2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNov 14 **New Hamphire State -Gravis Poll : Clinton 46% Sanders 25
Nov 14 **New Hamphire State -Gravis Poll : Clinton 46% Sanders 25
Lets hope this one has better Karma.
THIS IS NEW HAMPSHIRE
New Hampshire poll, Hillary leads Sanders by 21%
NH-Gravis: Clinton 46% Sanders 25% O'Malley 3%
http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-new-hampshire-polling-2/
Current New Hampshire Polling
November 14, 2015
http://www.chartgo.com/embed.do?id=1b9c9cc4aa
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)The steps of the scientific method are to:
Ask a Question
Do Background Research
Construct a Hypothesis
Test Your Hypothesis by Doing an Experiment
Analyze Your Data and Draw a Conclusion
Communicate Your Results
There will be more scientific polls released in the coming days. They will either verify or contradict Gravis' findings. I would literally wager on the latter.
riversedge
(70,311 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)That's the beauty of the scientific method. If it's specious we will find out soon enough. In the absence of contradictory evidence there is prima facie evidence it is correct.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)polling orgs. show good NH numbers. This may be exaggerated,but I'll bet her numbers are up in NH.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)If the results are specious we will learn shortly enough...Let me hasten to add that a handy frame of reference is to believe that the more likely something is believed to be true on DU the less likely it is to be true in real life and the less likely something is believed to be true on DU the more likely it is to be true in real life.
DU is a great contraindicator.
TheBlackAdder
(28,222 posts).
"Well, well,....Democratic Underground have been lifting some rocks and finding some very nasty things lurking under them..."
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/15/1144688/-Gravis-Marketing-Exposed-AND-Eviscerated
===
UPDATED with 538 Rating Gravis a 'C': http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/
.
jfern
(5,204 posts)Need I say more about Gravis?
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)I give too much of a rat's ass what a poll says. Get back to me when the body cools.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Nothing big happened, few watched and the media is hardly covering it.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Ne need to hope.. Hillary has this regardless.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)the one that wants to wrap it up early.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)However, its my opinion is that its pretty much over, regardless.
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)If this is just close to being accurate, its over. Hillary wins.
dsc
(52,166 posts)thus even though this poll is telling me a story I like, I still am not biting.
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)riversedge
(70,311 posts)The Sanders supporters loved that poll--just as I, for one Hillary supporter, LOVE this one!!