2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama vs Clinton in 2008
Something to remember is that Obama polled in the low 20's against Clinton throughout 2007 until about January of 2008, when he surged upward.
See the graph at the link:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html
The implication for the Sanders' campaign is clear.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Hillary, one of the most stirring public speakers of our time, gets a lot of endorsements from leading Dems, and doesn't call himself a "socialist", then he has a chance of squeaking out a very close victory.
But probably not. Obama wasn't nearly as far behind at this point.
wyldwolf
(43,874 posts)DanTex
(20,709 posts)Dems? No. Liberal dems? No. Men? No. Women? No. White? No. Black? No. Poor? No. Rich? No.
Maybe if they polled pot-smoking bearded hipsters from Vermont, it would be a statistical tie.
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)Biden has echoed Bernie's call to refuse those bribes just this week. I wonder why Biden chose to do that right after the release of the figures on the donations to candidates. It felt like he was warning us. Like Bernie.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Buzz cook
(2,475 posts)To Obama in every detail, except for not being the designated anti-Clinton. If the media start supporting Sanders in the same way they supported Obama it will be a real race.
LordGlenconner
(1,348 posts)Buzz cook
(2,475 posts)Just don't sit down on your pant load.
Walk away
(9,494 posts)I was thinking them! I always use archaic expressions that no one else uses. I could not agree with you more.
If Joe Biden jumped in the race tomorrow, Hillary would still win the primaries and Bernie would be the forgotten man.
wyldwolf
(43,874 posts)Buzz cook
(2,475 posts)Was because he had support in the media and Hillary didn't I think the only way Sanders could defeat Clinton is the same way.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)It was much deeper than that.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)Buzz cook
(2,475 posts)Obama said FDR purposely allowed the great depression to worsen, between the election and his inauguration, in a cynical bid to increase his own popularity. Obama said this in his own defense for selling us out to the Bush administration and the banks.
London Lover Man
(371 posts)And will poll better, and it won't be much of a horse race after the debates. I also expect to see your avatar change at some point in the fall/winter.
wyldwolf
(43,874 posts)Only be fun if a democrat wins and only then if Obama hasn't poisoned the well before he leaves office.
Who know he may still get his grand bargain.
Buzz cook
(2,475 posts)I suspect he'll do poorly in any debate with Clinton.
London Lover Man
(371 posts)to the winner of the August debates....
Buzz cook
(2,475 posts)Now you like Sanders, or is it just you like Obama more?
Pick an issue in which Obama has been to the left of Sanders and delivered on his promise. Obama and his administration were ridiculing Elizabeth Warren not Bernie Sanders.
Who decides the winner of a debate? After each Gore/Bush debate the immediate reaction was that Gore had won but just days later the consensus was that Bush was the winner. How could that be?
I know you're just trolling me, but please treat that last question seriously.
London Lover Man
(371 posts)won't let anyone see the contents of TPP, kicked out public option or even single payer supporters from the tables in regards to PPACA (HeritageCare), fail to keep any of his promises regarding the withdrawal of the military (We still have boots on the ground in both Afghanistan and Iraq), yeah, I fail to see how Obama is to the left of Sanders on anything and accomplished it. ENDA. Lily Ledbetter. I can think of more that he failed to follow up on.
Buzz cook
(2,475 posts)When I sad Bernie Sanders was superior to Obama you denigrated my comment with a great deal of snark.
What was it about my comment that so incensed you?
fadedrose
(10,044 posts)I can't think of a soul who was born on this planet.
Fearless
(18,421 posts)Response to wyldwolf (Reply #2)
London Lover Man This message was self-deleted by its author.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,719 posts)Was PBO losing African Americans to HRC 36-1:
http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/7_15_2015_tables.pdf
PAGE 10
at any point in the campaign?
and losing Hispanics 24-1 :
http://huelladigital.univisionnoticias.com/the-latin-vote/
at any point in the campaign?
Oh, according to your own link PBO was down nine points in the Gallup Poll this time in the 08 election cycle .Sanders is down around 46:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)At least when they weren't starting birtherism.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0411/53563.html
Or laughing that obama ought to be carrying their bags.
http://nypost.com/2012/09/03/bill-clinton-made-insensitive-race-jab-about-obama-in-2008/
Or abandoning black voters to pander on about "hard-working Americans, white Americans"
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/08/clinton-touts-white-support/?_r=0
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)JI7
(89,303 posts)she has many black people working with her and seeks endorsements from black people .
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Clinton's been in the public eye since 1992 (Longer, for Arkansans... Arkansasers? Er...) She's known, she's damilair, she comes readily to mind when someone talks about democrats. Sanders by comparison, is a senator from Vermont who is only really recently catching greater public notice. I think in this regard he can be best compared to John Kerry, who set out as "Senator from Massachusetts."
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)I think black voters are motivated this election cycle and will look at all the candidates. Mainstream media exposure, such as debates, will give us all a good look at how the candidates compare to one another. I expect Bernie's and O'Malley's numbers across the board to go up with exposure, and Hillary's to go down, after the original name-recognition gives way to policy considerations.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)From what I see, most of our AA community is dedicated to being "undecided." and taking good hard looks at all three main candidates.
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)Nobody is entitled to anyone's votes - they must be earned.
Damansarajaya
(625 posts)Obama was at 20 percent 13 months out.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,719 posts)Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Gotta remember that the Democratic Primary in 2008 had plenty of candidates beyond the two who ended up spending the last four month clobbering each other.
London Lover Man
(371 posts)But history is going to repeat itself in 2016, as it did for 2008. Does not bode very well for Clinton, especially in the downward trend since she announced, and Bernie's trend continue to rise, just like Obama did..
Damansarajaya
(625 posts)Either time. And no one has ever blown such a big start.
The problem is, she's not saying anything big and bold, and she has never done anything big and bold, except run for president.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Possibly a lot of Amendments, but if we're talking about accomplishments...
Damansarajaya
(625 posts)a single message for decades.
Hillary has been running for office for decades.
Metric System
(6,048 posts)Damansarajaya
(625 posts)President of the United States, so there's that . . .
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)artislife
(9,497 posts)She probably was afraid someone would....
^^^^ Yes...pure conjecture. But it amuses me. What can I say, I like to laugh.
dsc
(52,187 posts)Gore lead Bradley by more in 2000, than Hillary lead Obama by in 2008. And we see how Gore did.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)That's the important race.
Sanders doesn't have the money raising capability that Obama had.