2016 Postmortem

NPolitics1979

(613 posts) Sat Apr 18, 2015, 07:10 PM Apr 2015

2016 US Senate Election Tossup Races.

CO(Bennet-D vs Coffman-R) Tossup D
CO(Bennet-D vs Generic R) Lean D 45
FL(Murphy-D vs Generic R) Tossup D 46
FL(Grayson-D vs Generic R) Tossup R 50
IL(Duckworth-D vs Kirk-R) Tossup D 46/47
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Sandoval-R) Lean R 50/51
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Generic R) Lean D 47/48
NH(Ayotte-R vs Generic D) Lean R 51/52
NH(Ayotte-R vs Hassan-D) Tossup D 48/49
OH(Strickland-D vs Portman-R) Tossup
WI(Johnson-R vs Generic-D) Tossup D
WI(Johnson-R vs Feingold-D) Lean D 49/50
Democrats guide to a US Senate majority is winning
CO(Bennet-D) 45
FL(Murphy-D) 46
IL(Duckworth-D 47
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 48 (Sandoval -R does not run)
NH(Hassan-D) 49
OH(Strickland-D) 50
WI(Feingold-D) 51
Republicans are going to win
NH(Ayotte-R)50 (Hassan-D does not run)
OH(Portman-R)51

7 replies

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2016 US Senate Election Tossup Races. (Original Post) NPolitics1979 Apr 2015 OP

Is Kamala Harris considered a fairly safe bet? TDale313 Apr 2015 #1

The Answer is Yes. NPolitics1979 Apr 2015 #2

Great. Thought she was in pretty good shape. TDale313 Apr 2015 #3

What do you base this analysis on? BlueStater Apr 2015 #4

Ohio is a swing state, Portman has a huge campaign war chest and Strickland's age makes Ohio NPolitics1979 Apr 2015 #5

Anything on Pennsylvania? femmocrat Apr 2015 #6

Looking at the blue state Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2016 NPolitics1979 Apr 2015 #7

TDale313

(7,820 posts)

1. Is Kamala Harris considered a fairly safe bet?

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Sat Apr 18, 2015, 07:18 PM

Apr 2015

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

2. The Answer is Yes.

Reply to TDale313 (Reply #1)

Sat Apr 18, 2015, 07:25 PM

Apr 2015

Harris-D is going to finish in 1st or 2nd place in the Jungle Primary. In the November General Election, Harris-D will defeat the Republican nominee if it makes it out the June Primary.

TDale313

(7,820 posts)

3. Great. Thought she was in pretty good shape.

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Reply #2)

Sat Apr 18, 2015, 07:31 PM

Apr 2015

She's fantastic. I'll be supporting her.

BlueStater

(7,596 posts)

4. What do you base this analysis on?

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Sat Apr 18, 2015, 07:38 PM

Apr 2015

Strickland led Portman in a recent poll not too long ago.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

5. Ohio is a swing state, Portman has a huge campaign war chest and Strickland's age makes Ohio

Reply to BlueStater (Reply #4)

Sat Apr 18, 2015, 07:57 PM

Apr 2015

A Tossup

femmocrat

(28,394 posts)

6. Anything on Pennsylvania?

Reply to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Sat Apr 18, 2015, 10:10 PM

Apr 2015

I would love to see Toomey lose to Sestak.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)

7. Looking at the blue state Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2016

Reply to femmocrat (Reply #6)

Sat Apr 18, 2015, 10:57 PM

Apr 2015

Kirk(R-IL) narrowly loses due to Hillary Clinton's coattails.
Grassley(R-IA) wins re-election by a landslide margin.
Ayotte(R-NH) narrowly wins or loses against Hassan-D but wins by a high single digit margin against Kuster-D
Toomey(R-PA) will defeat Sestak-D by a narrow margin.
Johnson(R-WI) loses to Feingold-D by a high single digit margin, but will narrowly lose to Kind-D

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