Not sure why any one paying attention to guessing...

and he was pretty spot on.

We will see but the methodology is exactly what the campaigns are spending millions of dollars on.

But yeah this is kind of a make or break for this company, either they are getting a good idea, and good metrics, or they will be laughed at and relegated to obscurity. I still think their approach is interesting and hope among hopes that they are right, because wow, a blowout if they are right.

Campaigns have been paying tens of millions of dollars for this type of information for the last 2 cycles. In some ways Romney's micro targeting was even better than Obamas.

They are showing very tight in PA, but you would expect that with no EV and the urban areas getting a lot of post work voting.

I think what it shows is that the GOTV, which uses the same data, is worth 3-5 points against a campaign that doesn't use it all. the Clinton campaign knows exactly what Democrats and likely independents have voted as per an hour ago and are phoning them right now. The Trump campaign has Rudy on the TV. I know where I would put my money.

Thanks for the welcome back

Not being knowledgeable about data analysis, I'm forced for look at other signs. Trump's very subdued affect at the polls suggests his own campaign data forced his team to burst the bubble they'd been keeping him in. At least that's my interpretation of that input.

category, or whether we'd be folded into the suburban category. We'd fit tidily into a "retired without pensions" group.

We're seeing results of microtargeting in our email, of course. My husband, who is registered Republican to have his say in the primary, actually gets very little right-wing messaging. A few calls, etc., from apparently data-challenged groups only.

being teased by come-ons for a $350 yellow 7.5-quart Cuisinart Dutch oven that just isn't happening. Even for Christmas.

Any idea what data categories might be in the profiles compiled by the candidates, beyond the obvious/expected? Would Hillary discover I like to cook if she checked mine?

I started drinking beer and listening to Peace Train at 5pm on Election Day in 2004. Only to vomit later.

I prematurely popped open a bottle of champagne. Very prematurely.