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Name removed Message auto-removed

Lefthacker

(264 posts)

21. Oh oh!

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:24 PM

Nov 2016

538 site just went down!

Lefthacker

(264 posts)

22. Well

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:25 PM

Nov 2016

That was fast, it's back up.

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