Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 11:51 AM Oct 2015

PPP: Clinton regains lead in New Hampshire

Clinton reclaims NH lead; Trump still up big



PPP's new New Hampshire Democratic poll finds that Hillary Clinton's moved back into the lead in the state. She gets 41% to 33% for Bernie Sanders with Joe Biden at only 11%, Martin O'Malley at 4%, and Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb each at 2%. Since PPP last polled New Hampshire in August Clinton's gone up 6 points from her then 35% standing, while Sanders has dropped 9 points from his then 42% standing.

Clinton's rise comes as her image with Democratic voters in the state has improved by a good amount. Her favorability (+56 at 73/17) has improved a net 18 points from August when she was at +38 (63/25) with primary voters. The key for her is that she has narrowed things up among Sanders' core groups of supporters. With 'very liberal' voters Sanders leads her only 43/42, with men Sanders leads her only 35/34, and with younger voters Sanders is ahead 42/34. Meanwhile Clinton remains dominant with the groups most friendly to her- she's up 50/24 with seniors, 47/31 with women, and leads by at least 8 points with every ideological group besides 'very liberal' voters.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/

82 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
PPP: Clinton regains lead in New Hampshire (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2015 OP
time for us to say goodbye Robbins Oct 2015 #1
Oh for heavens sake! WI_DEM Oct 2015 #2
She is no liberal Robbins Oct 2015 #5
And you can claim what you want but that does not make your claim true. riversedge Oct 2015 #8
Don't care what they call themselves FiveGoodMen Oct 2015 #34
Well, then... MineralMan Oct 2015 #16
Hillary's support comes from the most liberals voters Renew Deal Oct 2015 #26
My favorite candidate isn't winning, so I'll throw a tantrum firebrand80 Oct 2015 #27
The GOP will contorl house for years to come Robbins Oct 2015 #29
a GOP House with President Clinton, or President Rubio firebrand80 Oct 2015 #35
I will be screwed over regardless Robbins Oct 2015 #37
I'd bet that Justices Kagan and Sotomayor disagree firebrand80 Oct 2015 #42
Gays, minorities and women may feel differently. Metric System Oct 2015 #46
Oh FFS! ARGH! Stuckinthebush Oct 2015 #60
Nice artislife Oct 2015 #73
I have no idea what you are talking about Stuckinthebush Oct 2015 #81
That's ridiculous. Enough of that extremist nonsense. You sound like a TeaPartier. RBInMaine Oct 2015 #71
These are nice polling numbers for Hillary Clinton Gothmog Oct 2015 #3
Wow.. its all going Hillary's way now. DCBob Oct 2015 #4
Clinton's net favorability has improved 18 pts in New Hampshire since August. riversedge Oct 2015 #7
Whow. and PPPolling does great work. whow. Good for Hillary and her team riversedge Oct 2015 #6
Clinton leads Sanders 50/24 w/ seniors, 47/31 w/ women, by at least 8 w/ every ideology group beside riversedge Oct 2015 #9
45/35 without Biden nt firebrand80 Oct 2015 #10
I think Joe waited too long. WI_DEM Oct 2015 #19
It wouldn't have mattered. The first words out of his mouth today were that ladjf Oct 2015 #78
Since August Hillary is up 6 points & Sanders is down 9 points--in NH: riversedge Oct 2015 #11
Corporate America's heft at work Plucketeer Oct 2015 #64
Good numbers. Thinkingabout Oct 2015 #12
Clinton actually beats out Biden 24/21 even when it comes to 2nd choice in NH. Clinton leads Sanders riversedge Oct 2015 #13
Again. We're fucked. Dawgs Oct 2015 #14
at least we can stop pretending Robbins Oct 2015 #20
You know this is one poll WI_DEM Oct 2015 #22
doesn't matter what I think Robbins Oct 2015 #25
I am a a liberal and progressive, thank you.! juajen Oct 2015 #80
Why bother? ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2015 #36
Can't possibly be true. MineralMan Oct 2015 #15
If you were talking about Trumpet I would agree, lol. nt BootinUp Oct 2015 #17
Chuckle. riversedge Oct 2015 #21
If you can control for the media effects that are introduced when they create and disseminate the Ed Suspicious Oct 2015 #30
The polls measure public opinion. That's what they're for. MineralMan Oct 2015 #32
I guess there must be a lot of people in New Hampshire Chitown Kev Oct 2015 #18
nah. NH folks are begining to see the good in Hillary riversedge Oct 2015 #23
Folks in NH are known to be very down to earth and practical. MoonRiver Oct 2015 #49
Clinton a winner? Robbins Oct 2015 #50
Sounds like we need more debates, then. MineralMan Oct 2015 #24
Absolutely we need more debates. That is the general principle. Democratic party positions need a Ed Suspicious Oct 2015 #31
See, I don't disagree. The more debates, the more opportunity for MineralMan Oct 2015 #33
I agree--debates are good. WI_DEM Oct 2015 #55
K & R SunSeeker Oct 2015 #28
K&R! stonecutter357 Oct 2015 #38
Just as the far right doesn't represent most of the Republican party Sheepshank Oct 2015 #39
Your wrong Robbins Oct 2015 #40
no, you're wrong n/t Sheepshank Oct 2015 #41
I have been through this song and dance before Robbins Oct 2015 #43
nope, they are not irrelevent. Sheepshank Oct 2015 #45
Not with Clinton they are relvent Robbins Oct 2015 #47
then you don't undestand the true nature of politics Sheepshank Oct 2015 #53
Anyone who thinks Clinton can be moved left is naive Robbins Oct 2015 #54
ahh I see what you are doing Sheepshank Oct 2015 #57
Liberals aren't irrelevant ConservativeDemocrat Oct 2015 #65
She's been a progressive for decades. NYC Liberal Oct 2015 #82
Define "far left" frylock Oct 2015 #44
he means Robbins Oct 2015 #48
nope...you need to quit reading minds too. You are also wrong. n/t Sheepshank Oct 2015 #52
Haven't we talked about this a lot on DU? Sheepshank Oct 2015 #51
What you call the far left espouses traditional Democratic values. frylock Oct 2015 #58
its quite apparent it doesn't matter what or how I define anything Sheepshank Oct 2015 #62
You made the post, and you did it for a reason.. frylock Oct 2015 #63
But she didn't win the debate. And all the real polls showing she did are tainted somehow. While stevenleser Oct 2015 #56
But is there anything empirical like science involved? Yes?! Well... this ones bunk too!!!! uponit7771 Oct 2015 #59
DU rec...nt SidDithers Oct 2015 #61
So basically old people like Hillary d_legendary1 Oct 2015 #66
This message was self-deleted by its author MoonRiver Oct 2015 #67
kind of a condescending comment WI_DEM Oct 2015 #68
I'm using the data from the PPP d_legendary1 Oct 2015 #69
Awesome! workinclasszero Oct 2015 #70
80% landlines / 20% internet. Poll is garbage. nt bunnies Oct 2015 #72
I agree with you. Pollsters have gone all in on this polling methodology though. stillwaiting Oct 2015 #79
Sanders has a narrow lead over the average of the 4 post debate polls jfern Oct 2015 #74
Kick. Agschmid Oct 2015 #75
impressive book_worm Oct 2015 #76
Message auto-removed Name removed Oct 2015 #77

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
1. time for us to say goodbye
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 11:53 AM
Oct 2015

Liberals and progressives have no place anymore in Democratic party.it's just a centrist party now.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
2. Oh for heavens sake!
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 11:54 AM
Oct 2015

Well why do those who call themselves "very liberal" essentially split there votes between Bernie and Hillary?

FiveGoodMen

(20,018 posts)
34. Don't care what they call themselves
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:56 PM
Oct 2015

Hillary is not liberal, not populist.

A betrayal by any name is still a stab in the back.

MineralMan

(146,322 posts)
16. Well, then...
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:09 PM
Oct 2015

Who are the other people in your "us?" It's probably best to speak just for yourself, generally.

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
27. My favorite candidate isn't winning, so I'll throw a tantrum
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:32 PM
Oct 2015

The far right is employing that strategy, and look at what's going on in the House

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
29. The GOP will contorl house for years to come
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:39 PM
Oct 2015

there is 50/50 chance the senate stays gop.

there are plenty of reasons why republican or Clinton country gets screwed regardless.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
37. I will be screwed over regardless
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:07 PM
Oct 2015

so will everyone else on social safety net

wall street will be happy regardless.so will neocons.

and trump is more likely to be president than Rubio.

Seems like revolt in republican party will succeed while attempted revolt in Democratic party failed.

many dems are happy with staus quo.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
73. Nice
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 05:57 PM
Oct 2015

But we don't like your candidate and on that we get to vote!



She and her candidates are the same, imo.

riversedge

(70,267 posts)
7. Clinton's net favorability has improved 18 pts in New Hampshire since August.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 11:58 AM
Oct 2015


PublicPolicyPolling ?@ppppolls 9m9 minutes ago

Clinton's net favorability has improved 18 pts in New Hampshire since August. Was +38 (63/25), now +56 (73/17): http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/clinton-reclaims-nh-lead-trump-still-up-big.html

riversedge

(70,267 posts)
9. Clinton leads Sanders 50/24 w/ seniors, 47/31 w/ women, by at least 8 w/ every ideology group beside
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:00 PM
Oct 2015


PublicPolicyPolling ?@ppppolls 7m7 minutes ago

Clinton leads Sanders 50/24 w/ seniors, 47/31 w/ women, by at least 8 w/ every ideology group besides 'very liberal' http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/clinton-reclaims-nh-lead-trump-still-up-big.html

ladjf

(17,320 posts)
78. It wouldn't have mattered. The first words out of his mouth today were that
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 07:04 PM
Oct 2015

Cheney was a decent man. nt

riversedge

(70,267 posts)
11. Since August Hillary is up 6 points & Sanders is down 9 points--in NH:
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:02 PM
Oct 2015


Clinton trailed Sanders by 7 on our August New Hampshire poll. Since then she's up 6 points and he's down 9 points: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/clinton-reclaims-nh-lead-trump-still-up-big.html
 

Plucketeer

(12,882 posts)
64. Corporate America's heft at work
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 02:48 PM
Oct 2015

of course - corporations ARE people, so this is no doubt a good thing. LOL.... go back and watch Obama's campaign rhetoric from '08. Then compare his deeds to his talk. And so I'm to believe what the anointed has to spew? I'm no genius, but I AM smarter than that.

riversedge

(70,267 posts)
13. Clinton actually beats out Biden 24/21 even when it comes to 2nd choice in NH. Clinton leads Sanders
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:04 PM
Oct 2015



PublicPolicyPolling ?@ppppolls 7m7 minutes ago

Clinton actually beats out Biden 24/21 even when it comes to 2nd choice in NH. Clinton leads Sanders 45/35 wo Biden: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/clinton-reclaims-nh-lead-trump-still-up-big.html
7 retweets 5 favorites
 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
14. Again. We're fucked.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:06 PM
Oct 2015

It's either far-right or centrist-right. Most likely the next president will be far-right.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
20. at least we can stop pretending
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:19 PM
Oct 2015

1:This is democracy
2:There is any place for liberals and progressives In Democratic party

Some are totally ok with words President Trump.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
22. You know this is one poll
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:22 PM
Oct 2015

and the NH primary election is is more than three months away. Instead of moaning about it and seemingly giving up--you should be fighting harder than ever to win. I'm sure that is what Bernie and most of his supporters are doing.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
25. doesn't matter what I think
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:28 PM
Oct 2015

nor does it matter what any liberals and progressive think.Polls are proving that.

Polls are showing best cahnce to make some ground for bernie failed meserably and majority of dems want to vote for Clinton
nomatter what.

I least the truth is out no about what democratic party and majority of voters truly believe in and it's nothing liberal or progressive.

juajen

(8,515 posts)
80. I am a a liberal and progressive, thank you.!
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 07:24 PM
Oct 2015

Gee, what sour pusses. Don't get your way, so take your marbles and scatter them noisily.

ProudToBeBlueInRhody

(16,399 posts)
36. Why bother?
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:06 PM
Oct 2015

This person has already chosen to shit all over people who don't agree with their choice by calling them not progressive or far right? You don't generally win back people with that opening tactic.

MineralMan

(146,322 posts)
15. Can't possibly be true.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:07 PM
Oct 2015

Everyone knows that Sanders won the debate. Or, maybe not, as we're seeing from post-debate scientific polling.

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
30. If you can control for the media effects that are introduced when they create and disseminate the
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:43 PM
Oct 2015

notion that Clinton won the debate, then I will believe the science behind the polls. They have soiled the sample by declaring and driving the point that Hillary was the unquestionable winner. All they have succeeded in is proving that perception is reality - facts be damned - and that the mainstream media are still influential enough to sway perception, and, therefore, create reality.

MineralMan

(146,322 posts)
32. The polls measure public opinion. That's what they're for.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:50 PM
Oct 2015

So, what influences public opinion? That's a separate question. Yes, media coverage of debates has a great influence on opinion, since the vast majority of people did not see the debates, and a vast majority of voters won't see any of the primary debates. So, they watch the nightly news on whatever network they follow and read the newspapers. Or they see commentary on the debates elsewhere?

That's been the pattern all along, since those debates were first televised. Now, more people watch the debates during the General Election, but it's never a majority of voters who sees them.

Of course the media coverage affects public opinion. Public opinion is what determines the winner on Election day, too. Media coverage, advertising, public appearances, debates. All play into the formation of public opinion. That's how it works, since the last half of the last century. When the first JFK/Nixon debate was televised, it changed the way we elect our leaders. Today, debates and analysis of debates plays an important role in influencing voters. Only advertising plays a larger role.

Is that a good thing? Probably not, but it is how it works.

Chitown Kev

(2,197 posts)
18. I guess there must be a lot of people in New Hampshire
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:10 PM
Oct 2015

that came down with a case of Stockholm Syndrome during the debate.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
49. Folks in NH are known to be very down to earth and practical.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:31 PM
Oct 2015

They know a winner when they see one. Sorry, no mass psychological disorders for you to blame for Bernie's fail.

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
31. Absolutely we need more debates. That is the general principle. Democratic party positions need a
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:46 PM
Oct 2015

more robust public airing. Hillary's "win" doesn't change that but for the most cynical and politically calculating.

MineralMan

(146,322 posts)
33. See, I don't disagree. The more debates, the more opportunity for
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 12:53 PM
Oct 2015

the best debater to increase the lead. And there it is. Frankly, televised debates are not about policy or positions. They are about presentation, really. The person who makes the best impression overall generally comes out ahead. That's the reality of televised debates, but many people don't recognize that. Some think that it's what is said, instead of how it is said. That's just not true, when it comes to influencing public opinion, as we've seen again and again.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
39. Just as the far right doesn't represent most of the Republican party
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:09 PM
Oct 2015

I do believe the far left doesn't represent most of the Democratic party either.

But before I am the recipient of the inevitable pile on, I will say that the extremes in either party has an impact on the direction of the party.

For those up thread stating they have no place, they couldn't be more wrong. I think the key to winning the WH doesn't lie in the far left (or far right). They simply don't represent enough of the voting constituency, whome I belive to be more centrist and are frightened off by anyone seeming to represent the extremes.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
40. Your wrong
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:13 PM
Oct 2015

Liberals hve no influence In democratic party.once primarys are over you will never hear anything progressive out of clinton again.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
43. I have been through this song and dance before
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:16 PM
Oct 2015

Obama sold out every union that worked to elect him on TPP.

Liberals are ilrelvent in democratic party now.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
45. nope, they are not irrelevent.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:28 PM
Oct 2015

you can play the defeatist card simply because you don't feel like the relevancy exists outside of the Whitehouse, but you are very very wrong on this.

I work in government and I see the pendulum swing all the time...and that pendulum is not moved by a centrist, it's moved by the more extreme left or right attemting to make policy change.

The far left liberals play a role, an important role, I just do not belive they are electable because the larger mainstream constituency doesn't want any extreme to govern such a diverse nation. The ones elected find a way to implement the policy driven and presented by those with a passion for their beliefs. I believe in this very strongly.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
53. then you don't undestand the true nature of politics
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:39 PM
Oct 2015

and the ebb and flow of the desires of the population.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
54. Anyone who thinks Clinton can be moved left is naive
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:46 PM
Oct 2015

It will last as long as primarys are over then back to being centrist.of course it seems the democratic party is centrist too.her support proves that.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
57. ahh I see what you are doing
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:49 PM
Oct 2015

Bernie is the one that maybe inadvertantly dismantles the party, with a little help from "within".

ConservativeDemocrat

(2,720 posts)
65. Liberals aren't irrelevant
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 03:03 PM
Oct 2015

Haters are.

- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community

/ Believe me. Democrats have become far more doctrinaire over the last 20 years. Not as bad as the GOP/teabaggers have on the other side, but still - it's obvious.

// Hillary is liberal. So is Obama. Bernie backs drones - which is good, as appeasement of extremists never works

NYC Liberal

(20,136 posts)
82. She's been a progressive for decades.
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 01:21 AM
Oct 2015

And apparently they do have influence because Hillary is winning.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
51. Haven't we talked about this a lot on DU?
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:37 PM
Oct 2015

it's subjective. I can speak for what I personally believe, which may be very different from what Cruz thinks is far Left, or even another Dem may feel is far Left. I can react and use the infor gleaned from those claiming Hillary or Obama are not left enough. I can react to those claiming I'm personally not progressive enough, I can use the information that so may here pat themselves on the back for dragging Hillary left on some policies because of the far left, I can employ all sort of input to make my determination. I've been told Bernie is w-a-y further Left that Hillary....I interpret and make that determination on all sorts of unput.

Do you have a definition to offer that I can also use?

frylock

(34,825 posts)
58. What you call the far left espouses traditional Democratic values.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:52 PM
Oct 2015

The same traditional Democratic values that Hillary now claims to embrace. Yes, we have talked a lot about it on DU. the reason people like Sanders are perceived as far left is because the Democratic party has shifted significantly to the right. So today's far-leftist is yesterday's garden variety Democratic voter.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
62. its quite apparent it doesn't matter what or how I define anything
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 02:12 PM
Oct 2015

you are determined to be oppositional.

have a good day.

frylock

(34,825 posts)
63. You made the post, and you did it for a reason..
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 02:20 PM
Oct 2015

this is a discussion board. If you don't care to discuss your thoughts, then perhaps you can keep them to yourself.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
56. But she didn't win the debate. And all the real polls showing she did are tainted somehow. While
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:48 PM
Oct 2015

online polls are sacrosanct!

uponit7771

(90,348 posts)
59. But is there anything empirical like science involved? Yes?! Well... this ones bunk too!!!!
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 01:53 PM
Oct 2015

.../ sarcasm <--- cause this is needed around here

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
66. So basically old people like Hillary
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 03:08 PM
Oct 2015

That explains why 66% of moderate, left of center Dems like HRC in this poll.

Response to d_legendary1 (Reply #66)

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
68. kind of a condescending comment
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 04:12 PM
Oct 2015

especially considering that among younger voters Bernie only leads Hillary by 7-points--so I think there are a lot of younger voters who favor her, too. Also you make a point that 66% of left of center dems like HRC, but how do you explain that among "very liberal" people Hillary and Bernie are in a virtual tie? I hate to tell you this but in November of 2016 if Bernie were the nominee he would need more than "liberal" or "extreme liberals" to win and he would need more than younger people. At least people over 50 vote regularly even in off-year elections.

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
69. I'm using the data from the PPP
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 05:12 PM
Oct 2015

Per the article's claim, she's up 50/24 with seniors. Also per their questionnaire, "Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?"

34% Somewhat Liberal (left of center)

32% Moderate

How exactly is my comment condescending? Seniors loved Hillary Clinton back in 08. Assuming that they're still around they'll vote for HRC again. If anything HRC should be focusing on the millennial vote. 66% of people under age 30 helped put Obama over the top in '08. Right now Bernie has the slight edge on that age group. If he gets bumped off those votes go with him since millennials won't vote unless Clinton gives them a reason to vote for her. One demo graph isn't gonna cut it.

stillwaiting

(3,795 posts)
79. I agree with you. Pollsters have gone all in on this polling methodology though.
Tue Oct 20, 2015, 07:17 PM
Oct 2015

It could very well be widely skewed and invalid, but if these are the "official" poll results we keep getting what is to stop them from validating them by stealing votes at the ballot box? Indeed, why wouldn't the corporate entities steal votes if the polling methodology is heavily skewed and in error to the more conservative candidates? Surely, they're aware of this fact. So many elections come gift-wrapped with a tag screaming: "Steal Me".

We simply have to fight to get paper ballots back. Our election system is completely broken and corrupt.

Paper ballots and a secure and monitored election voting system would prevent skewed polling methodologies from mattering. We don't have a secure election system so corrupted polling methodologies could easily be the precursor and set-up to election theft. Almost all of the "legitimate" and "scientific" polls rely heavily on landlines. That results in a heavily skewed population demographic, and it consolidates a demographic that will be much more conservative overall. Very convenient for the corrupted PTB.



Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»PPP: Clinton regains lea...