2016 Postmortem

DCBob

(24,689 posts) Tue Jul 17, 2012, 06:19 PM Jul 2012

WMUR Granite State (NH) Poll: Obama 49 Romney 45

DURHAM, N.H. - Despite more Granite Staters disapproving of the job he has done, President Barack Obama still holds a slim lead over Republican Mitt Romney in a new poll.

The WMUR Granite State Poll shows that 49 percent of likely New Hampshire voters said they will vote for Obama, compared to 45 percent who plan to vote for Romney. In April, Obama held a 9-point lead over Romney.

The poll of 521 New Hampshire adults was conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center by landline and cellphone from July 5 through July 15. The margin of sampling error for the survey is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

Read more: http://www.wmur.com/news/politics/Poll-shows-race-tightening-for-president/-/9857748/15576784/-/yxcpoq/-/index.html

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My comments:

NH is a bit of bellweather for independents/moderates. A 4 point lead is good news to me.

10 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

WMUR Granite State (NH) Poll: Obama 49 Romney 45 (Original Post) DCBob Jul 2012 OP

I'm glad he's leading, but he was up 51-42 in their last poll... Drunken Irishman Jul 2012 #1

Yeah, but I wouldnt expect Obama to win NH again easily like in 2008 DCBob Jul 2012 #2

Dems have won NH 4 out of the last presidential 5 elections Marzupialis Jul 2012 #4

Oh, I think he is going to win NH just not by double digits. DCBob Jul 2012 #5

and read this.. DCBob Jul 2012 #6

That article doesn't say NH is right-leaning Marzupialis Jul 2012 #9

article title: "Obama to face a more right-leaning N.H." DCBob Jul 2012 #10

New Hampshire is hardly a lock for Democrats. Daniel537 Jul 2012 #8

Hey, that was the pollster that called me last week! mikeargo Jul 2012 #3

Good news.... Wounded Bear Jul 2012 #7

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

1. I'm glad he's leading, but he was up 51-42 in their last poll...

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 06:22 PM

Jul 2012

So, he's lost significant support it appears.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

2. Yeah, but I wouldnt expect Obama to win NH again easily like in 2008

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #1)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 06:27 PM

Jul 2012

Historically NH tends to be an R leaning state so being up by 4 is not bad at this point... imo.

Marzupialis

(398 posts)

4. Dems have won NH 4 out of the last presidential 5 elections

Reply to DCBob (Reply #2)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 08:43 AM

Jul 2012

Their Republican-leaning ways are a thing of the past. You're a little behind.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

5. Oh, I think he is going to win NH just not by double digits.

Reply to Marzupialis (Reply #4)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 09:35 AM

Jul 2012

Whats with the snark??

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

6. and read this..

Reply to Marzupialis (Reply #4)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 09:47 AM

Jul 2012

http://articles.boston.com/2011-11-22/news/30429964_1_granite-state-voters-new-hampshire-mitt-romney

so you dont get "behind" as well.

Marzupialis

(398 posts)

9. That article doesn't say NH is right-leaning

Reply to DCBob (Reply #6)

Sun Jul 22, 2012, 02:47 AM

Jul 2012

We're talking about Presidential elections, yet your "evidence" to back up the claim that NH is right-leaning is an article that states that NH is relatively more right-leaning now than it was in 2008 (as is the case in many states because Obama vs. McCain was not a tight contest).

NH is not a Republican-leaning state when it comes to Presidential elections. You are many years behind.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

10. article title: "Obama to face a more right-leaning N.H."

Reply to Marzupialis (Reply #9)

Sun Jul 22, 2012, 07:21 AM

Jul 2012

LOL.

Here let me make it very easy to understand..

Suppose we had selected a weak candidate and the Republicans had nominated a more reasonable candidate that wasnt a complete idiot like Romney. In that scenario I think NH would be the only state that might be in danger of going R of all the NE states. Is that simple enough for you?

Daniel537

(1,560 posts)

8. New Hampshire is hardly a lock for Democrats.

Reply to Marzupialis (Reply #4)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 01:46 PM

Jul 2012

As recently as 2004, Kerry won NH by a mere 1.4%, when he basically had home court advantage living right next door. And of course in 2010 the teabagger Ayotte won her Senate race by more than 20%, and we lost both House seats. Dems would be foolish to take things for granted in that state.

mikeargo

(675 posts)

3. Hey, that was the pollster that called me last week!

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 07:50 PM

Jul 2012

I told them I strongly support the President.

Lots of questions about health care, too.

Wounded Bear

(58,743 posts)

7. Good news....

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 11:52 AM

Jul 2012

Not a lot of electoral votes, but yeah, somewhat of a bell weather for indies.

By rights, Pres Obama should be winning by a landslide, but I'll take any win.

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