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BainsBane

(53,035 posts)
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:23 AM Nov 2016

Why did Hillary Clinton lose the GE?

Please pick the response you believe most relevant. Obviously most of us agree a number of factors played a role, but I'd like to see which people rank first.


33 votes, 2 passes | Time left: Unlimited
The vote counts were hacked or otherwise fraudulent
8 (24%)
Jim Comey
4 (12%)
TPP-economic policies
0 (0%)
Racism and misogyny
3 (9%)
Voter suppression
1 (3%)
Hillary was too flawed
15 (45%)
Third party voters
0 (0%)
The divisive nature of the primary
1 (3%)
Obstacles of an Incumbent party following 8yr presidency
1 (3%)
Identity politics
0 (0%)
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
49 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Why did Hillary Clinton lose the GE? (Original Post) BainsBane Nov 2016 OP
Comey was the thing that turned what was in her favor. but i think if there was a more active JI7 Nov 2016 #1
I should add that BainsBane Nov 2016 #3
No more room. Nt BainsBane Nov 2016 #4
It falls under "Hillary too flawed" FBaggins Nov 2016 #31
I don't think there was any one thing, as you said mvd Nov 2016 #9
that doesn't explain anti free trade candidates like Stickland and Feingold losing JI7 Nov 2016 #10
I think it may have been a coattail effect. Would have done better mvd Nov 2016 #12
no, Johnson and Portman got more votes than Trump. JI7 Nov 2016 #13
Again I say if Clinton did better, our candidates would have mvd Nov 2016 #14
you said the thing about populist and outsider. but Johnson and Portman doing much better goes JI7 Nov 2016 #16
Not really mvd Nov 2016 #17
Adding in mvd Nov 2016 #20
True, but arguing that the failure to denounce free trade BainsBane Nov 2016 #19
Also you could say pointing to a couple candidates doesn't tell the whole story either mvd Nov 2016 #22
all three of the blue states that flipped were crippled by NAFTA.... those voters didn't like her putitinD Nov 2016 #25
I also think Comey alone could have done it all. Well, him and the press. LisaL Nov 2016 #18
Here is what I DON'T understand RandySF Nov 2016 #2
I think that's an issue of turn out BainsBane Nov 2016 #5
It was like the scene in Gladiator where the tigers start leaping out of the ground. ucrdem Nov 2016 #6
Sadly, this is much bigger than Hillary. Hillary can't be used to explain away a Republican- Trust Buster Nov 2016 #7
Do any of the options above help you explain that? BainsBane Nov 2016 #8
It's never just one thing but an accumulative buildup of many things. Serial low voter turnout Trust Buster Nov 2016 #11
I can't disagree with that. BainsBane Nov 2016 #21
The Dems & The Campaign Ran Against Trump vs The Repug Party.... global1 Nov 2016 #24
It would have breaked convention but exboyfil Nov 2016 #34
All off the above. dogman Nov 2016 #15
Too flawed. She's a woman and she had the temerity to run for president? WTF was she thinking! tandem5 Nov 2016 #23
It's possible to believe there was more than one reason for the loss. Ken Burch Nov 2016 #26
Oftentimes things have multiple causes, acting synergistically. Warren DeMontague Nov 2016 #27
I agree BainsBane Nov 2016 #28
The Dems could have ran FDR .... LenaBaby61 Nov 2016 #29
Seven out of ten apply, IMHO. BlueProgressive Nov 2016 #30
She didn't get enough votes in a few swing states. lovemydog Nov 2016 #32
The wrong people voted for her Freddie Nov 2016 #33
I don't believe she lost the GE DFW Nov 2016 #35
Can't pick one of those because... Mike Nelson Nov 2016 #36
I think it was a combination of factors but the balance due Starry Messenger Nov 2016 #37
#1, #2 and #5. baldguy Nov 2016 #38
I went with Comey, but he acted out of misogyny. boston bean Nov 2016 #39
Maybe partially due to the uneven recovery many a good man Nov 2016 #40
Uninformed idiots that thought Hillary was too flawed. nt LexVegas Nov 2016 #41
Name calling rather than logically explaining your position for why I & others are wrong think Nov 2016 #43
Better you try to explain why Clinton was flawed. baldguy Nov 2016 #45
WaPo: "Hillary Clinton voters see lots of flaws in their candidate" think Nov 2016 #46
BZZZZZT! You lose. baldguy Nov 2016 #48
60% airtime/media - some mix of remaining 40% several factors underpants Nov 2016 #42
The Electoral College treestar Nov 2016 #44
Mostly we allow degenerates in flyover states to vote. AngryAmish Nov 2016 #47
I'm in a flyover state BainsBane Nov 2016 #49

JI7

(89,252 posts)
1. Comey was the thing that turned what was in her favor. but i think if there was a more active
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:26 AM
Nov 2016

campaign in the 3 blue midwestern states it would have overcome it .

mvd

(65,174 posts)
9. I don't think there was any one thing, as you said
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:32 AM
Nov 2016

Because the election turned on traditionally blue PA and Midwestern states (though WI has become pretty tricky for us to win in lately), I blame the lack of a strong populist message the most. It was an outsider's election. Other factors were Comey, the media, voter suppression, racism, low favorability for Clinton - it all became a terrible "perfect storm" and the People's President didn't get the win.

JI7

(89,252 posts)
10. that doesn't explain anti free trade candidates like Stickland and Feingold losing
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:37 AM
Nov 2016

to pro free trade , pro business traditional romney type republicans like johnson and portman.

and Johnson and Portman did better than Trump.

mvd

(65,174 posts)
12. I think it may have been a coattail effect. Would have done better
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:38 AM
Nov 2016

if Clinton did better. There's no doubt in my mind it was a big factor. You even said she should have campaigned there more.

mvd

(65,174 posts)
14. Again I say if Clinton did better, our candidates would have
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:42 AM
Nov 2016

Some of those people may have voted Johnson instead of Trump. But if Clinton got more votes, it would have definiteiy had an an effect.

JI7

(89,252 posts)
16. you said the thing about populist and outsider. but Johnson and Portman doing much better goes
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:43 AM
Nov 2016

against that.

mvd

(65,174 posts)
20. Adding in
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:53 AM
Nov 2016

I think some Republicans didn't like other aspects of Trump's message and either voted 3rd party or left that part blank. I know Clinton lost a couple usually blue counties in PA due to the working class being fooled yet again. It's really sad.

Interesting discussion.

BainsBane

(53,035 posts)
19. True, but arguing that the failure to denounce free trade
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:53 AM
Nov 2016

Was the number one factor is directly contradicted by the fact Democrats with those views received fewer votes than Clinton. Data does matter if the goal is to learn for future elections rather than simply confirm what one wants to be true.

mvd

(65,174 posts)
22. Also you could say pointing to a couple candidates doesn't tell the whole story either
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:57 AM
Nov 2016

I do think we need a more populist message, but I think it is also obvious Clinton would have gotten more votes with it in the states she needed. It is not only free trade. It was a general worry about jobs and not being very well off. They put their trust in the wrong person.

putitinD

(1,551 posts)
25. all three of the blue states that flipped were crippled by NAFTA.... those voters didn't like her
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 03:34 AM
Nov 2016

statement that TPP was the gold standard. Bad trade deals are killing the Democratic party.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
18. I also think Comey alone could have done it all. Well, him and the press.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:45 AM
Nov 2016

His timing sure was great. Our press ate it all up and wouldn't shut up about it. When this happened experts like Nate Silver were saying it could cost her 1-2 points at most.
Well, turns out she couldn't afford to lose 2 points. Three states where she lost by one point or less would have won the election.

RandySF

(58,899 posts)
2. Here is what I DON'T understand
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:26 AM
Nov 2016

Whenever a Dem wins a state, the explanation is there are so many people in the metropolitan areas. But magically, Trump is declared winner and the new explanation is there were too many people in outstate counties. Both can't be true.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
6. It was like the scene in Gladiator where the tigers start leaping out of the ground.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:30 AM
Nov 2016

Was there any trick they didn't pull?

 

Trust Buster

(7,299 posts)
7. Sadly, this is much bigger than Hillary. Hillary can't be used to explain away a Republican-
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:31 AM
Nov 2016

controlled Senate and House as well as the vast majority of Republican-controlled Governorships and state legislatures. Can't blame one person on this tidal wave. That would be unfair IMO.

 

Trust Buster

(7,299 posts)
11. It's never just one thing but an accumulative buildup of many things. Serial low voter turnout
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:38 AM
Nov 2016

behavior on the Left, voter suppression efforts, gerrymandering, Right wing media pedaling hate and racial animus, lack of public interest with fact finding, generational shift in world economic balance......the list goes on and on.

global1

(25,253 posts)
24. The Dems & The Campaign Ran Against Trump vs The Repug Party....
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 03:15 AM
Nov 2016

It was the Repug Party that gridlocked Congress and the President. It was the Repugs that gave us wars and a recession.

The Dems didn't campaign on these issues - they campaign against Trump - the personality.

So the Repug Party floated through the campaign unscathed and didn't shoulder any of the blame.

Trump blamed the lack of anything getting done on the establishment Dems and the President and then he painted Hillary as 4 more years of the establishment.

In hindsight - they should have went after the Repug Party.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
34. It would have breaked convention but
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 07:11 AM
Nov 2016

Kaine should have gone after Pence instead of Trump in the debate. The pardon, the abortion laws, etc. Lots of issues that might have helped. I think lots of people voted for President Pence. No one is aware that he was one of the strongest backers of the Iraq invasion including arguing on the House floor long after it had become obvious that it was an epic disaster. He was also a big supporter of NAFTA updates.

dogman

(6,073 posts)
15. All off the above.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:42 AM
Nov 2016

To know the real failure we would have to know the campaign's overall strategy. They sure seem to have believed they had it in the bag and were even going to take Congress. They did not protect their base, but we don't know what was their idea of base. Arrogance or misinformation? I think those that ran the campaign know, but are unlikely to share the truth with us. More importantly is the question of the lesson learned. Will we ever learn the truth from the professionals who have their self-preservation in mind?

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
26. It's possible to believe there was more than one reason for the loss.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 03:52 AM
Nov 2016

There's no inherent contradiction, for example, between recognizing that racism and sexism played a role and be;ieving that the insistence on leaving wiggle-room on TPP also played a major role.

Most of those who prioritize social justice and to fight bigotry also want us to be clear that we will stand up to corporate power, and virtually all of those who prioritize economic justice are deeply committed to fighting social oppression and bigotry.

And our chances of regaining the presidency, Congress AND, most importantly in the short-term control of state legislatures hinge on reconciling and establishing trust between both justice struggles-neither of which benefits from the other being set aside.


Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)
27. Oftentimes things have multiple causes, acting synergistically.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 04:02 AM
Nov 2016

This is one of those things. But I think the one that jumps out most glaringly was Comey dropping that thing 11 days before the election, in a major break with policy and precedence.

I would add that, in terms of vote hacking and the like- I find it incredibly odd how off the polls- all of them- were. It strikes me as too glaring a difference to write off without demanding some serious questions as to what the fuck happened, there.

But extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and it's way too easy for the losing side to go "it was rigged". Without at least some objective evidence I personally can't fall back on that as an explanation.

BainsBane

(53,035 posts)
28. I agree
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 04:28 AM
Nov 2016

I do have concerns based on what I've read, but I'm not prepared to make the charge without far more compelling evidence.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
29. The Dems could have ran FDR ....
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 05:28 AM
Nov 2016

For a first time, and he'd have lost.

Too much outside interference.

Hillary clearly had "some" kind of lead until the FBI stepped in, then on top of that you of course had the obligatory voter suppression/voter disenfranchisement before and of course during the day of voting. Then, you add a NEW GOP friend to the mix: The Russians, who our government said definitely interfered/hacked it's way into our elections.

tRump said the election was rigged against him...
BUT ...

He's a MASTER of projection

lovemydog

(11,833 posts)
32. She didn't get enough votes in a few swing states.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 06:43 AM
Nov 2016

That, and like you say many of the above factors too.

Freddie

(9,267 posts)
33. The wrong people voted for her
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 07:09 AM
Nov 2016

She WON except for the fact that she ran up the score with "worthless" voters (folks in CA, NY, WA). Which is the most ridiculously unfair "system" on the planet.

DFW

(54,403 posts)
35. I don't believe she lost the GE
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 07:21 AM
Nov 2016

She lost the presidency, not the election. Ask Al Gore how that goes.

Mike Nelson

(9,959 posts)
36. Can't pick one of those because...
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 07:33 AM
Nov 2016

...Hillary Clinton won the GE. She lost the electoral college due to Trump stirring up racism.

Starry Messenger

(32,342 posts)
37. I think it was a combination of factors but the balance due
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 08:04 AM
Nov 2016

on stripping the VRA and redistricting finally arrived in this election.

 

think

(11,641 posts)
43. Name calling rather than logically explaining your position for why I & others are wrong
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 09:30 AM
Nov 2016

doesn't make your case very well.....

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
45. Better you try to explain why Clinton was flawed.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 10:31 AM
Nov 2016

And using the perennial RW lies to support your position is automatic disqualification.

 

think

(11,641 posts)
46. WaPo: "Hillary Clinton voters see lots of flaws in their candidate"
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 10:55 AM
Nov 2016

Here are the results of a poll of Clinton supporters pointing out Hillary's flaws:

Hillary Clinton voters see lots of flaws in their candidate

By Aaron Blake September 11 2016

~Snip~

But exactly why? Part of the reason for this enthusiasm gap appears to be that Clinton voters see real flaws in their candidate.

The poll shows fully 57 percent of Clinton voters say their candidate is "too willing to bend the rules." Another 34 percent disapprove of Clinton's handling of her email problems, 31 percent are concerned about potential conflicts of interest with the Clinton Foundation, 29 percent say she did special favors for donors as secretary of state, and 27 percent say she's not honest and trustworthy.

Read more:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/09/11/hillary-clinton-voters-see-plenty-of-flaws-in-their-candidate/


underpants

(182,826 posts)
42. 60% airtime/media - some mix of remaining 40% several factors
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 09:28 AM
Nov 2016

Comey
Not ready for female POTUS
Voter suppression/intimidation
SCOTUS Voting Rights Act
25 years of attacks/trustworthiness
GOP stuck with emails throughout
GOTV

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