2016 Postmortem

brooklynite

(94,725 posts) Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:20 PM Jul 2015

Clinton 68 - Sanders 16 - Webb 5 - O'Malley 2

In the contest for the Democratic nomination, former secretary of state Hillary Rodham Clinton maintains a wide lead, with 68 percent of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents saying they would vote for her today in a caucus or primary. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who is drawing big and enthusiastic crowds in many states, is in second, at 16 percent. Support for Sanders has grown with each Post-ABC News poll this year.

Trailing the top two candidates are former senator Jim Webb (Va.), at 5 percent, former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley, at 2 percent, and former Rhode Island governor Lincoln D. Chafee, at 1 percent.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-trump-surges-to-big-lead-in-gop-presidential-race/2015/07/20/efd2e0d0-2ef8-11e5-8f36-18d1d501920d_story.html

33 replies

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Highlight:

Clinton 68 - Sanders 16 - Webb 5 - O'Malley 2 (Original Post) brooklynite Jul 2015 OP

These are strong polling numbers for Clinton Gothmog Jul 2015 #1

Wow, those are awesome numbers for Hillary! MoonRiver Jul 2015 #2

Yeah! shenmue Jul 2015 #3

I still say that if we extend the primary to 2018 and she spends the whole time kicking puppies... onehandle Jul 2015 #4

Yeah, 52 points ahead of Bernie is just too damn close! MoonRiver Jul 2015 #5

68-16 is a big lead. DanTex Jul 2015 #6

Joe Biden would say "it's a big f---ing lead". DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #7

lol. Samuel L Jackson would say "It's a big motherfucking lead, motherfucker" DanTex Jul 2015 #9

Wishing you the very best Dan MoonRiver Jul 2015 #10

Thank you! Same to you. DU, good times! DanTex Jul 2015 #12

Yes, indeed! MoonRiver Jul 2015 #13

I love Joe Biden...Life has dealt him some heavy blows. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #11

Truly has. And I like hime too. DanTex Jul 2015 #15

There really aren't too many Democrats I dislike. I am a Democrat. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #16

Is there a petition protesting this poll yet? BooScout Jul 2015 #8

wow! hill2016 Jul 2015 #14

Well that's a 52 point lead... DCBob Jul 2015 #17

I notice she does well among internet polls but even better among conventional polls. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #18

Yes, I agree with that. DCBob Jul 2015 #19

20% of folks don't have internet access...I guess they weight to match the population... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #22

Great Monday news. moobu2 Jul 2015 #20

I'm surprised O'Malley, a far better candidate, is polling behind Webb. Metric System Jul 2015 #21

Yeah how did Webb get to 5% with O'Malley back at 2%? n/t PoliticAverse Jul 2015 #31

how do Sanders supporters spin this? taught_me_patience Jul 2015 #23

"Support for Sanders has grown with each Post-ABC News poll this year. " virtualobserver Jul 2015 #28

This basically confirms my "speculation" (for which I've been criticized).... George II Jul 2015 #24

Whoa. JaneyVee Jul 2015 #25

Having a poll of Democrats and likely voters is probably a much better test of the primary outcome. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #26

I really don't see how the most accomplished progressive is polling at 2%. nt. NCTraveler Jul 2015 #27

Because he is a national unknown struggling for media coverage? nt hack89 Jul 2015 #29

That will do it. NCTraveler Jul 2015 #32

Tump is hurting more than just Repuke candidates hack89 Jul 2015 #33

He's my second choice. I think when people get to know him, they like him. MoonRiver Jul 2015 #30

Gothmog

(145,542 posts)

1. These are strong polling numbers for Clinton

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:28 PM

Jul 2015

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

2. Wow, those are awesome numbers for Hillary!

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:28 PM

Jul 2015

Thanks for the update!

shenmue

(38,506 posts)

3. Yeah!

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:34 PM

Jul 2015

Go Hillary!

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

4. I still say that if we extend the primary to 2018 and she spends the whole time kicking puppies...

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:42 PM

Jul 2015

...she hasn't got a chance.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

5. Yeah, 52 points ahead of Bernie is just too damn close!

Reply to onehandle (Reply #4)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:44 PM

Jul 2015

DanTex

(20,709 posts)

6. 68-16 is a big lead.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:51 PM

Jul 2015

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)

7. Joe Biden would say "it's a big f---ing lead".

Reply to DanTex (Reply #6)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:53 PM

Jul 2015

eom

DanTex

(20,709 posts)

9. lol. Samuel L Jackson would say "It's a big motherfucking lead, motherfucker"

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #7)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:56 PM

Jul 2015

(please don't hide this. It's a pop cultural reference...)

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

10. Wishing you the very best Dan

Reply to DanTex (Reply #9)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:57 PM

Jul 2015

DanTex

(20,709 posts)

12. Thank you! Same to you. DU, good times!

Reply to MoonRiver (Reply #10)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:59 PM

Jul 2015

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

13. Yes, indeed!

Reply to DanTex (Reply #12)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:01 PM

Jul 2015

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)

11. I love Joe Biden...Life has dealt him some heavy blows.

Reply to DanTex (Reply #9)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:59 PM

Jul 2015

eom

DanTex

(20,709 posts)

15. Truly has. And I like hime too.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #11)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:06 PM

Jul 2015

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)

16. There really aren't too many Democrats I dislike. I am a Democrat.

Reply to DanTex (Reply #15)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:27 PM

Jul 2015

eom

BooScout

(10,406 posts)

8. Is there a petition protesting this poll yet?

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:54 PM

Jul 2015

hill2016

(1,772 posts)

14. wow!

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:03 PM

Jul 2015

shows the silent majority going with the proven horse.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

17. Well that's a 52 point lead...

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 07:35 PM

Jul 2015

for the math challenged.

I would call that a thumping!

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)

18. I notice she does well among internet polls but even better among conventional polls.

Reply to DCBob (Reply #17)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:00 PM

Jul 2015

I still believe even though they try to re-create a random sample internet panel polls fail...

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

19. Yes, I agree with that.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #18)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:06 PM

Jul 2015

I have noticed some odd results from some internet polls.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)

22. 20% of folks don't have internet access...I guess they weight to match the population...

Reply to DCBob (Reply #19)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 09:02 PM

Jul 2015

20% of folks don't have internet access...I guess they try to weight to match the population...The problem with polls except for pre-election ones is we don't have anything to judge them by but other polls.

moobu2

(4,822 posts)

20. Great Monday news.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:08 PM

Jul 2015

Metric System

(6,048 posts)

21. I'm surprised O'Malley, a far better candidate, is polling behind Webb.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:37 PM

Jul 2015

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)

31. Yeah how did Webb get to 5% with O'Malley back at 2%? n/t

Reply to Metric System (Reply #21)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 11:09 AM

Jul 2015

taught_me_patience

(5,477 posts)

23. how do Sanders supporters spin this?

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jul 20, 2015, 09:31 PM

Jul 2015

Barring a complete meltdown, a 52 pt lead is insurmountable.

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)

28. "Support for Sanders has grown with each Post-ABC News poll this year. "

Reply to taught_me_patience (Reply #23)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 11:03 AM

Jul 2015

That is all that is needed.

George II

(67,782 posts)

24. This basically confirms my "speculation" (for which I've been criticized)....

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 10:39 AM

Jul 2015

....Sanders is an interesting speaker and he has some good things to say, AND he piques the curiosity of many. That's why he attracts more people than expected to his rallies.

But when it comes down to actually pulling the lever (or filling in the circle) for a candidate, most still feel that Hillary Clinton is the best candidate for them and the country, and they feel that she has the best chance of keeping the White House Democratic.

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)

25. Whoa.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 10:43 AM

Jul 2015

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

26. Having a poll of Democrats and likely voters is probably a much better test of the primary outcome.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 10:54 AM

Jul 2015

Thanks for the update, looking good, the campaign is moving forward with a Hillary Train.

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)

27. I really don't see how the most accomplished progressive is polling at 2%. nt.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 10:58 AM

Jul 2015

hack89

(39,171 posts)

29. Because he is a national unknown struggling for media coverage? nt

Reply to NCTraveler (Reply #27)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 11:06 AM

Jul 2015

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)

32. That will do it.

Reply to hack89 (Reply #29)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 11:09 AM

Jul 2015

Seems like Hillary and Sanders are all the media currently needs. In all honesty, if I were in a news room, I'm sure they would be my focus as well. It's a pretty good story for them.

hack89

(39,171 posts)

33. Tump is hurting more than just Repuke candidates

Reply to NCTraveler (Reply #32)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 11:24 AM

Jul 2015

until the media stops "all Trump all the time" coverage it is going to be really hard for any second or third tier candidate to get coverage.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

30. He's my second choice. I think when people get to know him, they like him.

Reply to NCTraveler (Reply #27)

Thu Jul 23, 2015, 11:09 AM

Jul 2015

But the media has its darlings.

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