2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDon't believe the hype. Chris Christie is a true right-winger
Chris Christie is no moderate
Don't believe the hype. Despite a CPAC snub and hostility from conservatives, Chris Christie is a true right-winger
BY STEVE KORNACKI
Chris Christies reputation as a moderate even by the standards of todays Republican Party is vastly overrated. This is a key point to keep in mind this week, with the news that organizers of the Conservative Political Action Conference have snubbed the New Jersey governor.
The official explanation from Al Cardenas, the conferences chief organizer: CPAC is like the all-star game for professional athletes; you get invited when you have had an outstanding year. Christie, apparently thanks to his loud public criticism of House Republicans when they delayed passage of a Sandy relief package, was deemed to have had a sub-par year.
The prevailing interpretation is that, as Nate Silver put it, this is an ominous sign for Christie as he positions himself for a potential run for the 2016 Republican nomination. The logic is understandable: The invisible primary has already begun, the terms of debate within the party are being set, and judgments are being formed by key opinion leaders. Christie, the thinking goes, has been exposed for holding views that are out-of-step with the conservative movement on the issues it most cares about and the CPAC snub is a sign that the right is getting ready to write him off.
But I dont think thats quite whats going on here, or that Christie faces anything like the intraparty peril that many are now suggesting.
more
http://www.salon.com/2013/02/28/chris_christies_premature_obituary/
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)targets, i.e. public unions. If he tries to please the repub base at all, he will lose his vaunted popularity...
hollysmom
(5,946 posts)not that any of my neighbors got any or any help at all. At least the towns get help. But that help was from a republican ":connected company from Florida that is grossly over charging. duh.
Hpw quickly they forget the snowstorm he could not be bothered with. -yes he worked hard, but most of us wold have, the fact that most republicans do not is about the only difference.
athena
(4,187 posts)All the people on DU who are enamored with him over Sandy need to look at the facts. Chris Christie is not even remotely progressive.
http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/01/christie_minimum_wage.html
Walk away
(9,494 posts)he would never be re elected in 2014. N.J. is a Blue state and they were starting to get wise to the fact that he was destroying our health care and school systems (both rated far above any red state). He has been gutting our towns by cutting state aid and stealing money (state workers compensation fund) to keep property taxes artificially low.
Sadly, the voters are as easy to bamboozle as the Democrats around here who think "he's a straight shooter" and "an old fashioned republican moderate". It sucks for my state but it's going to suck for the whole country in 2016 if Democrats don't shut up about what a great guy he is. It's Democrats who will give him New Jersey and only Democrats can give him the Presidency.
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)However, I don't think about it that much because a lot can happen between now and then...
tabbycat31
(6,336 posts)NJ has off year state elections
Walk away
(9,494 posts)There is no doubt that he will win re election here unless he drops dead of a heart attack.
otohara
(24,135 posts)fuck him
jimmy the one
(2,708 posts)Dunno, disparaging his own republican party after the atlantic storm was a daring maneuver, not done all too frequently by politicians to such fanfare.
And here I thought christie might just jump ship & change parties.... oh haha, no, not that far! jump ship & join bloomburgs 'independent' party.
Depends on next 3 years I think, and those 'useless polls which change all the time so we don't pay attention to them', haha again, for if polls point to a possible win over the 2016 dem candidate, while running as a republican, no change, but were he to become out of the running he just might jump ship to indy; .. I don't know if there's much love lost with his own party right now, & while breakin up may be hard to do, gettin' back together can be harder.
Of course if he switched to indy I doubt he'd be that vengeful towards gop, to run for pres as an indy. Maybe he's already addressed this somehow?
Walk away
(9,494 posts)going to wake up? He hates the poor. Seriously. He spends most of his time kicking people off of food stamps and poverty health care.
trublu992
(489 posts)One decision because he had to in regards to the storm victims and the other because he can see the writing on the wall in regards to his party losing the Presidential election. He also needed to boost his image amongst his constitutes in New Jersey. Before the storm he was just as vile as any other tea party ass in embracing the crazy hated filled rhetoric of the right.
forestpath
(3,102 posts)Bake
(21,977 posts)Christie made a few good decisions. We don't know how to process that.
Bake
forestpath
(3,102 posts)DFW
(54,408 posts)There is right wing and then there is the frothing-at-the-mouth-teabagger right wing.
Christie is no Democrat. But if he is not bat-shit crazy enough to suit the tastes of half of his party, I say let the fur fly. It's about fucking time a Democrat succeeded a Democrat in the White House. The last time that happened, it was only because the first one was assassinated.
Pisces
(5,599 posts)and that he will compromise. He also uses some common sense and speaks candidly. Do we expect them to be Democrats?
I don't, I would like someone from that side to be able to say compromise.
Presidentcokedupfratboy
(1,054 posts)He acts like a moderate, governs like a RW asshole. Don't believe the hype!
flpoljunkie
(26,184 posts)From the Salon article in your OP
Unemployment: New Jerseys unemployment rate is 8.5 percent, considerably higher than the national rate of 7.3 percent, making the state 41st in the nation.
Job creation: New Jersey ranks 44th in job growth during Christies governorship.
Credit rating: Three major credit agencies have cut the states credit rating since Christie became governor, making it costlier to borrow money.
Economic growth: In 2011, New Jersey was just one of seven U.S. states whose economy shrank. The state ranked 47th in terms of GDP growth.
Taxes: New Jersey is tied for 50th in the Tax Foundations annual report, which ranks which states have the most business-friendly (translation: lowest) taxes. Plus, the tax burden grew by 18.6 percent for the average family under Christie.
Home prices and foreclosures: Mortgage delinquencies have increased 2.8 percent since Christie took over, the highest of any state in the nation. Plus, home prices are down 6.7 percent in that time, putting New Jersey in the bottom quarter of all states.
Poverty: Although this statistic may not resonate with Republican primary voters, the poverty rate in New Jersey has reached a 52-year high, with 24.7 percent of the state below the poverty level.
Of course, Christie isnt responsible for all these economic woes. He is governor, not king of New Jersey. But that doesnt mean his opponents in the 2016 GOP primaries wont run negative ads showing the New Jersey statistics, followed by the tag line: Can America really afford Chris Christie as president?
A lot can happen to the states economy between now and then. But unless the economic numbers improve greatly, Christie will be wishing people were still just talking about his weight and not what matters most: his record.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/11/11/don-t-believe-the-chris-christie-hype-look-at-his-economic-record.html