2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRepublicans would get 51 US Senate seats if election held today
exboyfil
(17,863 posts)Uck.
cyberswede
(26,117 posts)...or cut my nutz off...
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)There are quite a few jokes there but I'm going to pass for fear of getting castrated myself.
riqster
(13,986 posts)Then help them to vote.
DFW
(54,405 posts)I wouldn't give up yet in CO, IA, GA, KY or AR
Eric J in MN
(35,619 posts)I hope they're able to get-out-the-vote enough to win.
CurtEastPoint
(18,650 posts)Reter
(2,188 posts)For a Democrat to even get over 45% in Alabama, he or she has to be anti-choice and hate gays. Is it even worth it to support someone like that?
valerief
(53,235 posts)LonePirate
(13,426 posts)You can manipulate voting regulations to determine which voters can actually vote.
valerief
(53,235 posts)gerrymandering has been done to the benefit of the GOP.
CaptainTruth
(6,594 posts)My level of confidence in this country is reaching an all time low.
The Stupid just seems to keep getting stronger & stronger, with more & more people living in a fantasy land of willful ignorance.
newfie11
(8,159 posts)MFM008
(19,816 posts)used to tell us kids to never underestimate the stupidity of the American public. He was no hippie or bagger, 23 years in the USAF and 20 years at the VA. I miss his sage contempt lol.
Cosmocat
(14,566 posts)I was just bewildered who stupid people were to buy republican bullshit in the 90s.
Two decades later, it somehow is worse.
Yavin4
(35,442 posts)on a daily basis.
msongs
(67,420 posts)jenmito
(37,326 posts)Senate, September 23, 2014 05:00 PM:
Democrats+Independents: 50
GOP: 50
Meta-margin: D +0.9%
Probability of Democratic+Independent control: 70% in an election today, 70% on Election Day
http://election.princeton.edu/
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)tuhaybey
(76 posts)66 dmhlt
(1,941 posts)Not sure how much I trust ANYTHING RCP puts out.
tuhaybey
(76 posts)You can trust a conservative source when it says liberal things. In this case, it is saying it is 50 instead of 51 (which it would prefer).
RCP does include Rasmussen, which is kind of questionable, and they don't include various web-based polls, some of which are very reputable. Together that tends to result in oversampling land-line types and undersampling Internet-age types, which skews their results to the right a bit, which is consistent with their editorial lean. But, that said, it is still a valuable resource. HuffPo Pollster provides a similar service and basically does the opposite- includes lots of web-based pollsters and doesn't include Rasmussen. So, HuffPo Pollster tends to error to the left a bit, which is also consistent with its editorial lean. So, my advice is to follow both and know that the actual results, if the election were held today, would very likely fall somewhere between the two.
That said, in 2012, the pollsters ALL errored to the right. So, maybe you'd actually be better off just going with the most liberal source you can find... But I think they've probably adjusted their turnout models since then.
lame54
(35,294 posts)even when dems bomb the shit out of someone we can't get the votes