The latest election data from 8 swing states

Updated: 11:36 a.m. E.T.

What the latest data means: VoteCastr’s model is designed, in part, to project turnout totals for every state, and with the prevalence of early voting, they estimate that some battlegrounds already have nearly half of the vote in.

When the dust settles, more than 30 percent of voters are expected to have cast their ballots early this year, and VoteCastr has already analyzed the numbers in several battleground states like Ohio, Nevada, Florida, and Iowa.

In Nevada, VoteCastr’s model estimates that 46.2 percent of votes have already been cast, and among those votes, Clinton holds a narrow 1.5 percent lead. Iowa’s heavily white population and polling led many observers to predict that Trump would carry the state, but VoteCastr’s model shows Clinton taking a surprisingly strong lead in the early vote.

As for Florida, Trump likely needs its 29 electoral votes to secure his path to the presidency. With nearly half of the projected vote already in the state’s still very much up in the air. Votecastr’s data estimates that Trump is currently behind by three points in the hotly contested state.

— Alex Thompson

Colorado:

59.8 percent of expected total voters
Clinton: 46.3
Trump: 43.6

Iowa:

33.3 percent of expected total voters
Clinton: 48.5
Trump: 43.5

Wisconsin:

24.7 percent of expected total voters
Clinton: 52.7
Trump: 40.3

Nevada:

46.2 percent of expected total voters
Clinton: 46.7
Trump: 45.2

Ohio:

22.7 percent of expected total voters
Clinton: 47.9
Trump: 43.9

Florida:

52.4 percent of expected total voters
Clinton: 48.6
Trump: 45.2

Early voting data from Colorado

The data:

Clinton: 46 percent
Trump: 44 percent

What it means: Colorado allows voters to mail in their ballots early, which gives us some early voting data to analyze. Considering the 1.53 million total votes thus far, the VoteCastr model projects that Clinton is leading Trump 46 percent to 44 percent.

— Noah Kulwin

https://news.vice.com/story/live-election-day-turnout-results-with-votecastry?cl=fp