2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton’s Popularity Drops to 52% as 2016 Edge Shrinks
By Jonathan Allen Jun 12, 2014 8:00 PM ET
Hillary Clintons popularity continues to slide as she takes on a more political posture and Republicans raise questions about the deadly 2012 attack on a U.S. diplomatic post in Libya on her watch.
Fifty-two percent of Americans view the former secretary of state favorably, down from 56 percent in March and 70 percent in December 2012, according to the Bloomberg National Poll.
The decline means Clinton wouldnt enter a possible 2016 race as a prohibitive favorite over key Republican rivals. While she still bests them in head-to-head matchups, she doesnt have majority support against any of them.
Among likely 2016 voters, Clinton beats New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, 45 percent to 38 percent, the poll shows. When matched against Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, Clinton pulls 47 percent support compared with 38 percent for each of her opponents. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida registers only slightly weaker, drawing 36 percent backing to Clintons 47 percent.
In the March Bloomberg poll, Clinton was ahead of Christie among likely voters by 52 percent to 39 percent.
more...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-06-13/clinton-s-popularity-drops-to-52-as-2016-edge-shrinks.html
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Reter
(2,188 posts)Only Rubio was an over 10% lead in that poll, not "everyone of them" like you said. Just sayin'.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Just sayin'.
Swede Atlanta
(3,596 posts)We are 2+ years away from the election.
I would support a constitutional amendment that made polling and reporting of polling a capital offense subject to immediate dismemberment on national television.
I hate pollsters and I think their role in our politics is almost as bad as big money.
Xyzse
(8,217 posts)Though, I don't quite support your 2nd paragraph.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)Not putting much stock in it and who do the Republicans got who can seriously match her? Republicans don't have any policies and they are losing their demographics too. The only thing they have is a guaranteed spot on the ballot.
blkmusclmachine
(16,149 posts)Stallion
(6,474 posts)I actually took a look at the poll and she has net favorability of 52% v net unfavorability of only 40%. Note also the 8% undecided which in the real world are going to split. Considering that Hillary is a known product +12 out of 92% is great. Those are historic Democratic Landslide numbers
imthevicar
(811 posts)About sudden 5-10 Point spikes or dives. Despite the Hub bub that will occur, this will be the occasional happening in news cycles. But a slow drop of .5-1 point at a time over long periods spells trouble. I still think she is too leaky of a ship to put to sea.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Sorta tells a story, if she is sitting on 50% means a full field of possible Democrats she is ahead of all of them.
karynnj
(59,503 posts)This is pure wistful thinking. The closest Republican, who has more baggage that people don't know - ie the NJ economy did worse than all neighboring and comparable states economically - is 7 points below her.
For a non incumbent, this is incredible - but the stronger thing is that in other polls that look at the Democratic primary - she is stronger than VP Gore was, when like HRC, he had most of the powers in the Democratic party behind him. Bradley's resume was very good - and he didn't come close in that case. Nothing here suggests that she won't have a pretty easy ride to the nomination.
This is an unusual thing and it likely means that there will be few - if any - primary attacks that then are reused as general election attacks - with the added credibility a faction of the nominee's party gave them.
As to the 52%, this is as negative a time as I have seen in my lifetime. There are likely not all that many above 50% -- as to be there they need to be both seen positively and known by enough people. (Obama is under 50%, Nancy Pelosi is at 35%, Reid at 29%, Boehner at 26% and McConnell at 25% NATIONALLY - the last 4 taken from Republican leaning Rasmussen.)
To me, this looks like an article this person has been waiting to write. I assume that - even if he likes Clinton - he wants a story - and so far the story has been (lucky for us) pretty boring on the Democratic side.
Sunlei
(22,651 posts)a huge squandering of republican money, they could use in a more positive way.
But it is republican money to spend wastefully. They seem to love using poll-results in their propaganda news reports.
I have personally seen firsthand, how republicans use surveys, fake 'statements', fake news stories, incorrect stats/counts- to produce a scam GAO report.
I guess republican party assume American voters, 'we the people' are so stupid they will vote along with a "Popularity poll" or any poll. They do call their 'little people' squidges & remember people like Romney joke about, mock- the 47% with their peers.