2016 Postmortem

Divernan

(15,480 posts) Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:18 AM Jul 2015

Latest Iowa straw Poll: Sanders more than doubles, from 15 to 33%

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is gaining ground on former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Iowa Democratic Caucus and now trails the front-runner 52 - 33 percent among likely Democratic Caucus participants, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Vice President Joseph Biden has 7 percent.

This compares to a 60 - 15 percent Clinton lead over Sanders in a May 7 survey of likely Democratic caucus-goers by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In today's survey, former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley has 3 percent with one percent for former U.S. Sen. James Webb of Virginia. Another 5 percent are undecided.

Among Democrats 7 percent say they would definitely not support Biden, Webb or former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee and 6 percent say they would not support Clinton.

"Secretary Hillary Clinton should not be biting her fingernails over her situation in the Iowa caucus, but her lead is slipping and Sen. Bernie Sanders is making progress against her. Her 52 percent score among likely caucus-goers is still OK, but this is the first time she has been below 60 percent in Quinnipiac University's Iowa survey," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"But Sen. Sanders has more than doubled his showing and at 33 percent he certainly can't be ignored, especially with seven months until the actual voting. Iowa Democratic caucus-goers are generally considered more liberal than primary voters in most other states, a demographic that helps his insurgency against Secretary Clinton who is the choice of virtually the entire Democratic establishment." http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2259

21 replies

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Highlight:

Latest Iowa straw Poll: Sanders more than doubles, from 15 to 33% (Original Post) Divernan Jul 2015 OP

*Sanders. Agschmid Jul 2015 #1

Whoops! Thanks - corrected Divernan Jul 2015 #2

Woohoo! Agschmid Jul 2015 #4

Objects in your rear view mirror are larger than they appear! peacebird Jul 2015 #3

This explains why Hillary's surrogates were downplaying morningfog Jul 2015 #5

They said 'Who'? when he was at 1%. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jul 2015 #6

Plus madokie Jul 2015 #7

Exactly..... daleanime Jul 2015 #13

Couldn't have put it better if I tried madokie Jul 2015 #15

Bingo! Roland99 Jul 2015 #16

HRC sounds like 3rd Obama term, maybe a litte more hawkish. thesquanderer Jul 2015 #17

Go Sanders! ananda Jul 2015 #8

Called it. joshcryer Jul 2015 #9

I've been saying for over a year that Hillary was at her ceiling. morningfog Jul 2015 #10

The experts on DU said he wouldn't break double digits BrotherIvan Jul 2015 #20

Go Bernie Go! SoapBox Jul 2015 #11

Nice. nt raouldukelives Jul 2015 #12

Awesome news gotj90 Jul 2015 #14

Nice; a good contest generates all kinds of positives whatthehey Jul 2015 #18

LOL, it says, Utopian Leftist Jul 2015 #19

Too bad Howard Dean is from the same state fadedrose Jul 2015 #21

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)

1. *Sanders.

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:20 AM

Jul 2015

Kick.

Divernan

(15,480 posts)

2. Whoops! Thanks - corrected

Reply to Agschmid (Reply #1)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:22 AM

Jul 2015

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)

4. Woohoo!

Reply to Divernan (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:26 AM

Jul 2015

peacebird

(14,195 posts)

3. Objects in your rear view mirror are larger than they appear!

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:23 AM

Jul 2015

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

5. This explains why Hillary's surrogates were downplaying

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:35 AM

Jul 2015

Iowa and NH. Bernie's closing the gap.

He's built a launching pad through his work in these first two states. Ready to expand.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)

6. They said 'Who'? when he was at 1%.

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:36 AM

Jul 2015

They sneered when he was at 3%.

They scoffed when it hit 6%.

They shrugged when he hit 13% and 15% in another pair of polls.

The Clintons can sit back and wonder how they let not one, but two attempts to take the White House slip away when Hillary has returned to 'spend more time with her family' after she blows this primary. Name recognition alone doesn't win elections, and doesn't make you 'inevitable'.

madokie

(51,076 posts)

7. Plus

Reply to Erich Bloodaxe BSN (Reply #6)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 07:56 AM

Jul 2015

what exactly is her goals? What is she telling us she wants to do? More of the same it sounds to me like

daleanime

(17,796 posts)

13. Exactly.....

Reply to madokie (Reply #7)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 09:25 AM

Jul 2015

not a knock on her, but she's not a game-changer. She's your candidate if you think everything is going good.

Bernie is a game-changer.

madokie

(51,076 posts)

15. Couldn't have put it better if I tried

Reply to daleanime (Reply #13)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 09:32 AM

Jul 2015

Bernie is the real deal and will be our next President.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

16. Bingo!

Reply to daleanime (Reply #13)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 09:51 AM

Jul 2015

#FeelTheBern
#BernBabyBern

thesquanderer

(11,986 posts)

17. HRC sounds like 3rd Obama term, maybe a litte more hawkish.

Reply to daleanime (Reply #13)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 10:15 AM

Jul 2015

Interesting question as to whether that's a winning strategy. Maybe not so much on DU, but to the public at large...?

ananda

(28,860 posts)

8. Go Sanders!

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 08:25 AM

Jul 2015

kick

joshcryer

(62,270 posts)

9. Called it.

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 08:27 AM

Jul 2015

Clinton has peaked. It's all down for her in Iowa.

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

10. I've been saying for over a year that Hillary was at her ceiling.

Reply to joshcryer (Reply #9)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 08:40 AM

Jul 2015

I said it would tighten before anyone had announced. She is so known that she could only lose support and there are no new voters to draw in. She's a couple negative stories from beginning the slide nationally.

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)

20. The experts on DU said he wouldn't break double digits

Reply to morningfog (Reply #10)

Fri Jul 3, 2015, 03:18 AM

Jul 2015

Then it was 20%. Hell, even Kos said he wouldn't break 30. And now just two months in, he's beat all of that. Kablam!

SoapBox

(18,791 posts)

11. Go Bernie Go!

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 08:56 AM

Jul 2015

raouldukelives

(5,178 posts)

12. Nice. nt

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 09:03 AM

Jul 2015

gotj90

(45 posts)

14. Awesome news

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 09:28 AM

Jul 2015

Go Bernie Go!

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)

18. Nice; a good contest generates all kinds of positives

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 10:22 AM

Jul 2015

More media attention, more low info folks paying attention to the conversation, more hedging from moneyed interests, etc.

Unlike the Rep. wackos we don't have to worry about idiocy like legitimate rape and competing for who knows and cares least about science, so a genuine horse race and the attention it brings can only be a positive.

Utopian Leftist

(534 posts)

19. LOL, it says,

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 05:41 PM

Jul 2015

"Secretary Clinton who is the choice of virtually the entire Democratic establishment."

Boy are they going to be in for a surprise when Bernie pulls ahead of Clinton. They should have said, "virtually the entire Democratic Party Apparatus . . . voters excluded." Go Bernie!

fadedrose

(10,044 posts)

21. Too bad Howard Dean is from the same state

Reply to Divernan (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2015, 03:51 AM

Jul 2015

They have the same views and he could have been a good vice president pick.

But Sanders would have to pick somebody from the south or west.

Maybe HC is "the choice of virtually the entire Democratic establishment," but the programs I watch seem to show their host or hostess not quite so sure she's going to win. Some seem not to be fans... even on MSNBC.

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