Then Obama will have his convention and the race should get more or less even again. The debates, I think, are going to be critical. The jobs numbers are not going to do Obama any favors and, unfortunately, the last one will be on the Friday before the election. If it's bad then you know Romney will hit that during the last 72 hours. Hopefully in the next few months we'll see some marginal improvements in jobs, but I'm not holding my breath.

The media is incentivized to create a horse race because tgat sparks excitement and increases their ratings.

I seriously think that the Republicans have managed to nominate a candidate so disastrous, that his low numbers in the election could reveal that the polls are all rigged.

I really wouldn't be surprised if he isn't the nominee. Everyday is a disaster in his campaign, with no end on sight. His campaign's success was contingent upon Romney never doing interviews--because he sucks at them and he can't answer basic questions without sounding like an idiot because he's flip flopped do much.

However, with his constant problems and issues, he is forced to do interviews, which only hurts him further.

I don't see how Romney survives all of this.