2016 Postmortem

Purveyor

(29,876 posts) Sat Jul 25, 2015, 02:31 PM Jul 2015

Sanders Surges, Clinton Sags in U.S. Favorability

PRINCETON, N.J. -- Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' favorable rating among Americans has doubled since Gallup's initial reading in March, rising to 24% from 12% as he has become better known. Hillary Clinton's rating has slipped to 43% from 48% in April. At the same time, Clinton's unfavorable rating increased to 46%, tilting her image negative and producing her worst net favorable score since December 2007.

Hillary Clinton, Recent Favorability Trend

Sanders' increased favorability reflects the broader increase in the public's familiarity with him since March. Overall, 44% of Americans are able to rate him today, up from 24% in March. Not only has the percentage viewing him favorably increased, but also the percentage viewing him unfavorably has risen, up eight percentage points to 20%.

Clinton's Inauspicious Rivals

Clinton maintains a higher absolute favorable rating from Americans than any of her official rivals for the 2016 Democratic nomination. In contrast to the relative prominence of numerous candidates on the Republican side, she remains the only Democratic candidate known well enough by a majority of Americans for them to rate her, which helps Clinton maintain a higher overall favorable score.

Sanders is still an unknown to a majority of Americans, with just 44% able to rate him compared with Clinton's 89%. Total familiarity drops still further among the other three announced Democratic candidates: to 23% for former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley at 22% and former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee at 17%. With slightly more Americans viewing each of these candidates unfavorably than favorably, their favorable scores reach no more than 11%.

more...

http://www.gallup.com/poll/184346/sanders-surges-clinton-sags-favorability.aspx

28 replies

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Sanders Surges, Clinton Sags in U.S. Favorability (Original Post) Purveyor Jul 2015 OP

Surges? Don't see how 4 points is a surge. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #1

12% to 24% is 12 points, not 4. HooptieWagon Jul 2015 #2

Oh, sorry, the chart I like is among Democrats or Democrat leaners is Hillary 74% and Bernie 39%. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #5

The problem with likely voters artislife Jul 2015 #12

Just going by the poll, either the poll numbers are accepted or they are not. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #14

I think any poll if following likely voters isn't so reliable. artislife Jul 2015 #15

We always hope to have lots of voters. In the primaries we need democratic particiation. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #16

I see one positive in that graph Livluvgrow Jul 2015 #3

Yes and if you look at trend lines, it doesn't bode well for Hillary. Go Bernie Go! InAbLuEsTaTe Jul 2015 #27

From your link DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #4

The more people hear from her, the more her polling will sink. It isn't by accident that she hasn't Purveyor Jul 2015 #6

With all the sinking she is beating Senator Sanders by forty points DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #7

Today, indeed. What about 6 months from now (if she is even still in the race)? Purveyor Jul 2015 #8

Bill Clinton had to combat charges of being a philanderer and a draft dodger before the... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #10

Hill is not Bill. He knew how to campaign and deliver a message Purveyor Jul 2015 #17

Odd, that's how I feel about her detractors DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #18

Ahhh but "her detractors" aren't the ones running for Purveyor Jul 2015 #19

Precisely and there aren't enough of them to prevent Madame Secretary from winning the nomination DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #20

Nor enough of either to win in the general. She will lose. Purveyor Jul 2015 #22

She will win the G E DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #23

We shall see... Purveyor Jul 2015 #24

Nothing to see...It's as certain as gravity. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #25

"Hill is not Bill"...now that's an understatement if there ever was one. InAbLuEsTaTe Jul 2015 #28

Seven months until the Iowa caucus Scootaloo Jul 2015 #9

Ugh....I fucking hate the fact that Iowa and New Hampshire have disproportionate influence Cali_Democrat Jul 2015 #21

I would like to be polled about how I feel about polls olddots Jul 2015 #11

Clinton Enjoys Broad Democratic Appeal BlueStateLib Jul 2015 #13

No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Jul 2015 #26

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

1. Surges? Don't see how 4 points is a surge.

Reply to Purveyor (Original post)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 02:34 PM

Jul 2015

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)

2. 12% to 24% is 12 points, not 4.

Reply to Thinkingabout (Reply #1)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 02:38 PM

Jul 2015

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

5. Oh, sorry, the chart I like is among Democrats or Democrat leaners is Hillary 74% and Bernie 39%.

Reply to HooptieWagon (Reply #2)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 02:51 PM

Jul 2015

These will probably be the likely voters in the DNC primary.

artislife

(9,497 posts)

12. The problem with likely voters

Reply to Thinkingabout (Reply #5)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 05:30 PM

Jul 2015

Is that it looks backwards.
The young are political and Bernie is talking to them about the issues they care about the best out of the field of candidates.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

14. Just going by the poll, either the poll numbers are accepted or they are not.

Reply to artislife (Reply #12)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 05:55 PM

Jul 2015

artislife

(9,497 posts)

15. I think any poll if following likely voters isn't so reliable.

Reply to Thinkingabout (Reply #14)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 05:57 PM

Jul 2015

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

16. We always hope to have lots of voters. In the primaries we need democratic particiation.

Reply to artislife (Reply #15)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 06:04 PM

Jul 2015

Livluvgrow

(377 posts)

3. I see one positive in that graph

Reply to Purveyor (Original post)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 02:38 PM

Jul 2015

and its Bernie Sanders. That is all. Good day people.

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,123 posts)

27. Yes and if you look at trend lines, it doesn't bode well for Hillary. Go Bernie Go!

Reply to Livluvgrow (Reply #3)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 09:10 PM

Jul 2015

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

4. From your link

Reply to Purveyor (Original post)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 02:40 PM

Jul 2015

Bottom Line

Clinton's national image has taken a slight turn for the worse, which is also evident in her image among Democrats. But she remains the only Democratic candidate for president with a national name, and Clinton continues to stand head and shoulders above her next closest competitor -- Sanders -- in popularity for the presidential nomination

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)

6. The more people hear from her, the more her polling will sink. It isn't by accident that she hasn't

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #4)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 02:52 PM

Jul 2015

been seen on any of the Sunday morning talk shows spare the lowly rated CNN powder-puff interview.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

7. With all the sinking she is beating Senator Sanders by forty points

Reply to Purveyor (Reply #6)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 03:07 PM

Jul 2015

With all the sinking she is beating Senator Sanders by forty points among all Democrats:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary

and 82-6 among African American Democrats:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/07/trump-still-leads-gop-field-but-descent-may-be-beginning.html

and 73-3 among Latino Democrats:

http://huelladigital.univisionnoticias.com/the-latin-vote/

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)

8. Today, indeed. What about 6 months from now (if she is even still in the race)?

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #7)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 03:39 PM

Jul 2015

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

10. Bill Clinton had to combat charges of being a philanderer and a draft dodger before the...

Reply to Purveyor (Reply #8)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 03:45 PM

Jul 2015

Bill Clinton had to combat charges of being a philanderer and a draft dodger before the New Hampshire primary and he went on to be the first president elected and re-elected in his own right since Franklin Roosevelt...

Bill and Hill have been handing the Rethuglicans their asses for some thirty five years and I don't see that ending any time soon.

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)

17. Hill is not Bill. He knew how to campaign and deliver a message

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #10)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 06:48 PM

Jul 2015

the people approved of.

Hillary is a lecturing bore with a touch of condescension.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

18. Odd, that's how I feel about her detractors

Reply to Purveyor (Reply #17)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 06:50 PM

Jul 2015

Hillary is a lecturing bore with a touch of condescension.

Odd, that's how I feel about her detractors

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)

19. Ahhh but "her detractors" aren't the ones running for

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #18)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:12 PM

Jul 2015

President.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

20. Precisely and there aren't enough of them to prevent Madame Secretary from winning the nomination

Reply to Purveyor (Reply #19)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:14 PM

Jul 2015

eom

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)

22. Nor enough of either to win in the general. She will lose.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #20)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:27 PM

Jul 2015

bookmark this thread.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

23. She will win the G E

Reply to Purveyor (Reply #22)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:29 PM

Jul 2015

I would literally bet my life on it.

Bookmark this thread!

90% of the African American vote
70% of the Latino vote
70% of the Asian vote
38% of the white vote

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)

24. We shall see...

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #23)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:30 PM

Jul 2015

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

25. Nothing to see...It's as certain as gravity.

Reply to Purveyor (Reply #24)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:32 PM

Jul 2015

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,123 posts)

28. "Hill is not Bill"...now that's an understatement if there ever was one.

Reply to Purveyor (Reply #17)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 09:13 PM

Jul 2015

Feel the Bern!

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)

9. Seven months until the Iowa caucus

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #7)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 03:40 PM

Jul 2015

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)

21. Ugh....I fucking hate the fact that Iowa and New Hampshire have disproportionate influence

Reply to Scootaloo (Reply #9)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:18 PM

Jul 2015

on the primary process.

It's fawking bullshit.

According to the 2010 census, 250 million Americans live in urban areas....that's 80% of the population.

Those lily white states don't represent America.

olddots

(10,237 posts)

11. I would like to be polled about how I feel about polls

Reply to Purveyor (Original post)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 03:51 PM

Jul 2015

BlueStateLib

(937 posts)

13. Clinton Enjoys Broad Democratic Appeal

Reply to Purveyor (Original post)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 05:33 PM

Jul 2015

Clinton's favorable rating has slipped slightly among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents since April, falling to 74% from 79%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/184346/sanders-surges-clinton-sags-favorability.aspx

cantbeserious

(13,039 posts)

26. No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go

Reply to Purveyor (Original post)

Sat Jul 25, 2015, 07:56 PM

Jul 2015

eom

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