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nashville_brook

(20,958 posts)
Tue Nov 15, 2016, 07:13 PM Nov 2016

2016 election was about apathy

http://www.carlbeijer.com/2016/11/2016-was-apathy-election.html

These graphs tell a story that is generally not being considered. Check it out:




From 2012 to 2016, both men and women went from caring about the outcome to not caring. Among Democratic men and women, as well as Republican women, care levels dropped about 3-4 points; Republican men cared a little less too, but only by one point. Across the board, in any case, the plurality of voters simply didn't care.




White voters cared even less in 2016 then in 2012, when they also didn't care; most of that apathy came from white Republicans compared to white Democrats, who dropped off a little less. Voters of color, in contrast, continued to care - but their care levels dropped even more, by 8 points (compared to the 6 point drop-off among white voters). Incredibly, that drop was driven entirely by a 9 point drop among Democratic voters of color which left Democrats with only slim majority 51% support; Republicans, meanwhile, actually gained support among people of color.




The story when we break down the vote by age is more complicated, though across the board everyone cared less about the outcome than they did in 2012. Care levels dropped most dramatically among the elderly (-12) and Gen-Xers (-10), who went from caring to not caring this year. Neither of those drops was significantly inflected by party. Boomers, predictably, were the only age demographic who continued to care, and were also the only age demographic where support for Republicans increased; support for Democrats, meanwhile, dropped by 3 points. Millennial care levels also dropped significantly, driven mostly by disinterest in the Democrat (though they also cared less about the Republican, too).




Again, the same pattern holds: everyone cared less this time around. Here, deterioration of support is clearly driven by class. Among poorer demographics, Republicans mostly held the line, while Clinton only had minor losses among richer demographics. The big hit for Clinton came among the lower two brackets (losing 7 and 6 points, respectively), while the big hit for Trump came among the rich (-8).

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2016 election was about apathy (Original Post) nashville_brook Nov 2016 OP
largest non-voting block is in the lower/lowest income brackets nashville_brook Nov 2016 #1
and voter suppression. WI, MI, and PA trump only won by about 30K each nt msongs Nov 2016 #2
yep -- and suppression reinforces apathy nashville_brook Nov 2016 #3

nashville_brook

(20,958 posts)
1. largest non-voting block is in the lower/lowest income brackets
Tue Nov 15, 2016, 07:29 PM
Nov 2016

these are the people who are not being reached — and who used to be at the center Dem ideology.

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