2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton is rising in North Carolina
PPP's new North Carolina poll finds Hillary Clinton with her largest lead in the state since May. 61% of Democrats in the state support Clinton to 24% for Bernie Sanders, 5% for Martin O'Malley, and 2% for Lawrence Lessig. A month ago Clinton led 51/23 in a Joe Biden-less field and these numbers suggest that pretty much everyone who's made up their mind since then has gone into her camp.
North Carolina provides more evidence of Clinton's favorability numbers improving over the last month. She's gone up a net 9 points from +34 (63/29) in September to now +43 (67/24). Her lead is pretty steady across the board- she gets 74% with African Americans, 66% with seniors, 65% with liberals, 62% with women, 60% with men, 58% with moderates, and 57% with whites. The group where Sanders come closest is with younger voters, but even there Clinton still has a 50/34 advantage.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/clinton-rising-in-north-carolina.html
jeff47
(26,549 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)It don't matter anyway, he has to win the nomination first!
Nice try at deflecting away from the horrible news for Bernie this morning!
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Can't imagine why LOL
jeff47
(26,549 posts)And losing in the head-to-heads doesn't help with electability.
But as I mentioned in the reply below, NC's going to go to the Republican nominee no matter who's on the ballot.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)I'm sure someone who bothered to read the article in order to point out the poor general election matchups would only read the Clinton ones!!!!!
NC's going to the Republican nominee. Clinton has zero chance of overcoming the urban/rural divide in the state. Even Obama couldn't in 2012. An "outsider" like Sanders or O'Malley has a slim chance, in that upsetting the status-quo could upset the urban/rural divide some. But is also unlikely.
Add in the fact that there are easier states to win in order to get 270, and no Democratic candidate will bother to campaign in NC. So the current dynamic will not be changed and the state will be going to the Republican.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Robbins
(5,066 posts)we can just scrap primarys and go to year long Clinton VS Trump race