2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumQuinnipiac Poll: Obama and Romney tied in Virginia
A new Quinnipiac poll in Virginia finds Mitt Romney now in a dead heat with President Obama at 44% each.
Obama held an 8 point lead in March and a 5 point lead in June.
Said pollster Peter Brown: "Virginia voters are sharply split along gender and political lines about the presidential race. The two candidates equally hold their own political bases and are splitting the key independent vote down the middle. One small edge that President Obama has is likability. Voters have a slightly more favorable opinion of the president than they do Mitt Romney."
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/07/19/virginia_is_dead_even.html
Another state where Obama is losing ground--adding to recent PPP polls of Iowa and New Mexico. It's going to be a long campaign with lots of ups and downs I think.
thevoiceofreason
(3,440 posts)More R's, more men, more 55+ than then June sample. Use the same sample metrics as June? Obama up 6-8%
budkin
(6,703 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)this is how polling firms can skew results almost any way they want.
Marzupialis
(398 posts)Or are LV more accurate historically?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The likely voter universe can change dramatically as we near the election.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)I don't think our message is getting through?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Many were shocked Obama won VA in 2008. Historically its a Red state. The urban areas, especially Northern VA made the difference.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)it's the male redneck/contractor - seems to be state-wide.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)They want an R.