2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNBC-Marist Poll: Obama vs. Romney in IA, CO & NV
New NBC News-Marist College polls show President Obama and Mitt Romney deadlocked in three important battleground states.
Iowa: Romney, 44; Obama, 44
Colorado: Obama, 46; Romney, 45
Nevada: Obama, 48; Romney, 46
These three states are all battlegrounds that Obama carried in 2008, but George W. Bush won in 2004.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/05/31/tight_race_in_three_key_battlegrounds.html
Itchinjim
(3,085 posts)I guarantee it.
kaiden
(1,314 posts)IADEMO2004
(5,559 posts)I'll guess that Media com cable is even more lop-sided.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)Personally I'm not buying it
grantcart
(53,061 posts)I was taken by the other two threads but I really think that he has the best chance in Nevada.
First there is a very effective GOTV union operation in Las Vegas
Second the Nevada party is in complete disarray. The state operation has gone to Ron Paul and the Romney campaign has to open up their own shadow state operation.
Romney has to have Nevada, it has a high Mormon population and high unemployment. If he doesn't win here there he really has no chance and I don't think his chances in Nevada are not looking good.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)for one thing there are relatively few undecideds as opposed to Iowa and Colorado. Obama is already at 48% in this poll and even if undecideds (as they say) go 2-1 for the challenger then Obama still should get over 50% to take the state. Of the three, I think I'm most nervous about Iowa.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)There is a lot for people to discover about Romney while everyone who is against Obama has already found the reason that they want to use to vote against him.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)On a more serious note I heard that SEIU Las Vegas has one of the best GOTV records in the country.
BluegrassDem
(1,693 posts)Mitt should enjoy it while he cans. When the fall starts and people start paying attention, they'll grow to loathe Mitt like anyone else who knows him. One thing about him, is that he doesn't wear well. The more people see of him, the less they like him.