2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI don't really care who anyone votes for in the Democratic Primaries.
I'm not going to try to convince anyone to vote for anyone. Despite what some people seem to think, I'm not posting reasons to vote for any candidate. I'm supporting Hillary Clinton, and will be voting for her, but I'm not going to make any argument to convince anyone else. DUers should vote for whomever they prefer. So will Democrats all over the country. That's how this whole thing works.
Then, next year, following the primaries and the Democratic Presidential Nominating Convention, the nominee will be known. That's the only thing that matters, really. Once that happens, I'll be voting for the person who becomes the nominee.
In every state, there will be a primary or caucus. The results of those will determine who the delegates are to the convention. Each state selects its own delegates, and those, along with delegates who are automatically chosen (super delegates) will go do their thing and choose a nominee.
Each state has a set number of delegates, based primarily on the population of the state. States like New Hampshire and Iowa have relatively few delegates. They are considered important only because they have their primary or caucus very early in the primary race. At the convention, their delegates are among the smaller delegations. Same thing with Nevada.
In November, we'll all have three choices: 1. Vote for the Democrat. 2. Vote for the Republian. 3. Don't Vote, or vote for some third party candidate who is sure to lose. I'll be voting for the Democrat. It's that simple. I'm a Democrat.
cali
(114,904 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Thanks for the kick.
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)Everyone has reasons for voting for who they choose. I'm interested in reading, listening & sharing with people here. The debates will help me decide my vote in the primary. I'll vote for the Democrat in November. Have a good weekend!
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)and skipping the threads trashing them. I don't see the point of such threads, frankly, during primary season.
longship
(40,416 posts)I will vote for a yellow Dawg before I'd vote Republican (or third party).
Whoever gets the nomination, I will vote for them. And work for their election.
But here's the deal. Currently the theocratic GOP has:
* a majority of the state legislatures
* a majority of the governorships
* a majority in the US House of Representatives
* a majority in the US Senate
* a razor thin majority in the US Supreme Court
So, forgive me, but since my birth, in 1948, the 2016 election is the most important one of my lifetime. Because if we do not win the White House, and have not turned around our deficits in the states and in Congress, the country may be utterly fucked. We may be already, given today's know nothing, do nothing Congress. Many of the states are already fucked.
The solution is to see politics as local. We need more Democratic wins in the local elections if we are going to turn things around. The White House is essential, but not sufficient.
R&K for MM
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)offices. Those I have a chance to influence. I have next to zero influence on the presidency. With luck, the candidate for President will bring out plenty of Democratic voters and help the races lower on the ballot.
State and local races matter most to most people's lives. That's why my focus is there in each election.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)not get the nomination. Too many people care too much for that to happen next year. Primary voters vote to win in November.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)I don't see any possible way that she creates enthusiasm with the people that stayed home in 2014.
And, it can't be denied that she's perceived as the status-quo, which is exactly what we don't need if we think we're going to get more than the reliable Democratic voter to get to the polls in November. And we do.
Then there's also the problem of charisma. She just doesn't have it the same as Obama or Bill. And, that goes a long way when a lot of the states she needs to win will be close.
The last thing is her approval/disapproval numbers. They are not great for someone that is so well known. Her latest numbers have her approval no greater than low 40's. Her disapprovals are in the 50's and climbing.
That doesn't mean I think Bernie or O'Malley could do better. I don't actually.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Turnout will be similar to 2012, I think. Yes, she does represent the status quo, if by that you mean Barack Obama's presidency. Not a bad standard to continue, especially if we can improve the Democratic position in Congress. As for charisma, I think you underestimate her, really.
We shall see, I suppose. I foresee her being the nominee. I can't see a path that leads in any other direction, frankly.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)She might have more charisma than I think, but I doubt it. I've seen her a couple of times and came away surprised at how little she energized the crowd. That was in 2008 so maybe she's better now. Based on what I've seen on video, I don't think so.
I think you're going to be shocked at how many people can't stand her. It won't be good.
SonderWoman
(1,169 posts)Dawgs
(14,755 posts)SonderWoman
(1,169 posts)Can't even garner more than 5% of the minority vote is somehow going to round up the 65 million people it takes to get into the White House?
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)I already said that I'm not sure that Bernie or O'Malley could do better.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Hard to believe that's necessary.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Democratic Presidents make progress. Republicans want to set the clock back. Those two things are true, which is why I'm a Democrat.
I will be glad when the nominee is clear. Then, this destructive stuff will stop on DU. Can't wait...
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)Someone just likes to prattle on.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Support one or more of our potential nominees, I think MM is right to voice this perspective.
None of our potential nominees can get everything we want, but any of them will get us more than any if the GOP candidates.
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)I have my choice. Others have theirs. I respect their right to make their own choices. It would be nice if they could do the same.
And absolutely, I will be voting for the Democrat in November.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)feel. DU is not representative of Democrats in general, I have discovered.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)this same perspective.
asiliveandbreathe
(8,203 posts)and the republicans will just walk right in, (and yes, I will say it - Jeb Bush will be their nominee certainly not trumpster dumpster)....thank you for righting the ship..I remember this divisive debate in the Democratic party during the 2008 elections...
Remember the PUMAs..
..PUMA ("People United Means Action" was a political action committee in the United States that opposed the Democratic Party leadership and the nomination of Sen. Barack Obama as the Democratic candidate for President in the 2008 presidential election.
PUMA began as an effort of supporters of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton who believed that Clinton should have been the Democratic nominee.
According to PUMA, "We [were] protesting the 2008 Presidential election because we refuse to support a nominee who was selected by the leadership rather than elected by the voters."
It is good to have open debate, however, dividing the party is not the answer....
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)and then Sanders in the General.