2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMath error in Wisconsin county hints at how state may have been rigged for DT
Even as stunned observers pored over the Wisconsin election results and attempted to determine how Republican nominee Trump could possibly have won a state that nearly always goes to the Democrat in presidential election regardless of the national result, some glaring numbers stood out. Three precincts in Outagamie County had each reported totals that showed more votes cast in the presidential contest than votes cast period. Thats not just unlikely; its impossible by definition.
Sure enough, after the internet cried foul at the totals, Outagamie looked into the matter and determined that more than a thousand imaginary votes had been credited to Donald Trump and proceeded to take those votes off the board, as first noted by Fast Companys Dan Solomon. Notably, county officials determined that Hillary Clintons vote totals in those three precincts had been right on the nose to begin with. - PalmerReport
It's getting real. People are taking notice to something wrong.
milestogo
(16,829 posts)Feingold was ahead by 1% the week before the election and lost by 3%. If they find out there was fraud and we are still stuck with Johnson, that really sucks.
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)While I hope Clinton somehow gets in, I'm moving on, not expecting a miracle or a reduction in the conspiracy theories that make us sound like Birthers or something. Hope I have to eat crow.
ffr
(22,670 posts)I worked on the HFA Nevada campaign. We worked to get democrats to vote. We got those democrats to vote. Those democrats voted as they said they were going to vote. We built up EV advantages going into the election. What happened on election day? Just what we thought would happen. Clockwork. Republicans showed up on proportion to how many were left and they voted, along with democrats who said they were going to vote on election day.
Just like Obama held out to win, Hillary won. No party flipping. No educated angry women democratic movement that flipped their party vote for Donald. No surprises.
Hillary had operations just like this all across the country, I imagine in every swing state. Florida had their ground operations going along, I read some of the HFA people chime in about how hard they were working there too.
So how did voter turnout completely breakdown in enough other key states whereas it DID NOT BREAK DOWN AT ALL here in Nevada??? Are we so different? We're purple, divided just like Pennsylvania. We were purple before. The polls showed we were purple. On election day we were purple. And after the election we're still purple. Rurals didn't come out of the woodwork for Donald and democratic rurals didn't vote for Donald.
One possible difference. We use electronic voting machines with recorded paper backup rolls. When my vote is audited, they can verify that I said I tapped my vote for HRC. After I voted the paper record was printed and I verified it. It shows that Democrat me voted for Democrat Hillary. If necessary, the SoS could then come to me and ask me how I voted and I could substantiate everything that was recorded on paper and that ties out to the machine totals. I don't believe the three states in question use these same kinds of machines.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)And in Philadelphia they used a paperless machine.
DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)The voting machines record a manual tally of each vote. That's printed out at the end of the day and everyone (Dems, Reps, election board, etc) gets copies of the printouts. As soon as the vote tallies are printed, the machines are locked and sealed and certified so by the precinct's election board. If there needs to be a manual recount, the machines can be opened up by the election commission and the votes recounted.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)http://www.cbsnews.com/news/how-vulnerable-are-pennsylvanias-electronic-voting-machines/
In a Philadelphia warehouse, almost 4,000 electronic voting machines are ready to be rolled out. But some cybersecurity experts warn the machines - which are used in most Pennsylvania counties - are vulnerable.
Its a relatively lucrative target if you want to try and manipulate something, said Ben Johsnon, a former NSA engineer now with cybersecurity group Carbon Black. Its really around creating doubt: doubt in democracy; doubt in the integrity of the election process.
He said these direct recording electronic machines dont have paper backups of each ballot cast, making a recount in a tight race difficult.
DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)The electronic voting machines record the votes exactly like the lever machines, for which there was no paper printout either.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)The only ones recommended by election security organizations and computer scientists are paper ballots w/optical scanners; and electronic machines that produce a paper record of each vote that a voter can verify at the time.
Of course, all the paper won't make it more reliable UNLESS there is an audit procedure afterwards.
TheFrenchRazor
(2,116 posts)DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)Clinton campaign did NO outreach to voters outside of Philadelphia and Allegheney counties. There were the few campaign stops after the DNC and Biden went to Scranton and Bill visited once outside of Allegheney county, but that was it. HRC did not even go to Penn State and play up the fact that her father and brother(s) not only graduated from, but played football there. Had she gone there and just mentioned everything the Paternos have done for the school (regardless of what you think), she'd have gotten votes for that alone.
In 2012, Obama had a campaign office in the town where I live doing voter outreach. When I looked on her website for the closest campaign office, it was just the local Dem party office in a different town. I truly felt she wrote off western and rural Pa and just counted on huge margins in the SE and Phila, which she got, to win. She was too dependent on TV ads to reach voters outside the urban areas.
She certainly could have gotten on her campaign bus and rolled through some of the old mill towns like Washington, Jeannette, Clairton, Uniontown, Sharon, Farrell, New Castle, Aliquippa, Erie and so on. Even if they only got small crowds at least she could have gotten her plans out there and local news coverage of them. When Tom Wolf, not exactly Mr Charisma, ran for governor, he got in his Jeep and drove around the state and met voters. It was well received. HRC's campaign could have done the same.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)In the prior to presidential elections here in western PA, I got phone calls asking me if I was voting or had voted. There was absolutely nothing, no GOTV, no calls, nothing to ensure Dems supporting HRC got out and voted for her this time around. I found it odd given all the hoopla over the "ground game". Her message just simply never really got out to people who might have been persuaded or energized to vote for her.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)And she was 9 points ahead in the polls when Comey dropped his first letter bomb, and then it plunged to 2.
Did you predict Comey, too? If so, you really are a genius.
DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)Yes, I know the polls showed her with a good lead, but her campaign might have noticed the votes Sanders got in the primary in the small and rural counties that ultimately produced Trump's win. Sanders beat her in many of these areas with essentially the same message from the left as Trump sent on the right. She could have chosen to have Sanders campaign in some of these areas or she could have set aside a couple days to just hit the small towns instead of expanding the map.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)and destroy all the plans she had made. Her poll lead went from an average of 9 points to 2. That's why she lost PA and the other close states.
I've worked as an election officer, and it's incredibly hectic in the hours after the polls close, especially the first hour to hour and a half. Math on tally sheets gets messed up, the clerks at county election HQ transpose numbers as they write them, or the callers transpose numbers as they're call them in, votes get put in wrong columns, numbers get botched when they're put on the websites, etc.
I'm surprised that counties even put unofficial numbers up any more, given that their accused of vote theft whenever someone finds an error, and then they're further excoriated when they correct the errors.
BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)in hoping to eat crow but expecting to see final results unchanged, I have not "moved on" in the sense that I simply will never consider DT to be a legitimate President-elect, whatever happens in the EC, because Hillary won the popular vote by 2.3 million votes and climbing. That is a SOLID margin and indicates that the majority of American voters did NOT vote for the candidate of hatred, racism, sexism, bigotry and all other deplorables..
I know that we have a f**king EC system and I am sure that the results were "rigged" in at least some key states. There is just too much evidence of past rigging behavior by the GOP through various means and too many other variables that simply do not add up otherwise. But if the recounts don't change the outcome and there is also an audit that doesn't change the results so that Hillary wins, then I have no choice but to accede to the f**ked up system we have. But I will continue to do everything I can to change that system NOW - not just wait until 2020 for this sorry system to steal an election from us once again.
I will never refer to DT as the President - EVER - and I will criticize every word he says or action he takes that reinforce my view of his being the lowest of the low. I will do this until I draw my last breath.
C Moon
(12,213 posts)before the process even begins.
tandem5
(2,072 posts)the clerks don't even bother with anything dramatic. They'll just throw things away, pre-select "random" samples for audit or flat out refuse to produce what you ask for. We've had 16 years to get familiar with their shit.
TheFrenchRazor
(2,116 posts)Thav
(946 posts)any reports of more votes tallied than ballots cast should cause an automatic audit. There has to be some integrity somewhere.
lonestarnot
(77,097 posts)out of the recount. Motherfuckers may be in for some egg. Don't back down! Full speed ahead!
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)This thread is interesting for the number of people who joined DU just to post on the thread, including Bill Palmer.
EL34x4
(2,003 posts)That thread is a hoot!
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)Botany
(70,510 posts)And Brownback won in Kansas even though he has trashed the state and even
the Republicans didn't like him?
TheFrenchRazor
(2,116 posts)jodymarie aimee
(3,975 posts)I think Judge Kloppenburg won the first time( votes found in the trunk of an R clerk's car trunk). Just happened to be the same amount she lost by. They have been doing this successfully for years. Now, the entire country is watching and they are scrambling. Walker and Kochs have been cheating legally and illegally for 5-6 years. It worked!! So they thought they would take it national with other states.