2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRCP model HRC 272 - Trump 266. No this won't happen. Please read before criticize me.
Before people start bashing me on why I would post this, I just wanted to display RCP EC model as of ~12 am EST on 11/8 (election day). I wanted to see if their state model adjusted after election day. I have seen them adjust their number 4 years ago, but didn't record their numbers last time. I wanted at least mark them down this time and prove that they adjusted their numbers to make their site seem more accurate.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html
STATE CLINTON - TRUMP RCP AVERAGE
Florida (29): 46.4 - 46.6 Trump +0.2
Maine CD2 (1): 41.0 - 41.5 Trump +0.5
New Hampshire (4): 43.3 - 42.7 Clinton +0.6
North Carolina (15): 45.4 - 46.8 Trump +1.4
Nevada (6): 45.0 - 46.5 Trump +1.5
Pennsylvania (20): 46.2 - 44.3 Clinton +1.9
Colorado (9): 43.3 - 40.4 Clinton +2.9
Iowa (6): 41.3 - 44.3 Trump +3.0
Ohio (18): 42.3 - 45.8 Trump +3.5
New Mexico (5): 45.5 - 42.0 Clinton +3.5
Arizona (11): 42.3 - 46.3 Trump +4.0
Maine (2): 44.0 - 39.5 Clinton +4.5
Georgia (16): 43.8 - 48.4 Trump +4.6
Michigan (16): 44.7 - 40.0 Clinton +4.7
Virginia (13): 47.3 - 42.3 Clinton +5.0
Wisconsin (10): 46.8 - 40.3 Clinton +6.5
AllTooEasy
(1,260 posts)Thanks. No bashing here
Quixote1818
(28,946 posts)Grey Lemercier
(1,429 posts)and you get my lowest posssible EV totals for HRC, 274
clutterbox1830
(395 posts)HRC 272 - Trump 266
STATE CLINTON - TRUMP RCP AVERAGE (adjusted since original RCP model)
Florida (29): 46.4 - 46.6 Trump +0.2
Maine CD2 (1): 41.0 - 41.5 Trump +0.5
New Hampshire (4): 43.3 - 42.7 Clinton +0.6
Nevada (6): 45.0 - 45.8 Trump +0.8 (+ Clinton 0.7)
North Carolina (15): 45.5 - 46.5 Trump +1.0 (+ Clinton 0.4)
Pennsylvania (20): 46.2 - 44.3 Clinton +1.9
Colorado (9): 43.3 - 40.4 Clinton +2.9
Iowa (6): 41.3 - 44.3 Trump +3.0
Michigan (16): 45.4 - 42.0 Clinton +3.4 (+ Trump 1.3)
Ohio (18): 42.3 - 45.8 Trump +3.5
Arizona (11): 42.3 - 46.3 Trump +4.0
Maine (2): 44.0 - 39.5 Clinton +4.5
Georgia (16): 43.8 - 48.4 Trump +4.6
Virginia (13): 47.3 - 42.3 Clinton +5.0
New Mexico (5): 45.3 - 40.3 Clinton +3.5 (+Clinton 1.5)
Wisconsin (10): 46.8 - 40.3 Clinton +6.5
Oregon (7) 44.0 36.0 Clinton +8.0
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,790 posts)Madam President
clutterbox1830
(395 posts)Although not to scare you there have been at least 2 EC Democratic representatives in WA that have announce that they will not vote for Hillary. It is quite alarming.
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,790 posts)If Hillary is over 280 EV, let them protest vote.