With Romney, we probably lose Florida and New Hampshire, but his crazy-ass statements about immigration and "self deportation" give us a leg up in NM and AZ.

The Gingrich number sounds about right.

Newt 422

Used as guide:
http://www.270towin.com/

And probably 285 against Mitt. Against Newt, a wider margin.

We'll drop Virginia and Indiana, as well as the single vote from Nebraska.
Florida and NC will barely squeak in.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=fKb

If Newt runs, I can't even speculate...Ok maybe I can.
Same as above, add West Virginia, Virginia, and Indiana--Obama: 363 / Newt: 175

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=fKc

Finally, If a third party conservative runs, same as Newt, but add Montana, Missouri, and Georgia (the 3 states McCain won =< 5%)-- Obama: 392 / Other: 146

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=fKf

Possible surprises -
-Romney wins Nevada
-Obama takes Az and Tx

That about the way I see it also.

...President Obama will improve upon both his popular and electoral vote totals from 2008.

No matter if it's bain romney, the 2 woman man, little ricky or any "white knight" from a brokered convention.

PEACE!

Haven't you been keeping count, my friend?

...but I was referring to his desire for an open marriage.

I know that his count is certainly higher than 2. Hugh Hefner may be jealous! Of course, Hefner was always very open about his desired and activities. tiffany's gengrich sells the "family values" BS while he sacks any woman foolish enough to lift her skirt. He's either a real prince or a real turd. My money is squarely on the turd.

PEACE!

that simply won't flush, no matter how many times you try. You think he's been gotten rid of, but then he bobs back to the surface!

That's the tiffany's man.

PEACE!

is a total waste of time. What if the unemployment goes up? What if the EU goes into a recession? What if gas prices go to $4.00 plus? What if things keep going south in Iraq? etc. etc. ?

its a bit of fun, thats all. Its not a waste when I'm enjoying the time...

New polls are showing the primarys are causing Obama to be ahead of Romney In Florida.Remember Obama has done no campaging
yet.The economy Is showing signs of Improvement.Romney will not be able to act with Obama In debates as he does In Republican
debates.Even RAS according to poll I heard at Political wire today has Obama ahead of Romney.

Obama could very well trade Arizona for Indiana.Nevada,and NH are possable close because of Romney was Governor of Ma and the
Momon Population from Nevada.New poll had 6 point lead for Obama over Romney In Michigan.

I say Obama Is more likely to lose NC than Virginia If he loses one of his southern states.

Arizona will probally be only Mccain State Obama Is competive In.

If Obama can win ALL of the states that Kerry won in 2004, and retain OH and possibly NC, we don't need VA and FL.

Does this make sense?

The last poll that I saw was that Obama is beating Romney in Florida by 8 or 9 percentage points. But if Mittens picks Rubio out of desperation to win FL, the scenario that I provided above still works.

What doesn't work is that Obama loses BOTH OH and FL. He has to win one of these two states, plus ALL of Kerry's states. It would help if we were able to retain NC and VA, but VA is highly unlikely.

I live in MD, and will work my ass off again in VA with the full knowledge that it'll be an uphill battle.