Matt Bai's postmortem
[snip]
Basically, the partys leading funders and operatives decided that they didnt have to pander to white people living outside of cities anymore, because with each passing year their voters were cementing a new majority and redrawing the electoral map. Every election now was going to be a turnout election; get the people who already agree with you to the polls, and you dont have to worry very much about persuading anyone else...
...And so this was Hillarys driving theory of the race. Her campaign was effectively nothing but a giant turnout operation, crunching data on reliable Democratic voters while simultaneously keeping the candidate herself from saying anything remotely interesting. She ran on a database, rather than on an argument; the more Trump alienated and motivated her base, the less she felt the need to make any discernible case...
...But the Cult of Demography was built on some very flawed assumptions...
... even if you buy that a Democrat can maximize turnout among minorities and the already converted, it doesnt mean you can simply forget about everyone else. In politics, how well you do among your own constituencies isnt all that matters; theres also the question of just how poorly you do among the groups you cant win.
An analysis by The Hill newspaper found that while Clinton actually performed better than Obama in the most densely populated counties of states like Pennsylvania and Michigan, she trailed him by much larger margins in the all-white rural areas, which sealed her defeat.
Why? Because she never so much as looked in their direction...
snip
https://www.yahoo.com/news/the-democrats-2016-mistake-100053074.html