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RCP: "No Toss UPs" -- Obama: 332 Romney: 206 (Original Post) DCBob Jul 2012 OP
Seems about right. HopeHoops Jul 2012 #1
Indiana and North Carolina flipped from 2008 rufus dog Jul 2012 #2
Agreed. I think NC goes blue once again. DCBob Jul 2012 #3
November Robbins Jul 2012 #4
I agree with you about an attempt to Melissa G Jul 2012 #6
me too. DCBob Jul 2012 #9
I agree about Indiana, but not NC davidpdx Jul 2012 #8
Romney don't have a snowball's chance in hell Downtown Hound Jul 2012 #5
I have the same feeling.. even though we are likely to win I want to win big, very big.. DCBob Jul 2012 #11
The Huffington Post has us at 281 counting just solid and likely states. aaaaaa5a Jul 2012 #7
RCP also has a map like that... O:221 R:181 TU:136 DCBob Jul 2012 #10

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
3. Agreed. I think NC goes blue once again.
Sun Jul 15, 2012, 07:44 PM
Jul 2012

That's the only state I think is off in that map.. at the moment.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
4. November
Sun Jul 15, 2012, 07:48 PM
Jul 2012

It's very possable we may end up at Obama 52 and Romney 47

Indiana might be only 2008 state to flip the other way

If Obama keeps hamming Romney all the way through november and Romney has disastas Debate performance I might be
underestimating Obama for november.

Of course that assumes Romney Isn't replaced In Tampa.My crazy predication Is an attempt will be made to challenge his
nomination at convention.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
9. me too.
Mon Jul 16, 2012, 06:28 AM
Jul 2012

It probably wont actually happen but Im sure there will be a angry group of TPer types that will try.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
8. I agree about Indiana, but not NC
Mon Jul 16, 2012, 04:55 AM
Jul 2012

I think we may lose there, but it will be close. The EC votes also change slightly from the reapportionment so if Obama won the same states (including DC and 2nd Dist in NE) he would have 359. My take is the 2nd Dist in NE, NC and IN will go the other way, the rest will stay the same. That would give him 321. I'd be happy if he gets over 300.

BTW I'm a Niner fan as well. How are you feeling about the upcoming season? I have no idea what's going on as I'm overseas.

Downtown Hound

(12,618 posts)
5. Romney don't have a snowball's chance in hell
Sun Jul 15, 2012, 08:40 PM
Jul 2012

Based on polling data, Obama could lose Florida, Ohio, and Iowa, and STILL win. And I don't think we'll lose those, (maybe Florida given the corrupt jackass that runs it, but I think Ohio and Iowa will be ours for sure, and probably Florida as well).

I'll admit that as early as Monday I was worried that the stagnant economy and weak jobs reports could cause Obama's lead to erode come November, but with this Mitt scandal erupting and not likely to go away, I think this election's a shoe-in for Obama.

And no, I'm not saying that means we can sit on our butts until election day. Let's get out there and get the vote out, and give the Repukes one hell of a thrashing!

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
11. I have the same feeling.. even though we are likely to win I want to win big, very big..
Mon Jul 16, 2012, 06:37 AM
Jul 2012

so there's no doubt and it sends the Rethugs/TPers a message they cant ignore.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
10. RCP also has a map like that... O:221 R:181 TU:136
Mon Jul 16, 2012, 06:34 AM
Jul 2012
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

I noticed there were a number of key toss up states where Obama was ahead but not enough to put in his column so thats why I posted the "No Tossup" map. I think that puts things into better perspective.
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