2016 Postmortem

NPolitics1979

(613 posts) Sat Feb 16, 2013, 04:31 PM Feb 2013

2014 US Senate Elections. 1978,1984,1996 and 2002 Class US Senators.

1978
Baucus(D-MT),Cochran(R-MS) and Levin(D-MI). Cochran-MS and Levin-MI are potential retirements, Baucus-MT could potentially lose in November General Election based on high unpopularity.
1984
Harkin(D-IA) and Rockefeller(D-WV) are retiring, McConnell(R-KY) could lose re-election to Ashley Judd.
No one left from class of 1990
1996 Class.
Sessions-AL,Roberts-KS,Inhofe-OK and Enzi-WY are running again and are likely to win re-election.
Durbin-IL and Collins-ME are potential retires but could win re-election if they run again.
Landrieu-LA is running again but could potentially lose.
Johnson-SD is likely to retire or lose to Rounds in the November General Election.
2002.
Chambliss-GA and Lautenberg-NJ are retiring.
Graham-SC is trying to survive in the GOP primary.
Cornyn-TX and Alexander-TN are likely to return.

If Baucus-MT and Levin-MI were to leave the US Senate next year.
The next in line to be President Pro Temp is Mikulski-MD,then Reid-NV,then Feinstein-CA,and Boxer-CA, then Murray-WA. Leahy-VT,Mikulski-MD,Reid-NV,and Boxer-CA are up for re-election in 2016. Leahy,Mikulski,and Boxer are potential retires, Reid-NV could lose re-election. Feinstein-CA is not up for re-election until 2018 but could end up retiring.

4 replies

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2014 US Senate Elections. 1978,1984,1996 and 2002 Class US Senators. (Original Post) NPolitics1979 Feb 2013 OP

New US Senate Committee chairs for the next Congressional Session. NPolitics1979 Feb 2013 #1

Some of those are based on the assumption that a senator with more seniority would not give up davidpdx Feb 2013 #2

Some of those senators are 2nd ranking members of other assignments. NPolitics1979 Feb 2013 #3

Democrats had a majority in the US Senate since 2007. NPolitics1979 Feb 2013 #4

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

1. New US Senate Committee chairs for the next Congressional Session.

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Sat Feb 16, 2013, 05:02 PM

Feb 2013

HELP-Harkin-IA is leaving.
Mikulski-MD is unlikely to leave the powerful Appropriations, and Murray-WA is unlikely to leave the powerful Budget.
Sanders-VT is next in line to chair HELP.
Veterans Affairs (Sanders-VT) goes to Brown-OH.
Commerce-Rockefeller-WV is leaving.
Boxer-CA is unlikely to give up EPW,
Nelson-FL is next in line to chair Commerce.
Aging(Nelson-FL) goes to Casey-PA.
Banking- Johnson-SD has a 50-50 chance of leaving.
Reed-RI is next in line to chair Banking.
Armed Services- Levin-MI has a 50-50 chance of leaving.
Reed-RI could take Banking,Nelson-FL could take Commerce, McCaskill-MO is next in line.
Foriegn Relations-if Menendez-NJ is forced to leave.
Boxer-CA or Cardin-MD.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)

2. Some of those are based on the assumption that a senator with more seniority would not give up

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 17, 2013, 08:31 AM

Feb 2013

their current assignment. Johnson Reed, Nelson, Cardin, and Casey are 21st, 22nd, 29th, 46th, and 49th respectively in seniority. I would think some of those with higher seniority would be offered the positions out of respect before the ones you listed.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

3. Some of those senators are 2nd ranking members of other assignments.

Reply to davidpdx (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 17, 2013, 09:41 AM

Feb 2013

Johnson-SD the current chair of the Banking could retire from the US Senate or lose re-election to Rounds-R.
Reed-RI is next in line to chair Banking if Johnson-SD were to leave the US Senate.
Reed-RI also can take the Armed Services if Levin-MI were to leave the US Senate.
Johnson-SD is more likely to be forced out of the US Senate than Levin-MI, Reed-RI takes Banking.
Nelson-FL is next in line to chair Commerce after Boxer-CA who currently chair Environment Public Works. If Boxer takes Commerce instead of EPW. The next in line to chair EPW is Baucus-MT-Finance,Carper-DE-Homeland Security,or Cardin-MD.
Baucus-MT is highly unlikely to give up his position on Finance.
If Carper-DE gives up Homeland Security for Environment, then Pryor-AR takes Homeland Security.
Cardin-MD is next in line for Foriegn Relations after Boxer-CA and Menendez-NJ.

Assume both Levin-MI and Johnson-SD were to retire from the US Senate next year.

Reed-RI takes Armed Services.
Schumer-NY takes Banking.
Feinstein-CA take Rules.
Udall-CO takes Intelligence.
or
Reed-RI takes Banking.
Nelson-FL takes Armed Services.
Casey-PA takes Aging.
Cantwell-WA takes Commerce.
Tester-MT takes Indian Affairs.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

4. Democrats had a majority in the US Senate since 2007.

Reply to davidpdx (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 17, 2013, 12:48 PM

Feb 2013

The longest serving Committee chairs are
Levin-MI (Armed Services) is potential retiree in 2014. Next in Line is Reed-RI.
Boxer-CA (Environment)
Baucus-MT (Finance)
Leahy-VT (Judiciary)

Commitee chairs leaving the US Senate next year.
Harkin-IA(HELP) and ,Rockefeller-WV(Commerce) are retiring from the US Senate.
Levin-MI(Armed Services) is likely to retire.
Johnson-SD (Banking) could lose re-election to Rounds(R-SD)
Menendez-NJ (Foriegn Relation) is forced to resign due to scandal.
Landrieu-LA (Small Business) loses re-election to Boustany(R-LA)

HELP- Sanders-VT since Mikulski-MD is unlikely to give up Appropriations and Murray- WA is unlikely to give up Budget.
Brown-OH takes Veterans Affairs.
Commerce- Nelson-FL since Boxer-CA is unlikely to give up Environment.
Casey-PA takes Aging.
Reed-RI takes Armed Services.
Schumer-NY takes Banking.
Durbin-IL takes Rules since Feinstein-CA is unlikely to give up Intelligence.
Cardin-MD takes Foriegn Relations.
Cantwell-WA takes Small Business.
Tester-MT takes Indian Affairs.

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