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big_dog

(4,144 posts)
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 02:47 PM Nov 2013

2016 Quinnipac Poll: Chris Christie 43, Hillary Clinton 42 (generic ballot test 39-39 D/R)

A new poll finds former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie virtually tied in a potential 2016 matchup. Christie takes 43 percent in the Quinnipiac poll, compared with 42 percent for Clinton. Christie’s strength comes in part from his strong showing among independents: He leads among the group by 16 points, 48 percent to 32 percent. He also leads among men and white voters, and comes within 12 points of Clinton among Hispanic voters — far above 2012 GOP candidate Mitt Romney’s performance with that demographic. Clinton’s strength is with women (she leads 48 percent to 39 percent) and among black voters (77 percent to 12 percent).


Clinton has big leads against other possible GOP presidential contenders. She leads both Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) by 9 points, 49 percent to 40 percent, and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) by 15 points, 51 percent to 36 percent.

The poll also found that voters are split over which party they’d prefer to vote for in their own congressional district: Democrats and Republicans each take 39 percent. That’s a big change from early last month when Quinnipiac found Democrats leading Republicans by 9 points in the generic ballot test, 43 percent to 34 percent.

Still, voters disapprove of congressional Republicans at higher rates than they do of congressional Democrats: voters disapprove of Republicans more than they approve by a 53 point margin (73 percent to 20 percent), compared with a 32 point margin (62 percent to 30 percent) for Democrats. The poll surveyed 2,545 registered voters from Nov. 6-11, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 perce



Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2013/11/chris-christie-hillary-clinton-2016-election-poll-99800.html#ixzz2kk1yXhh1

34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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2016 Quinnipac Poll: Chris Christie 43, Hillary Clinton 42 (generic ballot test 39-39 D/R) (Original Post) big_dog Nov 2013 OP
Neo-con Christie is up only because of the media coverage this past week. Dawson Leery Nov 2013 #1
Christie is in for 2016, might be already choosing a Latina running mate according to the Atlantic big_dog Nov 2013 #3
I agree he is running. Dawson Leery Nov 2013 #4
could the Tea Party/wingnut wing ever support Susana Martinez as Veep? big_dog Nov 2013 #7
Christie is overrated Kelvin Mace Nov 2013 #2
1% is not a lot and HRC hasn't picked a running mate yet big_dog Nov 2013 #5
HRC hasn't even announced that she's running Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2013 #11
Pretty much a foregone conclusion Kelvin Mace Nov 2013 #14
The Teabaggers won't influence Christie's nomination Proud Public Servant Nov 2013 #8
the Atlantic said among the Wall St types there is only 30% of Jeb running big_dog Nov 2013 #9
They have influence in that they make Kelvin Mace Nov 2013 #13
Our biggest fear should be Proud Public Servant Nov 2013 #15
Christie already started moving to the right Kelvin Mace Nov 2013 #16
exactly, the real danger is if Christie can reveal just how crazy the wingnunts are big_dog Nov 2013 #19
The tea party does not control the process. former9thward Nov 2013 #21
No, they didn't want Roney Kelvin Mace Nov 2013 #28
Another politico article pushing repukes. Lets see, what has Christie done. They were so excited lostincalifornia Nov 2013 #6
I saw that poll, every Democrat took a dive. Beacool Nov 2013 #10
MSM does it again Robbins Nov 2013 #12
Stupid Presidential polls mean nothing bigdarryl Nov 2013 #17
He will have to get crazier than Ted Cruz or Rand Paul to make it through the GOP AlinPA Nov 2013 #18
ironically, Christie's best hope is if the crazies split the vote big_dog Nov 2013 #20
15% is about that's left for him after all the crazies in the GOP hold their primaries. AlinPA Nov 2013 #22
He hasn't been nationally vetted. And who does that better than the Tea Party? Imagine the libdem4life Nov 2013 #23
I've been saying that for awhile davidpdx Nov 2013 #30
He is carrying water for Jeb. Can't see any other reason. I think, in a quirky kind of way, the Dems libdem4life Nov 2013 #32
i was going to write something rude about Christie Rosa Luxemburg Nov 2013 #24
If Hillary Clinton is our nominee, we will have a Republican president. Mark my words. Liberal_Stalwart71 Nov 2013 #25
Don't look at presidential polls 2+ years before the election. RandySF Nov 2013 #26
Can someone please expose Chris Christie for the tartan2 Nov 2013 #27
eventually Christie will do it to himself his self control is a problem big_dog Nov 2013 #33
Not too concerned with this poll. hrmjustin Nov 2013 #29
2014. Iggo Nov 2013 #31
You won't believe the poll I saw for the 2088 race, statistically tied DFW Nov 2013 #34

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
1. Neo-con Christie is up only because of the media coverage this past week.
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 02:49 PM
Nov 2013

Q leans right and had Rmoney winning the election last year.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
4. I agree he is running.
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 02:54 PM
Nov 2013

I am saying his numbers are up because of media coverage. He has NOT been vetted. The tea party holds great influence in the GOP.

 

big_dog

(4,144 posts)
7. could the Tea Party/wingnut wing ever support Susana Martinez as Veep?
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 03:02 PM
Nov 2013

its probably the GOP's only chance to remain competitive nationally

 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
2. Christie is overrated
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 02:50 PM
Nov 2013

and will not get the nomination. The Tea Party wing hate him, and they control the process. His only hope is to, like Romney, run hard to the right. When he does that his numbers will tank.

That said, I REALLY wish it was someone other than HRC. Warren isn't going to run, though she might be persuaded to join the the #2 slot.

 

big_dog

(4,144 posts)
5. 1% is not a lot and HRC hasn't picked a running mate yet
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 02:55 PM
Nov 2013

can Warren deliver the oratory goods exciting the foot soldiers/get out the vote ground troops as Veep though?

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
8. The Teabaggers won't influence Christie's nomination
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 03:09 PM
Nov 2013

The baggers have been the core of the GOP for decades now. Yet, after St. Ronnie left office, who have the GOP nominees been? One establishment figure after another: Bush, Dole, Baby Bush, McCain, Romney. There's a pattern there, and it points straight to Christie (unless Jeb runs).

 

big_dog

(4,144 posts)
9. the Atlantic said among the Wall St types there is only 30% of Jeb running
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 03:15 PM
Nov 2013

Last edited Fri Nov 15, 2013, 06:16 PM - Edit history (1)

its just not his time at all, too many people hate the Bushes, even Rick Perry looks too much like a Bush to get traction

 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
13. They have influence in that they make
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 05:04 PM
Nov 2013

any candidate who expects the nomination to move hard to the right. Which then makes the candidate lose in most general elections.

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
15. Our biggest fear should be
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 05:17 PM
Nov 2013

that Christie won't do that. If I were one of Christie's handlers, I'd be advising him to use the campaign to decry Teahadism as radicalism while he claims that he stands for the "true" conservative values of the old GOP. I'd be looking for one "Sister Soldjah moment" after another; they'd be tailor-made for Christie's bullying personality. The baggers are still a minority of the GOP, and in the primary they're likely to have multiple candidates; Christie, watching them divide their minority while he takes the majority of non-baggers, wins the nomination in a walk and enters the general election as the guy who stood up to the Tea Party, effectively gutting what would have been a major Dem campaign issue.

Watch for it: there will be a moment -- a debate, probably -- where Christie simply blows up at Ted Cruz, red-faced and full-Jersey. And in that moment, the GOP will be a viable party again and we'll have a real fight on our hands.

 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
16. Christie already started moving to the right
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 05:20 PM
Nov 2013

in the last year.

The Tea Party has enough money and clout to seriously damage him, and if he plays to the center as a "moderate" they will pull out all the stops to take him down.

I look forward to a BRUTAL primary. I only wish I had the concession on straight razors and axe handles.

 

big_dog

(4,144 posts)
19. exactly, the real danger is if Christie can reveal just how crazy the wingnunts are
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 06:20 PM
Nov 2013

during the primaries and he might pick up even MORE I's in the rust belt and Blue Dogs/Nascar Dads in the south. So in that case we should probably be hoping for a Rick Perry type or someone beatable without a lot of national experience like Paul Ryan

former9thward

(32,097 posts)
21. The tea party does not control the process.
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 08:11 PM
Nov 2013

They are strong in certain parts of the country and not so much in others. In 2012 the tea party types definitely did not want Romney. They wanted anybody but Romney. Romney represented the establishment.

 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
28. No, they didn't want Roney
Sat Nov 16, 2013, 01:16 AM
Nov 2013

But, his courting them drove him further right, which caused him to lose.

The same thing will happen to Christie.

lostincalifornia

(3,639 posts)
6. Another politico article pushing repukes. Lets see, what has Christie done. They were so excited
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 02:55 PM
Nov 2013

about Rudy after 9/11 and his presidential aspirations, and that did not amount to much

The gender vote is being underestimated I believe in this poll

Funny why they did not include jeb

So we have an anti-gay, anti-choice, anti-public education jerk running in a hypothetical match up against Hillary

And exactly what has the media done to report on the actual positions Christie has?

Not discuss them

This poll is worthless

Beacool

(30,253 posts)
10. I saw that poll, every Democrat took a dive.
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 03:40 PM
Nov 2013

The problems with the ACA are dragging down every Democrat's polls. Christie's polls are up because of his recent win in NJ and the subsequent media attention. I'm not worried right now about 2016. It's way too soon and three years are a lifetime in politics.

I'm more concerned about the 2014 midterm elections if the problems with the ACA are not fixed in the next few months.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
12. MSM does it again
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 04:26 PM
Nov 2013

They have been tearing down Democrats and boosting Christie.

Could Christie be the next W?The MSM keeps making him look like moderate and different than rest when both are lies.Christie Is as
much antiworker and far right as the rest.

The MSM Is doing all they can to make 2014 another 2010.CBS as far as I am concerned Is no better than Fox or CNN

and with Obama and Democrats craving on Junk Insurence and Bill CLinton giving the knife to Obama things aren't looking good.

The MSM Is out for
1 estroying the ACA
2:Making sure republicans keep house In 2014
3:Helping republicans take the senate In 2014
4:electing Christie as president In 2016

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
17. Stupid Presidential polls mean nothing
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 05:32 PM
Nov 2013

It all depends on Allan Lichtmans 13 key system if the democrats keep the White House

AlinPA

(15,071 posts)
18. He will have to get crazier than Ted Cruz or Rand Paul to make it through the GOP
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 05:35 PM
Nov 2013

primaries. Crazy people run the party now.

 

big_dog

(4,144 posts)
20. ironically, Christie's best hope is if the crazies split the vote
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 06:37 PM
Nov 2013

and he can run and win with 15% of the vote....

AlinPA

(15,071 posts)
22. 15% is about that's left for him after all the crazies in the GOP hold their primaries.
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 09:24 PM
Nov 2013

Cruz, Santorum, Perry, and Paul will be ahead of him.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
23. He hasn't been nationally vetted. And who does that better than the Tea Party? Imagine the
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 10:37 PM
Nov 2013

public scenes when the press starts to ask him about this hinted-at baggage. Yelling and wagging his finger at a teacher will seem like one of his greater and more composed moments. Count on it. He's got a thin skin, as they say. Can't take the heat. I'd bet he has high blood pressure, as well. He's a classic.

No way he gets the nomination. He's already kind of a caricature.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
30. I've been saying that for awhile
Sat Nov 16, 2013, 05:14 AM
Nov 2013

I think there is still a good chance something damaging will come out about Christie if he runs. He has a very nasty temper and is a bully. Some people on DU assume that Christie will be the nominee. A teacher in high school once told us assuming makes an ass out of you and me.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
32. He is carrying water for Jeb. Can't see any other reason. I think, in a quirky kind of way, the Dems
Sat Nov 16, 2013, 01:49 PM
Nov 2013

went along with it by virtually ignoring Buono and saving their party money.

Susana Martinez, R-NM, OTOH, is a good choice for VP. Problem is, she probably can't switch. But like Bernie Sanders and even Elizabeth Warren, getting national press, as long as it is positive, is never a bad thing for a career advancement.

Haven't heard that "truthism" for a long time...so true.

Rosa Luxemburg

(28,627 posts)
24. i was going to write something rude about Christie
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 11:00 PM
Nov 2013

but I would like to have a quiet word with him so he can put in his application to join the Democratic Party. Even though he has a history of being rather rightish it's not too late. If he doesn't we will go after him with full force.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
25. If Hillary Clinton is our nominee, we will have a Republican president. Mark my words.
Fri Nov 15, 2013, 11:38 PM
Nov 2013

Embracing "Hillary the Inevitable" is setting us up for failure. That is what I'm seeing. The Corporate Media will turn on her and get people to start hating her. Not to mention, the strategy to divide the Democrats: Clintons vs. Obama.

tartan2

(314 posts)
27. Can someone please expose Chris Christie for the
Sat Nov 16, 2013, 12:53 AM
Nov 2013

extreme right winger that he is! He is not a centrist or a moderate.

 

big_dog

(4,144 posts)
33. eventually Christie will do it to himself his self control is a problem
Tue Nov 19, 2013, 03:11 PM
Nov 2013

like Romnney and the 47% comments, the temper will come out in a heated campaign

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
29. Not too concerned with this poll.
Sat Nov 16, 2013, 03:51 AM
Nov 2013

If the two of them are the nominees it will likely be close. I still think Hillary will be the next President.

DFW

(54,447 posts)
34. You won't believe the poll I saw for the 2088 race, statistically tied
Tue Nov 19, 2013, 03:47 PM
Nov 2013

The margin of error could change radically if one or both candidates end up not being born.

Three years in politics might as well be 75 years. Speculation about 2016 at this point is about as useful as speculating about 2088.

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