Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
46 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
New Hampshire Monmouth Poll Skew Explained (Original Post) jkbRN Nov 2015 OP
This is just getting sad now. JaneyVee Nov 2015 #1
you should always make it a priority to clarify what exactly you are referring to. jkbRN Nov 2015 #3
We = DU. I watched the first 30 seconds and... JaneyVee Nov 2015 #5
well, again, you are walking down the road of ignorance and ignoring jkbRN Nov 2015 #6
Where was her previous videos of concern when Bernie was winning? JaneyVee Nov 2015 #10
were the polls skewed? jkbRN Nov 2015 #12
The polls have NEVER been skewed. Agschmid Nov 2015 #20
Yes, they included Joe Biden. JaneyVee Nov 2015 #29
If you would like to give your brain a work out, jkbRN Nov 2015 #8
And now the brogressives workinclasszero Nov 2015 #35
You are calling women brogressives now? jfern Nov 2015 #39
I never thought Bernie supporters would start trying to unskew polls like the GOPers did in 2012 Cali_Democrat Nov 2015 #2
This is sad... DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #27
Unskewing confirms Historic NY Nov 2015 #4
Im sorry, I think you may have made a typo, or two-- jkbRN Nov 2015 #7
Business as usual.... Adrahil Nov 2015 #9
I'm sorry sorry but facts cannot be disputed, jkbRN Nov 2015 #11
I have seen no evidence of any skewing by mainstream pollsters.... Adrahil Nov 2015 #41
Each and every time? workinclasszero Nov 2015 #36
I must have missed the video author's qualifications for un-skewing polls. nt BootinUp Nov 2015 #13
MOAR POLL UNSKEWING!!!!!! K&R!!!!! MohRokTah Nov 2015 #14
Well,that was 6 minutes I'll never get back. sufrommich Nov 2015 #15
I watched her a few weeks ago when DU went skewy bonkers when Hillary started pulling riversedge Nov 2015 #30
Oy vey DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #16
Thank You For That !!! WillyT Nov 2015 #17
Her heart is in the right place. Nt NCTraveler Nov 2015 #18
This is an irrational reaction. Agschmid Nov 2015 #19
Is that Cosmic Kitten? DCBob Nov 2015 #21
You're mean. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #25
Thanks to all of the comenters,.... PosterChild Nov 2015 #22
bless your hearts tishaLA Nov 2015 #23
... SidDithers Nov 2015 #24
Call it "Bern the Polls" firebrand80 Nov 2015 #26
Well she wasted her 15 seconds of fame. William769 Nov 2015 #28
Ancient Greek proverb: "He who spends time unskewing the polls..." alcibiades_mystery Nov 2015 #31
I urge all Sanders supporters to watch this...it will give you hope. brooklynite Nov 2015 #32
Oh, that's just mean. (Funny, but mean.) NurseJackie Nov 2015 #40
lol, so now we've devolved to Poll Trutherism? UnSkewed!!!1!1! tritsofme Nov 2015 #33
Poll-Truthers workinclasszero Nov 2015 #37
I didn't bother to watch but for those that actually are interested onenote Nov 2015 #34
She also said millennials are breaking 8-1 for the Vermont independent. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #43
Oh, that video. okasha Nov 2015 #38
She should do some videos with Dean Chambers DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #42
Such passion. NCTraveler Nov 2015 #44
Truthiness--not just for conservatives anymore. NuclearDem Nov 2015 #45
I don't trust Dubya's gut or anyone elses much more. nt BootinUp Nov 2015 #46

jkbRN

(850 posts)
3. you should always make it a priority to clarify what exactly you are referring to.
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 08:55 PM
Nov 2015

"We", we who? "This kind of BS", this what? I shouldn't have to ask these questions, if you are going to make a claim make sure you explain in full what you are referring to.

Maybe if you were to watch the video your comment would have been so broad in attempting to align what I posted with right wingers. But, given the amount of time it took you to post the comment shows me you didn't watch the video, and all you wanted to do is complain. You should really look at the facts instead of playing into ignorance.

 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
5. We = DU. I watched the first 30 seconds and...
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:02 PM
Nov 2015

I can confirm: It is a woman with no expertise in this field holding a microphone and being in a deep state of denial.

jkbRN

(850 posts)
6. well, again, you are walking down the road of ignorance and ignoring
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:06 PM
Nov 2015

the facts--and that's incredibly sad for a democratic voter.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
20. The polls have NEVER been skewed.
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:50 PM
Nov 2015

They may not mean much when it comes down to it, the only poll that does is the election.

jkbRN

(850 posts)
8. If you would like to give your brain a work out,
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:12 PM
Nov 2015

Check out the demographics of who was polled. When looking at that, make sure to take a close look at the number of millennials polled (18-34) and especially men.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
2. I never thought Bernie supporters would start trying to unskew polls like the GOPers did in 2012
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 08:52 PM
Nov 2015

This is pathetic.

jkbRN

(850 posts)
7. Im sorry, I think you may have made a typo, or two--
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:07 PM
Nov 2015

I don't understand what you are trying to say here

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
9. Business as usual....
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:12 PM
Nov 2015

When the polls show Bernie gaining, it's Bernmentum! When they show Hillary gaining, the polls are obviously skewed.

jkbRN

(850 posts)
11. I'm sorry sorry but facts cannot be disputed,
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:16 PM
Nov 2015

No matter how much you want to blame supporters, it's not them so please stop trying to pin everything on them. When the facts are there to back up the argument you should understand where fellow democrats are coming from.

If you find polls where pollsters skew in another candidates favor, then please post, and I can promise you that I would be standing right there next to you saying that that poll was inaccurate as I am now with the current findings.

We should be for integrity on ALL SIDES.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
41. I have seen no evidence of any skewing by mainstream pollsters....
Wed Nov 4, 2015, 07:23 AM
Nov 2015

Any single poll can be wrong. That doesn't mean it was deliberately skewed. And that's why it's better to look at many polls instead of just one.

riversedge

(70,305 posts)
30. I watched her a few weeks ago when DU went skewy bonkers when Hillary started pulling
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 10:28 PM
Nov 2015

ahead (recall those zillion of posts!!!). Anyway, it is the same woman I believe based on her pic that I glimpsed. I will not waste time and listen to this one. Thanks.

PosterChild

(1,307 posts)
22. Thanks to all of the comenters,....
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 09:56 PM
Nov 2015

.... saved me the trouble of watching . Your pain was my gain so I owe you!

brooklynite

(94,729 posts)
32. I urge all Sanders supporters to watch this...it will give you hope.
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 10:48 PM
Nov 2015

It won't be true, and it won't explain why Clinton has led in four of the seven latest polls after being behind Sanders for all ten polls in August-September, but hope is important.

tritsofme

(17,399 posts)
33. lol, so now we've devolved to Poll Trutherism? UnSkewed!!!1!1!
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 11:08 PM
Nov 2015

Just wait, the next step from the sore loser caucus will be claims that Hillary rigged the vote and stole the election or some other such nonsense.

onenote

(42,762 posts)
34. I didn't bother to watch but for those that actually are interested
Wed Nov 4, 2015, 12:35 AM
Nov 2015

the main issue I've seen raised about the Monmouth poll is that the gender split of those polled was 57 percent female/43 percent male. That certainly got my attention and so I did a quick bit of research and discovered that, according to the exit polls, the gender division in New Hampshire's 2008 Democratic primary was 57% female/43% male.

In other words, the poll was simply using the most recent actual gender split as a model for the predicted split in 2016. Now no one knows whether the gender split in 2016 will be the same as it was in 2008 or whether it will be more even or more lopsided. But it's hardly unreasonable to base a poll's gender split on most recent available data.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
43. She also said millennials are breaking 8-1 for the Vermont independent.
Wed Nov 4, 2015, 10:08 AM
Nov 2015

The millennial vote is actually split pretty evenly if anybody cares to look.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
44. Such passion.
Wed Nov 4, 2015, 11:14 AM
Nov 2015

"One YouTube user even made a six-minute conspiracy theory video that compared images from a professional Malibu commercial promoting the contest with the winner?s video, saying in part: ?Wow, the same nose!? The same guy? You be the judge!?"

"It just looks like, wow, they rigged the contest,? said Debbie Lusignan, 35, of Adams, Mass. ?I am furious. I spent 60 hours on this freaking contest.?"

http://www.webpronews.com/user-generated-video-contests-can-backfire-2007-06


 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
45. Truthiness--not just for conservatives anymore.
Wed Nov 4, 2015, 11:48 AM
Nov 2015

Who cares what the reliable, scientific evidence says? All that matters is what your gut tells you!

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»New Hampshire Monmouth Po...