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elleng

(130,908 posts)
2. There ARE more Democratic candidates,
Wed Jul 1, 2015, 10:30 PM
Jul 2015

Martin O'Malley for one, and Bernie for another. MSNBC cited one poll a little while ago, I didn't hear which poll it was.

 

Thor_MN

(11,843 posts)
3. According to one site, there are 15 declared Democratic candiates
Wed Jul 1, 2015, 10:45 PM
Jul 2015
http://2016.democratic-candidates.org
About half the number of GOP candidates

• Morrison Bonpasse ◄ DECLARED
• Jeff Boss ◄ DECLARED
• Harry Braun ◄ DECLARED
• Andy Caffrey ◄ DECLARED
• Willie Carter ◄ DECLARED
• Lincoln Chafee ◄ DECLARED
• Hillary Clinton ◄ DECLARED
• Lloyd Kelso ◄ DECLARED
• Martin O'Malley ◄ DECLARED
• Bernie Sanders ◄ DECLARED
• Doug Shreffler ◄ DECLARED
• Michael Steinberg ◄ DECLARED
• Robby Wells ◄ DECLARED
• Willie Wilson ◄ DECLARED
• Brad Winslow ◄ DECLARED


The poll I saw showed that Biden and Sanders were a distant second and third nationwide at 17% and 14% behind 57% for Clinton. Which was odd, Sanders polling 2 points behind Biden means Sanders is losing for second place to someone who isn't running at this point. I imagine things will make more sense closer to the actual primaries. Sanders probably picks up most of the Biden supporters if Biden doesn't run, but that would be at best, 31% with this weeks sentiments.

elleng

(130,908 posts)
5. 'Odd' to say the least, Thor!
Wed Jul 1, 2015, 10:59 PM
Jul 2015

and I saw, a few days ago, that WEBB was 2 points ahead of O'Malley!

NONE of this makes sense, but we SO want it to! Not sure that Sanders would pick up Biden voters; don't know where they'd go. I like JOE a lot, supported him 8 years ago, but don't think he expresses Sanders or O'Malley's issues at all, and we (including me) have gone 'progressive!'

 

Thor_MN

(11,843 posts)
8. My viewpoint is that the Biden supporters could be considered "Not Clinton" supporters.
Wed Jul 1, 2015, 11:10 PM
Jul 2015

No way to tell really, where they would go if Biden doesn't run.

And I just realized I made a stupid math mistake.

But if Sanders were to pick up all the Biden supporters, he would have 31% to Clinton's 57%. That a lot of ground to make up, but there is still lots of time.

Spazito

(50,338 posts)
4. It was the CNN/ORC poll taken June 26 - 28
Wed Jul 1, 2015, 10:55 PM
Jul 2015

"On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton continues to hold all the cards. Nationally, she leads all other candidates by more than 40 points, with 57% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents behind her, 16% backing Vice President Joe Biden, 14% Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 2% Jim Webb and 1% or less for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley and former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee."

http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/01/politics/donald-trump-poll-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush/

elleng

(130,908 posts)
6. Thanks,
Wed Jul 1, 2015, 11:02 PM
Jul 2015

and you've found for me the Webb/O'Malley 'conundrum,' Webb 1 or 2 or? points above O'Malley, who's declared and working very actively! Makes NO sense in the 'real' world, imo.

Spazito

(50,338 posts)
7. It's still so early and O'Malley is just getting out there, no big media coverage yet...
Wed Jul 1, 2015, 11:05 PM
Jul 2015

I think he will climb once he becomes more high profile. Webb is better known given his previous government position, I think, hard to say.

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