2016 Postmortem

Persondem

(1,936 posts) Sun Oct 18, 2015, 12:19 PM Oct 2015

Opinion piece from WaPo - GOP is right to fear Clinton

"Republicans’ biggest fear about next year’s election was having to run against Hillary Clinton. As we saw Tuesday night, they were right to worry."

Here's the gist ...

"Clinton commanded the stage in Las Vegas not just in style but also in substance, pivoting at every opportunity to the economic issues that are likely to define the election. With more than 15 million people watching — a record for a Democratic primary debate — she talked about ways to boost sagging middle-class incomes. That’s the political sweet spot, yet Republicans don’t even aim at it."

And he highlights a main difference between Dems and the GOP ...

" ... what should worry Republicans is that the two leading Democrats spent so much of the evening on the issues Americans say they care about. To cite one representative survey, a recent CBS poll asked registered voters what they most wanted to hear the candidates discuss. “Economy and jobs” came in first at 24 percent ... "

7 replies

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Opinion piece from WaPo - GOP is right to fear Clinton (Original Post) Persondem Oct 2015 OP

Peer reviewed political research indicates.. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #1

Interesting. I had not heard that before. Persondem Oct 2015 #2

The best predictors are asking people who they think will win and the predictions (betting) markets DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #3

They are terrified of Hillary's Warm Purple Space Fumesucker Oct 2015 #4

Sounds like ... Persondem Oct 2015 #5

They fear her so much they attack Bernie. Skwmom Oct 2015 #6

"Economy and jobs" mmonk Oct 2015 #7

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

1. Peer reviewed political research indicates..

Reply to Persondem (Original post)

Sun Oct 18, 2015, 12:25 PM

Oct 2015

Peer reviewed political research indicates that the best predictor of who will win an election is the number of people who think that candidate will win the election, i.e. scientifically poll people and ask them who they think will win. This is actually a more effective predictor than head to head match ups.

Here's the link:

http://forecasters.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/gravity_forms/7-2a51b93047891f1ec3608bdbd77ca58d/2013/07/Graefe_vote_expectations_ISF.pdf

Persondem

(1,936 posts)

2. Interesting. I had not heard that before.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 18, 2015, 07:45 PM

Oct 2015

Thank you for the info and the link.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

3. The best predictors are asking people who they think will win and the predictions (betting) markets

Reply to Persondem (Reply #2)

Sun Oct 18, 2015, 07:47 PM

Oct 2015

When you think about it they are basically the same.

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)

4. They are terrified of Hillary's Warm Purple Space

Reply to Persondem (Original post)

Sun Oct 18, 2015, 07:48 PM

Oct 2015

A space she is going to take them to and then suck their tiny shriveled and pathetic souls out out of their loathsome bloated bodies with her Clinton triangulating mind meld.