Ezra Klein: Uncle Ben’s Crazy Housing Sale
Uncle Ben's Crazy Housing Sale
Posted by Ezra Klein on July 24, 2012 at 9:14 am
I dont pretend to know what is truly in the heart of our top central banker. But in conversations with Fed watchers and economists, I am convinced that there is something more the Fed can do, and that now is the right time for them to do it. I call it Uncle Bens Crazy Housing Sale.
Tomorrow morning, Bernanke could walk in front of a camera and announce that the Federal Reserve intends to begin buying huge numbers of mortgage-backed securities with the simple intention of bringing the interest rate on a 30-year mortgage down to about 2.5 percent and holding it there for one year, and one year only.
The message would be clear: If you have any intention of ever buying a house, the next 12 months is the time to do it. This is Uncle Bens Crazy Housing Sale, and youd be crazy to miss it.
This is a particularly good time for Uncle Ben to launch his sale, because the housing market appears to be turning: More houses are being built, the price of existing homes is beginning to rise, and inventory levels are falling. A recent Wall Street Journal poll of economic forecasters found that 44 percent thought housing had bottomed out, while only 3 percent thought the housing market had further to fall.
more...