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Does anyone really give a rats ass about a New Hamshire poll or.... (Original Post) trumad Aug 2015 OP
One gives a rats ass when one's preferred candidate is leading in the poll. morningfog Aug 2015 #1
Not me.. trumad Aug 2015 #3
So, which polls, if any, do you give a rat's ass about? morningfog Aug 2015 #4
HRC supporters like national polls, even though we vote state by state. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #5
the like polls where Hillary leads, the rest are less enjoyable virtualobserver Aug 2015 #7
Yup. sheshe2 Aug 2015 #86
Not really. leftofcool Aug 2015 #2
wut?! frylock Aug 2015 #52
why yes, trumad. People do pay attention to polls. cali Aug 2015 #6
You know Cali trumad Aug 2015 #13
sorry that's she's losing there........... here Ichingcarpenter Aug 2015 #24
And Jesse Jackson won South Carolina DefenseLawyer Aug 2015 #16
Twice Capt. Obvious Aug 2015 #23
As much as a Rasmussen poll and opinion. Fred Sanders Aug 2015 #8
IMO people really SHOULD pay attention to what's happening in those states NOW, elleng Aug 2015 #9
Like this Gov. Shumlin Campaigns For Hillary Clinton in NH....... Historic NY Aug 2015 #19
A governor that noone likes vs Bernie? Genghis Khan Aug 2015 #27
Someone must because he got re-elected. Historic NY Aug 2015 #30
Barely Genghis Khan Aug 2015 #33
He defeated six opponents George II Aug 2015 #50
lol. He barely won over Scott Milne. the hapless repub who had never run for office cali Aug 2015 #61
Vermonters can't stand him never seen anything like it here. cali Aug 2015 #59
Do you really want to go there? "Barely eked out a win"? George II Aug 2015 #69
sure I want to go there. you sure are presumptuous cali Aug 2015 #71
Again with the insults.... George II Aug 2015 #73
you don't live here. cali Aug 2015 #74
Check out the ability to judge crowd size from his armchair. neverforget Aug 2015 #91
Lecturing Vermonters about Vermont politics again, George? beam me up scottie Aug 2015 #72
It's a little known fact that Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders Capt. Obvious Aug 2015 #93
Yes, because whoever wins NH loses the primary. SonderWoman Aug 2015 #10
That's why Bill Bradley had Florida stolen from him Capt. Obvious Aug 2015 #20
Conversely, whoever wins NH Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2015 #35
Yes. I do. I think it matters tremendously NowSam Aug 2015 #11
I think Bernie being in the lead in NH is no big deal... trumad Aug 2015 #17
And that will happen once Sanders gets a few of these early primary victories frylock Aug 2015 #53
Because calendars are hard to use. (nt) jeff47 Aug 2015 #57
Exactly. Yallerdog posted this earlier today: George II Aug 2015 #76
Ill say it again...its NH. trumad Aug 2015 #77
Yep, and if Sanders doesn't win or compete in NH, he's got serious problems. George II Aug 2015 #80
Welcome back, Trumad. Bonobo Aug 2015 #12
Thanks trumad Aug 2015 #14
The West Wing made fun of New Hampshire and elections in every single season. onehandle Aug 2015 #15
Yep... trumad Aug 2015 #21
You guys are stuck in the '90s.. frylock Aug 2015 #54
Yes angry Hillary supporters do ibegurpard Aug 2015 #18
I really doubt that.. trumad Aug 2015 #22
OK ibegurpard Aug 2015 #25
Because there's already about 10 ops making it out... trumad Aug 2015 #32
Exactly MaggieD Aug 2015 #26
No worries, it's just another indication that Clinton will shut her campaign down soon. nt Zorra Aug 2015 #28
Nov. 4th..2016 trumad Aug 2015 #29
No, that's not soon. More like late October, 2015. nt Zorra Aug 2015 #31
1000 dollar bet ..right now trumad Aug 2015 #34
Come on you now sound like Romney awake Aug 2015 #47
2 grand...right now trumad Aug 2015 #49
One Hundred Billion Dollars Capt. Obvious Aug 2015 #51
You're on! trumad Aug 2015 #62
Dream on. Metric System Aug 2015 #90
Apparently Capt. Obvious Aug 2015 #36
Dig deep enough, and I'm sure there are plenty of posts touting Clinton's lead in NH frylock Aug 2015 #55
I'm sure Capt. Obvious Aug 2015 #56
I think its the downward trend in every poll. forthemiddle Aug 2015 #37
Apparently Capt. Obvious Aug 2015 #38
If Hillary was ahead in NH, I suspect you'd give a rat's ass. <nt> AtomicKitten Aug 2015 #39
The weathervane brigade has been deluging the site for months touting Clinton's LondonReign2 Aug 2015 #40
Guess the wind just changed direction whatchamacallit Aug 2015 #42
Hypocrisy: It's Not Just For Republicans Anymore LondonReign2 Aug 2015 #43
Does anyone really give a rats ass ...... left-of-center2012 Aug 2015 #41
Heh! ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #44
I'm with you. Jamaal510 Aug 2015 #45
Sure hootinholler Aug 2015 #46
Yeah. Those of us who live here and have been working our ASSES off for our candidate care. bunnies Aug 2015 #48
Yeah that "white state" talking point is offensive as hell. beam me up scottie Aug 2015 #64
My 96 honda will have to do. bunnies Aug 2015 #66
I'm sure he won't mind. beam me up scottie Aug 2015 #67
(You left out "granola-eating" and "rainbow pony worshiping".) Buns_of_Fire Aug 2015 #65
the granola eaters are in our sister state of Vermont. Warren Stupidity Aug 2015 #85
The real question is will he be on the primary ballot there. cherokeeprogressive Aug 2015 #58
You heard it here first folks. Polls now mean jack shit.. frylock Aug 2015 #60
No... trumad Aug 2015 #63
CORRECTION: Polls don't mean jack shit if your candidate of choice is behind. frylock Aug 2015 #68
This message was self-deleted by its author 1000words Aug 2015 #70
She buys them...they tell her what she wants to know... HereSince1628 Aug 2015 #75
It will interesting to see what happens if Biden jumps in madville Aug 2015 #78
I think the op titled "JOE BIDEN IS RUNNING!!1!!" scared quite a few of them. beam me up scottie Aug 2015 #79
Polls are good and fun to follow, the best one to follow is on the road to getting the most Thinkingabout Aug 2015 #81
Aw, if I didnt know better, I'd think some people haz a sad over those poll numbers. Warren DeMontague Aug 2015 #82
Ah, thanks for sharing today's Daily Horseshit. Warren Stupidity Aug 2015 #83
I'm not really a follower of polls. LWolf Aug 2015 #84
As of this post ornotna Aug 2015 #87
Hillary Clinton won NH jfern Aug 2015 #88
K & R SunSeeker Aug 2015 #89
Iowa and New Hampshire matter...a lot! Garrett78 Aug 2015 #92

sheshe2

(83,898 posts)
86. Yup.
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 12:54 AM
Aug 2015

My Aunt lives there. When my mom visits it is Fox 24/7. Mom is a Dem. She is 89.

It is a very white conservative State. Hmmmm~

leftofcool

(19,460 posts)
2. Not really.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:37 PM
Aug 2015

I would bet that Hillary takes both states no matter what the polling says. She has such a great ground game and excellent organization in both states.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
6. why yes, trumad. People do pay attention to polls.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:41 PM
Aug 2015

Love how you got Buchanan in there trying to link him with Bernie. Classy! And yes, it's obvious that's what you were doing.
By the way, Hillary also won New Hampshire.

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
13. You know Cali
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:47 PM
Aug 2015

Only you would have that takeaway....

The point I'm making is who gives a shit about little old New Hampshire and the people they favor.

I've expreessed it a thousand times here on DU my affection to Bernie Sanders. Plenty of times.

Nope....you have to make up shit ...as usual...to try and take it to me.

I see right through you Cali...always have.

Historic NY

(37,453 posts)
19. Like this Gov. Shumlin Campaigns For Hillary Clinton in NH.......
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:54 PM
Aug 2015

Vermont Governor Peter Shumlin spoke at a number of grassroot campaign events in New Hampshire for Presidential Candidate Hillary Clinton.

Gov. Shumlin, an early Clinton endorser, attended organizing meetings in Hanover, Claremont, and Peterborough to outline Clinton's New College Compact, a plan that which aims to tackle student debt.

http://www.mychamplainvalley.com/news/gov-shumlin-campaigns-for-hillary-clinton-in-nh

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
61. lol. He barely won over Scott Milne. the hapless repub who had never run for office
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 03:19 PM
Aug 2015

It was so close it was thrown into the statehouse.

Vermonters can't stomach him. He isn't running next year because there is no way he could win an election for any office.

I've lived here for 35 years. In general, Vermonters like their elected officials. Never seen anything like the animosity Vermonters feel for him. I couldn't bring myself to vote for him last year. I had a lot of liberal company.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
59. Vermonters can't stand him never seen anything like it here.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 03:10 PM
Aug 2015

He barely eked out a win over a guy who had never run before. It was so close that it was thrown into the statehouse which is super majority dem in both the Senate and house. Some of the loathing for ol' Scummy Shummy comes from his having cheated a disabled neighbor out of his property, but there's a lot more to it. He had hoped to run for the senate, but the guy couldn't get elected dog catcher in Vermont now. He's gunning for a job in a Clinton admin.

Bernie is far and away the most liked politician in Vermont and Shumlin is by far the most disliked

George II

(67,782 posts)
69. Do you really want to go there? "Barely eked out a win"?
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 04:33 PM
Aug 2015

So how did Sanders do in his two runs for Governor? And then his two runs for Senator?

As far as "barely eking out a win", Sanders won his FIRST election (after losing four times previously, getting about 5% or less each time) by a huge margin of TEN votes!

The "Most liked politician in Vermont" is Patrick Leahy, who won his last election for Senate with 89% of the vote!! And who was one of his defeated opponents when he was first elected to the Senate? None other than Bernard Sanders.

By the way, while we're on the subject of DEMOCRATIC politicians from Vermont, a little known fact is that Bernie Sanders won the Democratic nomination for the Senate in 2006, but he REFUSED it! A good indication of the respect he had/has for the Democratic Party, until he needed it this year.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
71. sure I want to go there. you sure are presumptuous
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 04:45 PM
Aug 2015

You don't have a clue about my state. Since being elected as mayor Bernie has lost only one race. And that was because Paul Poirer ran and the vote was split. As I recall, Bernie got close to 40% and Paul got around 20%.

And no, although pat is well liked he isn't as popular as Bernie.

I live here. You don't have a clue.

I would never pretend to know more about the politics of your state than you do. I'm not that arrogant.

George II

(67,782 posts)
73. Again with the insults....
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 04:56 PM
Aug 2015

...i.e., "resumptuous", "don't have a clue", "arrogant".

I've lived in New England for 25+ years, and have been following politics in the region for just about as long.

So a person who lost to Leahy (with a mere 5% of the vote) is "more popular" than a man who won his last election with 89% of the vote is "more popular"? Hah!

I have more of a clue than you'd like to admit, thank you.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
74. you don't live here.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 05:23 PM
Aug 2015

I've lived in New England much longer than you have but I don't know the intricacies and players in other new England states the way I do in Vermont. Pat is an institution here. Bernie is, well, beloved. Every year seven days runs a best in Vermont thing and readers vote. Bernie wins every year. No, this isn't scientific, but there are ad reasons why. Bernie is much more accessible and his office is recognised as doing more for constituents that need assistance of some kind. This is the stuff that if you don't live here,you're just not attuned to.

And yes, I think it's very presumptuous of you to think you know more about the state where I've lived for 35 years, than I do.

beam me up scottie

(57,349 posts)
72. Lecturing Vermonters about Vermont politics again, George?
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 04:48 PM
Aug 2015

Have you learned nothing from your previous epic fails?

"By the way, while we're on the subject of DEMOCRATIC politicians from Vermont, a little known fact is that Bernie..."

Keep flinging those red herrings and thinking it's distracting people from noticing how desperate some HC supporters are getting.



Capt. Obvious

(9,002 posts)
93. It's a little known fact that Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 08:27 AM
Aug 2015

are two people that have never been in my kitchen.

NowSam

(1,252 posts)
11. Yes. I do. I think it matters tremendously
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:47 PM
Aug 2015

and I think that it means Bernie's message is getting through regardless of the slanted and minimal main stream media he gets and even though the DMC is limiting the debates and further tilting the board toward HRC with the exclusivity clause.

I think more polls will come from other states that will show similar trends. This is a movement and the time has come for real measurable change in this nation.

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
17. I think Bernie being in the lead in NH is no big deal...
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:49 PM
Aug 2015

Now if he led Ohio or California...well that's different.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
12. Welcome back, Trumad.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:47 PM
Aug 2015

I thought you were sent on vacation unfairly and actually said so.

Welcome back.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
15. The West Wing made fun of New Hampshire and elections in every single season.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:48 PM
Aug 2015

I think that's why President Josiah Bartlet was from there. Real political players were deeply involved with the show, which is why the griping about the futility of winning New Hampshire came through so strongly.

Josh would say that you had to appear to 'try' win it, then completely ignore it.

ibegurpard

(16,685 posts)
18. Yes angry Hillary supporters do
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 12:53 PM
Aug 2015

When it doesn't fit their polling inevitability narrative. The rest of us take them with a hopeful grain of salt.

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
32. Because there's already about 10 ops making it out...
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 01:22 PM
Aug 2015

To be earth shattering...

I'm just saying whoop t doo

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
26. Exactly
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 01:07 PM
Aug 2015

But let them celebrate. I think the celebrations will be few and far between for the Bernie supporters. It will be super Tuesday that tells the tale, not NH or IA.

awake

(3,226 posts)
47. Come on you now sound like Romney
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 02:19 PM
Aug 2015

Lets try and chill out a bit.

Hillary has spent over $800,000 on polling so her polling in NH seem to matter to her I am sure she would like to win there, as would anyone but come on "put Up or shut up" is that really necessary here?

forthemiddle

(1,382 posts)
37. I think its the downward trend in every poll.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 01:36 PM
Aug 2015

The trend at this point is not good for Hillary, regardless of the polls you don't like.
Face it, she will probably still be the candidate in the end, but everyday more and more people are looking elsewhere. Including the administration, and party big wigs, otherwise the Biden talk would be not happening.

For me, my mantra from the start has been NO MORE CLINTONS, NO MORE BUSHES!!!!!!!

I haven't quite decided yet who I will back in the primaries yet (yes there are still undecideds), but in the end I will back the party nominee no matter how much I dislike it.

LondonReign2

(5,213 posts)
40. The weathervane brigade has been deluging the site for months touting Clinton's
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 01:44 PM
Aug 2015

insurmountable lead. How is that THIS poll is the one you choose to post that no one should give a rat's ass about? Did you make the same statement about the dozens and dozens of polls touting Hillary's lead?

left-of-center2012

(34,195 posts)
41. Does anyone really give a rats ass ......
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 01:45 PM
Aug 2015

"Does anyone really give a rats ass about a New Hamshire poll or an Iowa poll...etc."

Apparently they do:
"Hillary Clinton SURGES ahead in Iowa"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/110716749

Jamaal510

(10,893 posts)
45. I'm with you.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 02:05 PM
Aug 2015

Why is it that only 2 states (with fairly small and homogeneous populations BTW) get placed on a pedestal during the primaries? It's just weird to me how they get so much airtime and so much time from the candidates devoted to them, while the other 48 get less attention.

 

bunnies

(15,859 posts)
48. Yeah. Those of us who live here and have been working our ASSES off for our candidate care.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 02:23 PM
Aug 2015

Fuck small, rural, white, racist, volvo-driving, entitled, dumb-fuck New Hampshire! Right? You dont need us now nor will you ever!

beam me up scottie

(57,349 posts)
64. Yeah that "white state" talking point is offensive as hell.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 03:26 PM
Aug 2015

We're supposed to be ashamed of where we live now.



Good for you, NH!

You can drive Bernie all the way to the white house in your Volvo!


 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
85. the granola eaters are in our sister state of Vermont.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 08:31 PM
Aug 2015

That is where we send all the volvos to die as well. Our proud state is evenly split between Humvee driving tealibans and prius/subaru pinko commie liberals, most of whom are too uptight to acknowledge their granola eating past.

frylock

(34,825 posts)
60. You heard it here first folks. Polls now mean jack shit..
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 03:13 PM
Aug 2015

except for those meaningless national polls that Team Clinton loves to scoreboard with.

Response to trumad (Original post)

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
75. She buys them...they tell her what she wants to know...
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 05:32 PM
Aug 2015

The ones she doesn't buy? They're good if they are consistent with the narrative.

madville

(7,412 posts)
78. It will interesting to see what happens if Biden jumps in
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 07:06 PM
Aug 2015

And he takes 10-15% away from Hillary overnight, I bet the polls really won't matter then lol

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
81. Polls are good and fun to follow, the best one to follow is on the road to getting the most
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 08:08 PM
Aug 2015

delegates and this will win the nomination.

 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
83. Ah, thanks for sharing today's Daily Horseshit.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 08:26 PM
Aug 2015

Usually it comes earlier in the day, but this will do.

p.s. "Hampshire". Although we will allow the alternative spelling "New Hampster" as it is chuckle-worthy.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
84. I'm not really a follower of polls.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 08:28 PM
Aug 2015

They don't drive my choices.

Really, the only reason for me to enjoy a positive poll for Sanders is to watch all those who tell me that any candidate I support is unelectable, using poll data, race to rationalize his poll numbers away.

ornotna

(10,807 posts)
87. As of this post
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 01:00 AM
Aug 2015

13 people don't give a rats ass. The rest of DU are at least moderately interested.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
92. Iowa and New Hampshire matter...a lot!
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 06:17 AM
Aug 2015

Unless you're new to following US politics, you ought to know how much the first caucus and first primary matter.

"Since 1976, when proliferating primaries and caucuses became the basis for selecting convention delegates, every single nominee but one, in both parties, won either Iowa or New Hampshire."

As for New Hampshire specifically, although there have been several exceptions in recent years, the winner of NH typically becomes the party's nominee. I won't be surprised, though, if 2016 provides another exception to the rule.

Those who lose both Iowa and New Hampshire, especially if they lose badly, have virtually zero chance of becoming the nominee.

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