2016 Postmortem

portlander23

(2,078 posts) Mon Sep 21, 2015, 12:51 PM Sep 2015

Hillary Clinton’s lead narrows: NBC online survey

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Bernie Sanders has dwindled from 24 points to just 13 points over the last month. According to the latest NBC News online survey conducted by SurveyMonkey from Wednesday night through Friday, 42% of Democrats and independents who lean Democrat nationwide support Clinton, compared to 29% who support Sanders. Just five months ago, Clinton led Sanders by 45 points in the April NBC News-SurveyMonkey poll. In spite of this weakening in support, a majority of Democratic voters continue to say they expect Hillary to win the Democratic nomination for president.

Clinton’s standing has fallen among a number of key voting groups, including those over 65 (-11 points and between 45 and 64 years (-9), college graduates (-10), and both whites (-10) and blacks (-11). Both Sanders and Joe Biden, who has not officially entered the race, have made small gains in each of these groups.

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Hillary Clinton’s lead narrows: NBC online survey (Original Post) portlander23 Sep 2015 OP

Online survey? Gimme a break. longship Sep 2015 #1

And Phone Polling only 50+ isn't FreakinDJ Sep 2015 #2

Irrelevant. longship Sep 2015 #4

Obama was elected by all who voted for him upaloopa Sep 2015 #5

I was 25 when me and my homies voted for him. d_legendary1 Sep 2015 #8

You ask someone to give you a break when they point out common sense. NCTraveler Sep 2015 #7

I thinks that's something about which everyone should agree. OilemFirchen Sep 2015 #3

Hit it on the head a couple of hours ago. NCTraveler Sep 2015 #6

I don't think the numbers will change much from now until the debates. ram2008 Sep 2015 #9

longship

(40,416 posts)

1. Online survey? Gimme a break.

Reply to portlander23 (Original post)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 12:53 PM

Sep 2015

It's worthless.

FreakinDJ

(17,644 posts)

2. And Phone Polling only 50+ isn't

Reply to longship (Reply #1)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 12:56 PM

Sep 2015

No - give me a break

Obama was elected by the Youth Vote

Other then that it was all republicans

longship

(40,416 posts)

4. Irrelevant.

Reply to FreakinDJ (Reply #2)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 01:01 PM

Sep 2015

There are some metrics for polling that provide accuracy. Online surveys violate nearly all of them.

Principally, survey participants are self selected, which is a recipe for bias, not accuracy.

And yes, polling only 50+ would also violate objective criteria, but that is irrelevant to this case.

I am done here.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)

5. Obama was elected by all who voted for him

Reply to FreakinDJ (Reply #2)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 01:17 PM

Sep 2015

youth vote my ass

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)

8. I was 25 when me and my homies voted for him.

Reply to upaloopa (Reply #5)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 05:33 PM

Sep 2015

I'm 32 and we plan on voting for Sanders in the same manner we voted for Obama: With enthusiasm!

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)

7. You ask someone to give you a break when they point out common sense.

Reply to FreakinDJ (Reply #2)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 01:22 PM

Sep 2015

Then follow it up with something that did not occur in reality.

"Obama was elected by the Youth Vote"
"Other then that it was all republicans"

This place keeps getting more an more funny as it becomes an echo chamber.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)

3. I thinks that's something about which everyone should agree.

Reply to longship (Reply #1)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 12:58 PM

Sep 2015

Sadly, I predict they won't.

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)

6. Hit it on the head a couple of hours ago.

Reply to portlander23 (Original post)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 01:17 PM

Sep 2015

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=610387

ram2008

(1,238 posts)

9. I don't think the numbers will change much from now until the debates.

Reply to portlander23 (Original post)

Mon Sep 21, 2015, 05:44 PM

Sep 2015

They seem to have settled at Hillary in low 40's, Bernie mid to high 20's, Biden high teens low 20's.

We'll probably see a mix of those numbers from now until the first debate changes things up a little bit or if Biden decides whether or not to enter the race.

Reply to this discussion