2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumJust for the record.
I recently read a thread where someone asked what if there was a tie in the electoral college.
Some as I did doubted this could happen, I didn't even know if there was a mathematical possibility using the current strong leaning states. Someone posted some statistics showing it had less than 1% chance of happening.
I don't doubt it is not probable but it is possible with just the toss-up states.
If someone will tell me how to post pictures I will show a map with the states listed.
immoderate
(20,885 posts)It will end in .jpg, .gif, or .png or something similar.
Paste the URL into your post, but preview it first to see if it works.
--imm
On edit I should mention that on some browsers you can right-click the picture and "Copy location." Then paste that into your post.
SoutherDem
(2,307 posts)[link:http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator#_|
I am not saying this will happen but could happen.
Accept CNN's current Obama 247 then do the following.
Romney NV, CO, IA, FL, VA
Obama, OH, NH
I know Obama is ahead in many of Romney states. This just shows it is possible using just states in play. I don't think this is probable. But it starts with FL, Obama wins FL and it is over.
lastlib
(23,266 posts)...that the House of Representatives shall decide, with each state having one vote. The Twelfth Amendment says the House "shall choose immediately..." but there is some dispute over whether this means the lame-duck House, or the incoming House will decide. Electoral College meets in December, before the new House convenes, so the lame-duck House members are still in office. There is no clear historical precedent for how the House makes this decision; the only election to be thrown into the House was 1804, and the Twelfth Amendment was a response to this case, but it doesn't clarify the process greatly. The 1876 election (Rutherford Hayes/Samuel Tilden) is the only other election in which the Electoral College results were not definitive. IIRC, twenty EC votes in three states were disputed, and a commission was set up to resolve the dispute. The commission awarded all the votes to Hayes as a result of a deal by Republicans to end Reconstruction in the South. Hayes thus won the EC vote by one vote, even though Tilden had won the overall popular vote, and the EC vote in the disputed states probably was contrary to the popular vote.
If there is a tie, expect the repugs to play the same kinds of dirty tricks they did in 1876 and in 2000--meaning Romney pulls out an illegitimate win. A win is a win, even if illegitimate, and we are F*CKED. Don't let it happen, folks--GET OUT THE VOTE and make it an indisputable landslide for Obama!