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Recursion

(56,582 posts)
Sun Jun 14, 2015, 01:25 AM Jun 2015

This weekend's polls: low gas prices liked, Iraq not so bad, mass disapproval of everything else

Gallup: low gas prices make a difference in Americans' finances.

57% of Americans say the drop in gas prices is making a noticeable difference in their household finances. 42% are using the slack to pay down bills; the others evenly split between saving and spending.

Iraq going down the memory hole:

Disapproval of the Iraq invasion was up in the 60s 7 years ago; it has now sunk back down to 50%. In that same period, disapproval of the Afghanistan war has risen from 30% to 42% (Afghanistan remains more popular than Iraq, and is still in net positive approval).

Obama job approval:

The Economist and YouGov's daily tracking shows Obama at -13 approve/disapprove (42/55) among registered voters. Democrats are 79/19 (+80), Independents are 35/60 (-25), Republicans are 12/89 (-77). Liberals are 77/20 (+57), Moderates are 48/48 (±0), Conservatives are 13/87 (-74). Men are 42/55 (-13), women are 44/53 (-9). Poor households are 42/53 (-11), middle class 41/57 (-16), rich 50/50 (±0).

Gallup's daily tracking presents a somewhat better picture for Obama: 45/49 (-4).

Toplines:

Another Economist and YouGov poll on toplines:

Voters considered themselves very liberal / liberal / moderate / conservative / very conservative at 7 / 19 / 35 / 28 / 3

75% of Americans say they follow government and public affairs at least some of the time.
Right direction/wrong direction is 29/60 (-31).
Economic news positive/mixed/negative is 13/43/31 (-18)
Economic discussion with friends family positive/mixed/negative is 9/32/42 (-33)
Unemployment rate is perceived to as (less than 5% / 5% -6% / greater that 6%) at 3/30/44 (-11)
Unemployment rate is perceived as higher / same / lower than January 2009 at 16/19/52 (+17)
Unemployment is perceived as a very serious / somewhat serious / minor problem at 41 / 42 / 12 (-71)
Federal government should encourage employment is 62/25 (+37)

Americans credit "most or all" economic improvement to:
Obama: 31%
Republicans: 24%
Consumers: 38%
Businesses: 49%
Wall Street: 25%
Americans credit "none" of the economic improvement to:
Obama: 16%
Republicans: 19%
Consumers: 7%
Businesses: 4%
Wall Street: 17%

Issues considered most important:
The economy: 21%
Immigration: 7%
Environment: 6%
Terrorism: 10%
Gay rights: 3%
Education: 12%
Health care: 9%
Social Security: 13%
Deficit: 4%
War in Afghanistan: 1%
Taxes: 5%
Medicare: 2%
Abortion: 5%
Foreign policy: 3%

No Republican candidate broke two digits for the nomination; undecided was 32%

Democratic nomination preferences were:
Biden: 14%
Chafee: 3%
Clinton: 29%
Sanders: 10%
O'Malley: 4%
Webb: 4%

Sanders/Clinton head to head for the D nom yields Clinton 42, Sanders 25, would not vote 24

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