2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBlack voters provided Cochran victory margin, data suggests
Sen. Cochrans strategy to draw black Democrats to polls appears to have workedIn an e-mail sent late last week, the black Democratic mayor of Vicksburg, Miss., urged 2,000 supporters to vote Tuesday for Sen. Thad Cochran, crediting the Republican for securing federal money for key local projects and calling him one of the citys best economic development tools.
The voice of an African American state lawmaker was heard in a recorded phone call Tuesday asserting that Cochran stood between the state and a tea party conservative who would do away with government services. And full-page ads in black newspapers lauded the senator as a champion of historically black colleges.
An intensive strategy over the past three weeks to draw black voters to the polls and spare Cochran from what once seemed like a certain defeat at the hands of a tea party challenger in Tuesdays GOP runoff appears to have worked. Voter data shows that turnout rose sharply in Tuesdays election in black areas of the state over the initial June 3 primary, a runoff made necessary when Chris McDaniel narrowly edged Cochran but was unable to win 50 percent of the vote.
That suggested that not only did traditionally Democratic black voters turn out on behalf of the states 76-year-old white Republican senator, but they may have provided his margin of victory. Mississippis open primary system allowed Democrats to vote in the GOP election, provided they had not participated in the June 3 Democratic primary.
In Mississippis 24 counties with a majority black population, turnout increased an average of 40 percent over the primary, according to a Washington Post analysis. In the states 58 other counties, the increase was only 16 percent.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/sen-cochrans-strategy-to-draw-black-democrats-to-polls-appears-to-have-worked/2014/06/25/74d72932-fc8a-11e3-8176-f2c941cf35f1_story.html?
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)Why would the Democtratic party help the easier win. I think we could have won the seat with McDaniel. I must not have the full picture or the Democratic plan to keep the Senate.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)By voting for Cochran, they were voting for a candidate, who despite being conservative, has a record of actually working with Democrats and doing something FOR the people of MS; McDaniel has no such record and has campaigned on NOT working with Democrats.
Secondly, the more gambling part of the strategy is, voting for Cochran would set the table for McDaniel to run a 3rd Party run in a highly and closely divided republican party, possibly presenting an opportunity for a Democratic win.
Either situation is a win for African-American electoral politics.
craigmatic
(4,510 posts)said it. The article is available on politicalwire.com.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)If Cochran wins the general (presumably, without the Black primary vote ... thank goodness except through exit Polling, there is no way to tell how individual voters voted), the NAACP can call in their primary marker.
If McDaniel mounts a third party challenge, and Cochran loses, it will likely be to the Democratic candidate, as neither Cochran nor McDaniel will get the Black vote, as they split the republican vote.
craigmatic
(4,510 posts)Botany
(70,501 posts).... one of the two white guys and one of them is just crazy." Chris McDaniel has a history
of hanging out with Klan supporters and really extreme right wing anti civil rights nut jobs
so the black voters voted for their self interest.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/26/us/politics/blacks-regain-sway-at-polls-in-mississippi.html?_r=0
Sunlei
(22,651 posts)He will vote D in the actual election.