2016 Postmortem

NPolitics1979

(613 posts) Wed Feb 13, 2013, 12:09 PM Feb 2013

2014 Midterm Elections. GOV and US Sen.

AL-GOV(Bentley-R)1
AL-SEN(Sessions-R)
AK-GOV(Parnell-R)2
AK-SEN(Begich-D)
AZ-GOV(Carmona-D)+1D
AR-GOV(Hutchison-R)+1R 3
AR-SEN(Pryor-D)
CA-GOV(Harris-D)
CO-GOV(Hickenlooper-D)
CO-SEN(Udall-D)
CT-GOV(Malloy-D)
DE-SEN(Coons-D)
FL-GOV(Crist-D)+2D
GA-GOV(Deal-R)4
GA-SEN(Broun-R)
HI-GOV(Hanabusa-D)
HI-SEN(Schatz-D)
ID-GOV(Otter-R)5
ID-SEN(Risch-R)
IL-GOV(Madigan-D)
IL-SEN(Durbin-D)
IA-GOV(Branstad-R)7
IA-SEN(Braley-D)
KS-GOV(Brownback-R)8
KS-SEN(Roberts-R)
2015 KY-GOV(Luallen-D)
KY-SEN(McConnell-R)
2015 LA-GOV(Mitch Landrieu-D) +3D
LA-SEN(Mary Landrieu-D)
ME-GOV(LePage-R)9
ME-SEN(Collins-R)
MD-GOV(Brown-D)
MA-GOV(Brown-R) +2R 10
MA-SEN(Markey-D)-wins both 2013 Special and 2014 Regular.
MI-GOV(Bernero-D)+4D
MI-SEN(Peters-D)
MN-GOV(Dayton-D)
MN-SEN(Franken-D)
2015 MS-GOV(Bryant-R) 11
MS-SEN(Pickering-R)
MT-SEN(Baucus-D)
NE-GOV(Sheehy-R) 12
NE-SEN(Johanns-R)
NV-GOV(Sandoval-R) 13
NH-GOV(Hassan-D)
NH-SEN(Shaheen-D)
2013 NJ-GOV(Christie-R) 14
NJ-SEN(Booker-D)
NM-GOV(Martinez-R) 15
NM-SEN(Udall-D)
NY-GOV(Cuomo-D)
NC-SEN(Hagan-D)
OH-GOV(Kasich-R)18
OK-GOV(Fallin-R) 19
OK-SEN(Inhofe-R)
OR-GOV(Kitzhaber-D)
OR-SEN(Merkley-D)
PA-GOV(Corbett-R) 20
RI-GOV(Raimando-D)+5D/-1I
RI-SEN(Reed-D)
SC-GOV(Haley-R) 21
SC-SEN1(Graham-R)
SC-SEN2(Scott-R)
SD-GOV(Daugaard-R) 22
SD-SEN(Rounds-R)+1R
TN-GOV(Halsam-R) 23
TN-SEN(Alexander-R)
TX-GOV(White-D)+6D
TX-SEN(Cornyn-R)
VT-GOV(Shumlin-D)
2013 VA GOV(Cuccinelli-R) 24
VA-SEN(Warner-D)
WV-SEN(Capito-R)+2R
WI-GOV(Walker-R) 25
WY-GOV(Mead-R)26
WY-SEN(Enzi-R)

26 Republican Governors by 2016.
24 Democratic Governors by 2016.

53 Democratic US Senators by 2016.
47 Republican US Senators by 2016.

6 replies

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2014 Midterm Elections. GOV and US Sen. (Original Post) NPolitics1979 Feb 2013 OP

there are some governor's races that are flippable tabbycat31 Feb 2013 #1

You forgot Pennsylvania gelsdorf Feb 2013 #2

I meant to include PA tabbycat31 Feb 2013 #5

The reason why I rated those states on the Republican collumn is NPolitics1979 Feb 2013 #4

I've been meaning to tell you I appreciate these threads tabbycat31 Feb 2013 #6

2016 GOV/SEN. NPolitics1979 Feb 2013 #3

tabbycat31

(6,336 posts)

1. there are some governor's races that are flippable

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Wed Feb 13, 2013, 12:36 PM

Feb 2013

Look at the traditional 'swing' states and some blue states that got caught up in the Red Tide of 2010.
The first tier should be (governors)
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Nevada
New Mexico
New Jersey (I live in NJ and Christie will come back down to earth. Buono has a lot of energy surrounding her campaign)
Ohio
Virginia
Wisconsin

gelsdorf

(240 posts)

2. You forgot Pennsylvania

Reply to tabbycat31 (Reply #1)

Wed Feb 13, 2013, 12:57 PM

Feb 2013

Toxic Tommy has a snowballs chance in hell of being re-elected, approval numbers in the low 30's, CRUSHED education, GAVE AWAY the lottery, little or no extraction fees on the frackers, the list goes on and on...............
Something about politicians from the North Hills of Pittsburgh, State Sen Orie, in jail, her sister(Supreme Court judge!!) on trial and Tommy boy

tabbycat31

(6,336 posts)

5. I meant to include PA

Reply to gelsdorf (Reply #2)

Wed Feb 13, 2013, 05:53 PM

Feb 2013

I'm not sure why I left it off. My bad.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

4. The reason why I rated those states on the Republican collumn is

Reply to tabbycat31 (Reply #1)

Wed Feb 13, 2013, 01:27 PM

Feb 2013

ME- Third Party Opposition can help LePage-R win a 3 way race.
MA- Brown-R is likeable enough. Loss in 2012 was due to Obama wave and Warren is popular as the Kennedy's.
MI- I gave MI- Bernero-D
NV- Sandoval-R is popular to win re-election.
NM- Martinez-R is popular to win re-election.
NJ- Christie-R wins re-election but by a narrower margin than the media pundits are suggesting.
OH- Kasich-R has a 50-50 chance of winning re-election against Fitzgerald-D
PA- Corbett-R has a 50-50 chance of winning re-election against Schwartz-D
VA- McAullife-D has a 50-50 chance of defeating Cucinelli-R
WI- Walker-R has a 50-50 chance of winning re-election against Barca-D

tabbycat31

(6,336 posts)

6. I've been meaning to tell you I appreciate these threads

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Reply #4)

Wed Feb 13, 2013, 11:53 PM

Feb 2013

I am a complete political nerd and watch races and special elections like a hawk. I love threads like this.

Disclaimer-- I am also a campaign staffer.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

3. 2016 GOV/SEN.

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Wed Feb 13, 2013, 01:17 PM

Feb 2013

2016 Presidential Election-
Biden/Klobuchar-D vs Christie/Martinez-R
The Obama/Biden-D states that will flip in 2016 are going to be FL-29,VA-13,CO-9,and NV-6.
Biden-D wins 275ev-263ev.
2016 Governors
DE-(Beau Biden-D)
IN-(Daniels-R)
MO-(Kinder-R)+1R
MT-(Bullock-D)
NH-(Hassan-D)
NC-(McCrory-R)
NC-(Dalrymple-R)
UT-(Herbert-R)
VT-(Shumlin-D)
WV-(Tomblin-D)
2016 us senate election.
AL-(Shelby-R)
AK-(Murkowski-R)
AZ-(McCain-R)Napolitano-D if OPEN. +1D
AR-(Boozman-R)
CA-(Boxer-D)
CO-(Bennet-D)
CT-(Blumenthal-D)
FL-(Rubio-R)
GA-(Isakson-R vs Wasserman Schultz-D)
HI-(Schatz-D)
ID-(Crapo-R)
IL-(Kirk-R vs Emanual-D) +2D
IN-(Coats-R)
IA-(Culver-D)Grassley-R retires. +3D
KS-(Moran-R)
KY-(Paul-R)
LA-(Vitter-R)
MD-(Edwards-D)Mikulski-D retires.
MO-(Blunt-R vs Nixon-D)
NV-(Reid-D)
NH-(Ayotte-R vs Kuster-D)
NY-(Schumer-D)
NC-(Burr-R vs Cowell-D)
ND-(Hoeven-R)
OH-(Portman-R vs Codray-D)
OK-(Lucas-R) Coburn-R is retiring.
OR-(Wyden-D)
PA-(Toomey-R vs Kane-D) +4D
SC-(Scott-R)
SD-(Thune-R)
UT-(Lee-R)
VT-(Leahy-D)
WA-(Murray-D)
WI-(Johnson-R vs Kind-D) +5D

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