2016 Postmortem

NPolitics1979

(613 posts) Tue Apr 14, 2015, 03:37 PM Apr 2015

2016 US Presidential Election- Electoral College Vote.

Last edited Tue Apr 14, 2015, 08:26 PM - Edit history (1)

Safe Hillary Clinton-D states.
CA-55
CT-7(62)
DE-3(65)
DC-3(68)
HI-4(72)
IL-20(92)
ME-2(94)
ME-1CD(95)
MD-10(105)
MA-11(116)
NJ-14(130)
NY-29(159)
RI-4(163)
VT-3(166)
Safe R states
AL-9
AR-6(15)
ID-4(19)
KS-6(25)
KY-8(33)
LA-8(41)
NE-2(43)
NE-1CD(44)
NE-3DC(45)
ND-3(48)
OK-7(55)
SD-3(58)
TN-11(69)
TX-38(107)
UT-6(113)
WV-5(118)
WY-3(121)
Likely Hillary Clinton D states.
NM-5(171)
OR-7(178)
WA-12(190)
Likely R states.
AK-3(124)
IN-11(135)
MS-6(141)
MT-3(144)
SC-9(153)
Lean Hillary Clinton D states
ME-2CD(191)
MI-16(207)
MN-10(217)
NV-6(223)
NH-4(227)
PA-20(247)
WI-10(257)
Lean R states
AZ-11(164)
GA-16(180)
MO-10(190)
NE-2CD(191)
NC-15(206)
Tossup Hillary
CO-9(266)
IA-6(272)

8 replies

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2016 US Presidential Election- Electoral College Vote. (Original Post) NPolitics1979 Apr 2015 OP

I count 46 states here. longship Apr 2015 #1

The Tossup States are CO,FL,IA,NH,OH,PA,and VA. NPolitics1979 Apr 2015 #2

NH isn't a tossup. Chan790 Apr 2015 #3

Hillary will win all of the Gore2000 and Kerry2004 states -257ev plus NPolitics1979 Apr 2015 #6

With McAuliff in VA I think we win there. I wouldn't count on FL though. History shows us that if we craigmatic Apr 2015 #7

We don't need Florida EL34x4 Apr 2015 #8

This message was self-deleted by its author longship Apr 2015 #4

You still don't list VA! nt longship Apr 2015 #5

longship

(40,416 posts)

1. I count 46 states here.

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Tue Apr 14, 2015, 05:29 PM

Apr 2015

Where are the other four?
E.G., FL, surely a toss up.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

2. The Tossup States are CO,FL,IA,NH,OH,PA,and VA.

Reply to longship (Reply #1)

Tue Apr 14, 2015, 08:05 PM

Apr 2015

The Republicans cannot win without FL.
If Hillary-D wins FL-29(270) she wins.
Hillary-D will win PA-20(261),IA-6(267),and NH-4(271)

Chan790

(20,176 posts)

3. NH isn't a tossup.

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Reply #2)

Tue Apr 14, 2015, 09:42 PM

Apr 2015

I mean compared to the rest of New England sure...but it's like PA, the GOP will target it and contest the hell out of it but they have no real chance of winning it.

VA is an uphill battle for the GOP...but the Democrats barely squeaked it in the local-races year and the midterms...and Democratic turnout increases more in Presidential years than GOP turnout...again, a state the GOP will contest but probably can't win unless Hillary does something dumb like declare herself an "anti-war candidate." The seat of power of Democrats in VA is No.VA and it's largely college-educated defense industry workers and contractors.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

6. Hillary will win all of the Gore2000 and Kerry2004 states -257ev plus

Reply to Chan790 (Reply #3)

Tue Apr 14, 2015, 10:56 PM

Apr 2015

NV and CO=272ev
VA=270
OH=275
FL=286

craigmatic

(4,510 posts)

7. With McAuliff in VA I think we win there. I wouldn't count on FL though. History shows us that if we

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Reply #6)

Wed Apr 15, 2015, 09:29 AM

Apr 2015

can win without Fl then we should. Expect the repubs to try to steal it just like they did in 2012 with their voter role purges and slow counts. OH is going to be tough too.

EL34x4

(2,003 posts)

8. We don't need Florida

Reply to craigmatic (Reply #7)

Wed Apr 15, 2015, 10:07 AM

Apr 2015

Hillary can win all the states Obama won in 2012 minus Florida.

303 (D), 235 (R)

Response to NPolitics1979 (Reply #2)

longship This message was self-deleted by its author.

longship

(40,416 posts)

5. You still don't list VA! nt

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Tue Apr 14, 2015, 09:48 PM

Apr 2015

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