Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

charlie and algernon

(13,447 posts)
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 11:49 AM Apr 2012

The Way Too Early 2016 Democratic Primary Straw POLL

I know that Hillary most likely won't run and Biden will probably be too old and won't run either, but just in case, I included them.


43 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Joe Biden
1 (2%)
Hillary Clinton
20 (47%)
Martin O'Malley, Gov-MD
7 (16%)
Andrew Cuomo, Gov-NY
1 (2%)
Elizabeth Warren, MA Senate Candidate
12 (28%)
Tim Kaine, DNC Chair
0 (0%)
Kay Hagen, NC Senator
0 (0%)
Rahm Emmanuel, Chicago Mayor
0 (0%)
Mark Warner, VA Senator
0 (0%)
Write-in
2 (5%)
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
84 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The Way Too Early 2016 Democratic Primary Straw POLL (Original Post) charlie and algernon Apr 2012 OP
Has Howard Dean Ruled out Running Again? On the Road Apr 2012 #1
I hope he runs. bigwillq Apr 2012 #3
I'd be in! ScreamingMeemie Apr 2012 #31
+1 ellisonz Apr 2012 #13
I think Dean is finished Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #71
It was a tough call between Hillary Clinton and Martin O'Malley. Skinner Apr 2012 #2
why not Warren, though? CTyankee Apr 2012 #27
Not sure why for Skinner, but imho, she has never been a Governor, Congressperson or Senator stevenleser Jul 2012 #62
good point, but she has been in government, even tho not in CTyankee Jul 2012 #64
Biden won't run, but Hillary would be interesting Renew Deal Apr 2012 #4
Dean is 1 younger and Warren 2 years younger than Hillary. Beacool Apr 2012 #39
She's going to be 68 in 2016. Renew Deal Apr 2012 #40
Romney is a year older than Hillary....and two feet deeper in hair dye... Bluenorthwest Apr 2012 #46
We don't want Republicans to be young enough to serve two terms. bornskeptic Jul 2012 #55
education jyaky123 Apr 2012 #5
This message was self-deleted by its author Paulie Apr 2012 #37
Brian Schweitzer brooklynite Apr 2012 #6
+1000 Rosco T. Apr 2012 #14
Schweitzer would be a hoot with the branding iron..and scary for the GOP.. tokenlib Apr 2012 #36
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand. EC Apr 2012 #7
I think she's a distinct possibility. MarianJack Apr 2012 #34
She's young enough to sit EC Apr 2012 #50
I had my heart set on Eliot Spitzer years ago rurallib Apr 2012 #8
Barring a Hillary run, Cuomo is the odds-on favorite right now. wyldwolf Apr 2012 #9
New York Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #58
Was Obama too connected to Chicago? How well known was he nationally five years out? wyldwolf Jul 2012 #59
Obama was a once in a lifetime event Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #73
No he wasn't. He was a once in every-four-to-eight-years event wyldwolf Jul 2012 #74
As a New Yorker at-heart... Chan790 Jul 2012 #83
The only one I would consider is Hillary center rising Apr 2012 #10
Cuomo. n/t Daniel537 Apr 2012 #11
Lean Hillary right now. I really like Cuomo too though. Am curious why Warren is here. stevenleser Apr 2012 #12
One big snub here Robbins Apr 2012 #15
Hillary will easily win in 2016 when she runs, Warren should stay in Senate IF she wins graham4anything Apr 2012 #16
I like Russ Mponti Apr 2012 #17
Being Governor of Wisconsin would be the stepping stone to the WH for Russ lutefisk Apr 2012 #19
Mark Warner is likely Thrill Apr 2012 #18
I would favor Brian Schweitzer at the moment. Mr.Turnip Apr 2012 #20
Not at all too early ... in fact ... this discussion is LATE on DU. JoePhilly Apr 2012 #21
I like Warren, but can we get her elected to the Senate FIRST? Bake Apr 2012 #22
Alan Grayson n/t Tx4obama Apr 2012 #23
Regarding Elizabeth Warren we don't know much about her positions, other than mostly financial ones Tx4obama Apr 2012 #24
I picked Martin O'Malley. Arkana Apr 2012 #25
I love O'Malley but I want a WOMAN president. I would say Warren at this point if she makes it CTyankee Apr 2012 #28
I think Hillary WILL run. MrSlayer Apr 2012 #26
Surprised to see all the Warren choices. People, she has yet to be elected to the SENATE. Alexander Apr 2012 #29
I've never heard of O'Malley. Had to even look his photo up. He'd need better name regonition Tx4obama Apr 2012 #30
The only guy I will ever pound the pavement for would be Howard Dean. ScreamingMeemie Apr 2012 #32
Hillary!! IndyJones Apr 2012 #33
Elizabeth Warren/Cory Booker 2016 iloveObama12 Apr 2012 #35
Hell yes and welcome to DU. great white snark Apr 2012 #43
Don't see it Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #57
Riddle me this, Batman. Chan790 Jul 2012 #84
Elizabeth Warren will be a good senator if elected, Beacool Apr 2012 #38
And Mitt is one year older than Hillary.... Bluenorthwest Apr 2012 #48
Yep, that he is. Beacool Apr 2012 #49
Another write in for Cory Booker. nt DLine Apr 2012 #41
I think Hillary will run, and I think Hillary will win. Even with all of the anti-Hillary posters musicblind Apr 2012 #42
HRC would be our best bet in 16... and-justice-for-all Apr 2012 #44
Nancy Pelosi Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #70
Biden Splinter Cell Apr 2012 #45
Schwitzer, Booker, Franken, Merkely, many others...Warren also great.... Bluenorthwest Apr 2012 #47
Hillary. nt Skip Intro Apr 2012 #51
O'Malley was my choice jarhad Jul 2012 #52
O'Malley - but I also like Warren, Gillibrand, Biden, Hillary, Deval Patrick... UrbScotty Jul 2012 #53
O'Malley is my 1st choice aintitfunny Jul 2012 #54
Topic hits a nerve, but Joe Biden is NOT the future of the Democratic Party shanen Jul 2012 #56
Dukakis, Kerry, Romney.....Warren?? BluegrassDem Jul 2012 #60
Agreed. Plus, we want Elizabeth in MA for more than 1 term graywarrior Jul 2012 #61
Let's get Elizabeth elected first! Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #63
! graywarrior Jul 2012 #65
We don't need Hillary. Splinter Cell Jul 2012 #66
I am leaning towards Secretary Clinton. However, my views may change AJTheMan Jul 2012 #67
Grayson bluedigger Jul 2012 #68
Blonde Palefaces Maximumnegro Jul 2012 #69
Pass davidpdx Jul 2012 #72
I'm an Andrew Cuomo boy- but I'm very concerned about having a candidate with cecilfirefox Jul 2012 #75
Elizabeth Warren, thanks. Scuba Jul 2012 #76
Wondering how much of that HC support is really just contrarian. I just don't get her bona fides, patrice Jul 2012 #77
Sounds crazy now but... Z_California Jul 2012 #78
Michelle Obama...n/t veganlush Jul 2012 #79
Al Franken. geardaddy Jul 2012 #80
Let's win this election first. n/t FSogol Jul 2012 #81
Another vote for Schweitzer Proud Public Servant Jul 2012 #82

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)
71. I think Dean is finished
Wed Jul 11, 2012, 02:19 AM
Jul 2012

The media worked hard to destroy Dean in 2004, and would do so again if he were to run.

I don't think he will.

Skinner

(63,645 posts)
2. It was a tough call between Hillary Clinton and Martin O'Malley.
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 11:56 AM
Apr 2012

But I had to go with Hillary, because she's paid her dues and has really earned it.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
62. Not sure why for Skinner, but imho, she has never been a Governor, Congressperson or Senator
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 06:20 PM
Jul 2012

in fact, as far as I have been able to tell, she has never been elected to anything, AND, she is having a tough fight with a Republican to win a senate seat in Massachussetts. She might have the best views and policy positions in the history of politics, but right now there is nothing to indicate she would be a strong candidate in a national campaign or that she has the requisite experience.

This would need to be somewhat reevaluated if she wins in November, of course, but she would only have 2 years of elected office experience of any kind at the start of the 2016 campaign. People howled at Barack Obama's experience level and he had eight years of experience in the Illinois state senate before being elected to the US Senate in 2004.

CTyankee

(63,912 posts)
64. good point, but she has been in government, even tho not in
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 06:52 PM
Jul 2012

elected office. But, neither was Hillary Clinton until she was elected to the Senate. She hadn't held any other government positiion, which is not the case with Warren.

I'm not against Hillary at all, just defending Warren as an outsider if she only has 2 years of Senate experience when/if she runs for Prez.

Renew Deal

(81,863 posts)
4. Biden won't run, but Hillary would be interesting
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 12:13 PM
Apr 2012

Though I think she will be up there in age if she ran. I am interested in O'Malley, Cuomo, and anyone else that chooses to run.

I don't think Elizabeth Warren will run either.

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
39. Dean is 1 younger and Warren 2 years younger than Hillary.
Thu Apr 26, 2012, 02:21 PM
Apr 2012

How come people keep bringing up her age? Who's mentioning the age of Gingrich (68), Romney (65) and Paul (76)? I've heard plenty of attacks over these men's politics, but not a peep about their age.

Renew Deal

(81,863 posts)
40. She's going to be 68 in 2016.
Thu Apr 26, 2012, 02:46 PM
Apr 2012

If she wins 2 terms she will leave office at the age of 76. The presidency is an intense job. Hillary is reported to be tired from being Secretary of State. Being president is less travel, but it's a big job.

Ultimately the age issue is about something no one (including me) wants to talk about. We want the president to serve their entire term.

I've heard people bring up Romney's and Paul's age. Paul has no chance, so no one cares. Romney looks a little younger than his age, so people don't realize how old he is. But Romney would be the third or 4th oldest president at inauguration. Hillary would be the 2nd or 3rd oldest.

bornskeptic

(1,330 posts)
55. We don't want Republicans to be young enough to serve two terms.
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 04:17 PM
Jul 2012

Paul is obviously too old to serve one term, but nobody ever thought he had a chance to be nominated. Nobody ever mentioned that Mike Gravel was too old in 2008 ither, because nobody cared, because everybody knew he couldn't win the nomination. Romney is four years younger than Clinton will be in 2016. He'as near the upper limit as far as the age of a candidate I would support. Gingrich is really too old, but then they are Republicans. They're so incompetent already, so they're not likely to get worse with age.

jyaky123

(1 post)
5. education
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 12:23 PM
Apr 2012

Hi,
Salutation to one of the the majority forum site
Here we get much awareness in it from some
Experts.
Thank you………………………………………………………..
………………………………………………………………………………
[url=http://www.ezdia.com/epad/tutorial-jquery-struts-2-framework/319/] struts2 jQuery [/url]

Response to jyaky123 (Reply #5)

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)
34. I think she's a distinct possibility.
Reply to EC (Reply #7)
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 11:03 PM
Apr 2012

If Andrew Cuomo gets in, do you think she would also or sit it out?

PEACE!

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)
58. New York
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 05:37 PM
Jul 2012

Isn't Cuomo too connected with New York? Wouldn't he likely be seen as just another New York liberal Democrat by the rest of the country?

He's also not very well-known in the rest of the country.

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)
73. Obama was a once in a lifetime event
Wed Jul 11, 2012, 07:47 AM
Jul 2012

Things are not likely to follow the same pattern again.

Not sure what 'five years out' means. It's only about 2 and a half years before the next set of candidates will have to declare themselves.

wyldwolf

(43,867 posts)
74. No he wasn't. He was a once in every-four-to-eight-years event
Wed Jul 11, 2012, 08:23 AM
Jul 2012

Obama didn't win a Reagan-style landslide election.

In most cases, the candidate was virtually unknown to the American people at large five years out of a presidential election.

 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
83. As a New Yorker at-heart...
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 01:14 AM
Jul 2012

I swear to a God I don't even believe in I will leave Democratic Party if the nominee is Andy Cuomo. The guy is everything wrong with Democratic politics today. I dislike Hillary Clinton and hate Rahm Emanuel but I'm at a loss for a sufficient descriptor for how much I loathe the mere continued existence of Andy Cuomo.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
12. Lean Hillary right now. I really like Cuomo too though. Am curious why Warren is here.
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 01:19 PM
Apr 2012

She hasn't won her senate race yet and there is serious concern whether she can pull that off.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
15. One big snub here
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 01:45 PM
Apr 2012

Deval Patrick should be Included.I think he Is very likely to run.And could have some of people who worked for Obama working for him.

Aside for signing Gay Marrage Into law Cuomo has governed as a very centist democrat.And If people think Obama has been too
centrist do you really think Hillary would be more liberal than Obama?

Also I think Sherrod Brown and Brian Schweitzer may run.And I think would be good candiates.

If Biden runs I will be supporting him.If he doesn't I am leaning towards Patrick although I am starting to warm to Idea of Schweizer.

 

graham4anything

(11,464 posts)
16. Hillary will easily win in 2016 when she runs, Warren should stay in Senate IF she wins
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 01:52 PM
Apr 2012

Warren needs to remain in the Senate, and be a strong senator (which is why she is running, isn't it???)

If she left to start running for President after just a couple of years, why bother?

This is how the Dems depleted the numbers in the Senate, and its wrong.

Hillary 2016.She earned it.

lutefisk

(3,974 posts)
19. Being Governor of Wisconsin would be the stepping stone to the WH for Russ
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 02:54 PM
Apr 2012

And he could have saved Wisconsin in the process...

If he had plans to run for POTUS, I believe he would have stepped up in Wisconsin, first.

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)
20. I would favor Brian Schweitzer at the moment.
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 03:16 PM
Apr 2012

he's a bit less liberal some issues than I would like but he's a real populist and a good governor. I also think he might have a shot at finally bringing the white working class back to the party.

If not him Gillibrand, she's my senator and she's done a truly great job and has led on quite a few important issues, far more than most first term senators do at least.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
21. Not at all too early ... in fact ... this discussion is LATE on DU.
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 03:54 PM
Apr 2012

For MONTHS we had DU members screaming about a primary against Obama.

It was never going to happen. Obama was going to be the Dem nominee in 2012.

And he will be.

And so ... those who wanted a more progressive candidate than Obama in 2012, now need to turn their attention to 2016.

Who is this more progressive candidate that the Dems should run in 2016 ... and ... why doesn't DU have a group set up on exactly that topic?

The folks who have regularly complained that Obama is not progressive enough need to get started drafting more progressive candidates for 2016 now, not in 2015.

You are not asking this question too early.

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
24. Regarding Elizabeth Warren we don't know much about her positions, other than mostly financial ones
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 05:03 PM
Apr 2012

I think it's too early to determine her viability in a presidential election.

On the issues: http://senate.ontheissues.org/Senate/Elizabeth_Warren.htm



Arkana

(24,347 posts)
25. I picked Martin O'Malley.
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 05:19 PM
Apr 2012

Elizabeth Warren will only have 4 years in the Senate (if she wins), and I'm not going through the special election bullshit again just so another upjumped wingnut can steal her seat. Cuomo is a wolf in sheep's clothing.

I can't in good conscience cast a vote for Rahm Emanuel, mostly because I think he'd be an awful candidate.

I'll vote for Hillary if she's the nominee, but I think the Presidency requires young hands, and hers won't be by 2016. I wouldn't vote for her for the same reason I wouldn't vote for Biden if he ran (he won't).

I like O'Malley--he's bright, he's well-spoken, he's relatively young, and he signed gay marriage into law in Maryland--but he's not a douche like Cuomo.

CTyankee

(63,912 posts)
28. I love O'Malley but I want a WOMAN president. I would say Warren at this point if she makes it
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 06:23 PM
Apr 2012

to Senator. If not, then Hillary...

 

Alexander

(15,318 posts)
29. Surprised to see all the Warren choices. People, she has yet to be elected to the SENATE.
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 06:32 PM
Apr 2012

My vote went to O'Malley. He has a good record, and all the times I've seen him speak, he's been very witty.

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
30. I've never heard of O'Malley. Had to even look his photo up. He'd need better name regonition
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 06:52 PM
Apr 2012

if he were to decide to run.

ScreamingMeemie

(68,918 posts)
32. The only guy I will ever pound the pavement for would be Howard Dean.
Wed Apr 25, 2012, 07:34 PM
Apr 2012

The others are unfortunate choices, and not worth knocking on doors for.

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)
57. Don't see it
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 05:35 PM
Jul 2012

Are you kidding? Warren won't have enough experience to run in 2016 (and that's IF she gets elected to the Senate this year).

And Booker does not deserve to be anywhere near the Democratic ticket after his vile comments defending Bain.

 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
84. Riddle me this, Batman.
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 01:26 AM
Jul 2012

Why the fuck on Earth would Elizabeth Warren ever run on a ticket with an avowed fiscal conservative like Cory Booker? Booker may be a Democrat but he's not a very good one...why not replace him with his identical twin Harold Ford? Then you have a Southern Democrat and a persecuted (in his own mind) minority on the ticket instead of two North-easterners.

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
38. Elizabeth Warren will be a good senator if elected,
Thu Apr 26, 2012, 02:15 PM
Apr 2012

but she won't be anywhere near ready to run a presidential campaign in 2016. Besides, for all those who bring up Hillary's age, Warren is only 2 years younger.

musicblind

(4,484 posts)
42. I think Hillary will run, and I think Hillary will win. Even with all of the anti-Hillary posters
Fri Apr 27, 2012, 05:40 AM
Apr 2012

from 2008, and bad blood on the board back then, she is tied in the poll with Elizabeth Warner and 31%.

Will she go on to win the presidency, idk. But I do think she will run, and she will win the democratic nomination in 2016.

I also think she would make a good president, just as she has made a good Secretary of State.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
47. Schwitzer, Booker, Franken, Merkely, many others...Warren also great....
Sun Apr 29, 2012, 03:49 PM
Apr 2012

That list in the OP, some of them I'd just not support, at anytime, at all. Kaine? He's from the wrong Century, and so dull that he makes Romney look like Mr Excitement....easier to elect a sea slug, although no sea slug is that far to the right....

jarhad

(1 post)
52. O'Malley was my choice
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 03:13 PM
Jul 2012

But I'm biased. I'm from maryland. Warren isn't guaranteed to win, Cuomo's what I call a Red D. Hillary would be great, but I don't think she'll run for the same Reason Joe won't. Warner and Kaine are to far right to win a national primary. O'Malley is witty, a southerner, progressive, and he'll definitely capitalize on the conservative aspects of his opponents to win the primary.[link:www.keystonepolitics.com/2012/05/martin-omalley-president-2016/|

 

shanen

(349 posts)
56. Topic hits a nerve, but Joe Biden is NOT the future of the Democratic Party
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 05:24 PM
Jul 2012

Don't get me wrong, I like Joe Biden, but I think he would be much better as Secretary of State than as VP and that he's just too old to run in 2016. My own hope is that President Obama is waiting to see who Romney picks, and then he will pick a younger Democrat as his VP for this race. It could possibly be Hillary, but she's not much younger than Biden...

However, I think this topic is an entertaining distraction and we should be focused on WMA (Weapons of Mass Advertising) against Romney, per this other thread:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=37926

 

BluegrassDem

(1,693 posts)
60. Dukakis, Kerry, Romney.....Warren??
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 06:03 PM
Jul 2012

Look I LOVE Elizabeth Warren, but what about the obvious? After Romney loses in November, there'll be a long line of presidential losers from Massachusetts. I don't think we need to nominate someone from Massachusetts for a while. Outside of JFK, it's just not good for the party.

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)
63. Let's get Elizabeth elected first!
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 06:41 PM
Jul 2012

Let's get Elizabeth Warren elected to the Senate before assuming she will be a candidate in 2016.

And if she does get elected, I don't think she will run before even completing one term. Except in rare cases (eg. Obama), you're usually expected to pay your dues and wait your turn before running.

I expect the people who run for the nomination will have been in office for longer.

Splinter Cell

(703 posts)
66. We don't need Hillary.
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 08:22 PM
Jul 2012

So many people around DU complain about Obama not being liberal enough for their tastes, yet Hillary has so much support, even though she is more conservative than Obama.

AJTheMan

(288 posts)
67. I am leaning towards Secretary Clinton. However, my views may change
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 09:39 PM
Jul 2012

depending on who actually runs and how the previous four years go.

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)
69. Blonde Palefaces
Tue Jul 10, 2012, 10:48 PM
Jul 2012

After Obama, America will lurch to the safest palest person they can trust. It's just how this country works. The pendulum swing. And it will definitely be a woman (love O'Malley though) as women are now a dominating force economically and electorally. But no Hillary please! Past is the past. Clinton fatigue will set in *hard*. My vote goes to Gillibrand, because ultimately pres. elections are popularity contests and a young fresh-faced blonde with the political skills to take the stage is a strong bet. Sounds superficial, but the masses are, well, superficial.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
72. Pass
Wed Jul 11, 2012, 07:37 AM
Jul 2012

Simply because it's too soon to talk about it. If the next election starts the day after this one how the hell are things going to get done? Yes, Obama will be able to do things because he doesn't have to run for reelection, but the sooner the 2016 election starts the sooner he looks like a lame duck. Personally I despise the fact that people are speculating that far ahead.

cecilfirefox

(784 posts)
75. I'm an Andrew Cuomo boy- but I'm very concerned about having a candidate with
Wed Jul 11, 2012, 11:07 AM
Jul 2012

lots of foreign policy experience. I come from a military family and am somewhat hawkish.

patrice

(47,992 posts)
77. Wondering how much of that HC support is really just contrarian. I just don't get her bona fides,
Wed Jul 11, 2012, 11:34 AM
Jul 2012

other than that she represents power, so to me this appears to be "HC because we say HC and for no other reason". It appears to be HC because it's her turn, or it was her turn in '08, so we must "fix" that as soon as possible.

Hey, I'm trying, but I just don't get her. I know her resume, SOS is great, but I don't think she's really Left enough. Yeah, she wrote about Saul Alinsky for her master's, but it was a put-down, wasn't it? She's all window-dressing that will disappear when it becomes "necessary" to go to war AGAIN.

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
82. Another vote for Schweitzer
Wed Jul 11, 2012, 12:59 PM
Jul 2012

Democratic populist with an impressive record as governor and charisma to spare. He'd be an awesome candidate. Schweitzer/Gillibrand 2016!

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»The Way Too Early 2016 De...