2016 Postmortem

peacebird

(14,195 posts) Thu Jul 2, 2015, 10:54 AM Jul 2015

Bernie Sanders Catching Up to Hillary Clinton in Iowa - Time Magazine

Sanders is now favored by 33% of Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa

Sen. Bernie Sanders is gaining in the polls against Hillary Clinton in Iowa, continuing his momentum in the early primary states two months after entering the race for the Democratic nomination.

The self-described democratic socialist is now favored by 33% of Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa, doubling his support since early May and coming within just 19 points of Clinton, who is at 52%, according to a new Quinnipiac poll. Clinton, however, still has significantly greater name recognition than Sanders in Iowa, where 26% of Iowans haven’t heard enough about the Vermont senator to rate him.

http://time.com/3943994/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-iowa/

6 replies

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Bernie Sanders Catching Up to Hillary Clinton in Iowa - Time Magazine (Original Post) peacebird Jul 2015 OP

In July of '07, Obama (27%) was further behind Clinton than Bernie is now. HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #1

Yes it does! Loving it! peacebird Jul 2015 #2

But he can't win Mississippi, and no Democratic candidate has won the White House without..... Indepatriot Jul 2015 #3

I wonder how many new caucus-goers he will inspire? cyberswede Jul 2015 #4

All he has to do is to continue to let people know who he is. As soon as people learn about him sabrina 1 Jul 2015 #5

Then there is the bandwagon effect Victor_c3 Jul 2015 #6

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)

1. In July of '07, Obama (27%) was further behind Clinton than Bernie is now.

Reply to peacebird (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 11:01 AM

Jul 2015

Things are looking good. When people hear Bernies message, it resonates.

peacebird

(14,195 posts)

2. Yes it does! Loving it!

Reply to HooptieWagon (Reply #1)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 11:02 AM

Jul 2015

Indepatriot

(1,253 posts)

3. But he can't win Mississippi, and no Democratic candidate has won the White House without.....

Reply to peacebird (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 11:15 AM

Jul 2015

Nevermind....

cyberswede

(26,117 posts)

4. I wonder how many new caucus-goers he will inspire?

Reply to peacebird (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 11:51 AM

Jul 2015

This poll doesn't include them.

Obama drew in a LOT of people who had never attended a caucus before; maybe Bernie will, too.

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)

5. All he has to do is to continue to let people know who he is. As soon as people learn about him

Reply to peacebird (Original post)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 11:51 AM

Jul 2015

they know who is speaking for them.

His supporters are doing a great job of getting that name recognition for him also.

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)

6. Then there is the bandwagon effect

Reply to sabrina 1 (Reply #5)

Thu Jul 2, 2015, 12:19 PM

Jul 2015

The larger the number of people that support him gets the more will jump on board as they want to be a part of a winning team.

I read a really interesting analysis at least a decade ago where it was discussed that the the winning candidate usually has the largest fundraising ability not because they believe the candidate is the better candidate, but because they are the most likely to win. People generally don't want to throw money at someone who appears they will lose.

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