2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAs far as I'm concerned, there is nothing wrong with considering internet polls.
Mind you, I did not say they are perfectly accurate, or that they are better than so-called "scientifically conducted" polls.
What I am saying is that this weird prejudice against online polling is unwarranted and unjustified. Especially when you have hundreds of thousands of people participating in them. Especially when they keep producing similar results over and over. Far from being reasonable, the people who dismiss all of these polls with a chuckle and the wave of the hand are the ones being delusional.
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)...and I marshall all my people to overwhelm the online poll and vote in my favor.
You see nothing wrong with that?
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)It's not difficult at all to rack up thousands of the same vote from the same machine in a very short time period.
Response to MohRokTah (Reply #3)
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TM99
(8,352 posts)does a bogus poll sponsored by the Clinton Super PAC On the Record?
Pretty much the same - one involves the potential for gaming the poll with chosen individuals and the other involves the potential for gaming the poll with moneyed interests.
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)TM99
(8,352 posts)you just made.
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)TM99
(8,352 posts)wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)Someone points to a online poll to prove global science doesn't exist VS pointing to a study commissioned by an environmental group to prove it does exist. They're both dubious but to declare they're the same is gross false equivalence.
TM99
(8,352 posts)because the methodology was flawed in the commissioned poll. One of your fellow Clinton supporters, a statistical analyst, has already fully and thoroughly debunked it. Therefore, we are indeed comparing apples to apples - two unscientific polls that prove nothing in reality except what one chooses to believe.
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)TM99
(8,352 posts)Both are unscientific, skewed, and therefore invalid.
You can put your fingers in your ears and go 'na na na na' all you want but it won't change reality.
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)TM99
(8,352 posts)with the fingers in the ears and na na na'ing!
How old are you exactly?
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)How old are YOU exactly.
TM99
(8,352 posts)Oldest enough to know that you belong on an Ignore list instead of attempting to engage with on these forums.
wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)ignore list = fingers in ears.
Response to wyldwolf (Reply #49)
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wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)Response to wyldwolf (Reply #55)
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wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)Sanders supporters freep then quote every online poll. therefore, you have nothing to show - except apparently joining DU this afternoon to continue this discussion.
Response to wyldwolf (Reply #57)
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wyldwolf
(43,870 posts)You don't have the numbers you don't have anything. And remember IP addressed can be very telling...
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)Fred Sanders
(23,946 posts)sufrommich
(22,871 posts)over again is fake. Why do you suppose none of these internet sites ever publish these polls as scientific data?
R B Garr
(16,985 posts)I was not able to vote my estimated 60 times per hour for Clinton because we were driving back from a family visit and had to listen in the car.
So I only bothered to vote 3 times in one poll and got bored.
But do enjoy yourselves! clickety click click
DanTex
(20,709 posts)As long as it tells you what you want to hear, enjoy!
MineralMan
(146,333 posts)I consider them worthless.
brooklynite
(94,745 posts)...Sanders' goal is not to get votes; he has to get votes FROM CLINTON. She's above 55% so he has to peel away a fair number from her. If you're a Clinton supporter who became disenchanted with her performance, you MIGHT decided to shift to Sanders (or maybe give him consideration) but you won't rush out after the Debate to find an online poll to vote in.
Nobody disputes that Sanders' supporters are enthusiastic. The problem is that there aren't enough of them.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Everyone (including you) knows that clickety-clickety supporters and automated scripts don't translate into a proportional number of votes.
But, in fairness, I do understand how the results of unreliable and easily manipulated online polls can be a great comfort to Bernie's fans. I feel for you, I really do. It can't be easy for anyone's supporters to remain optimistic in the face of such odds. Week after week, poll after poll, trendline after trendline, endorsement after endorsement ... ALL showing Hillary Clinton ahead ... all showing Bernie's stagnation (polls) and being behind (endorsements & delegates). Even if Bernie managed to get ALL of the undecided voters, and ALL of O'Malley's supporters, it STILL wouldn't be enough to overcome Hillary. That's got to be a bitter pill to swallow.
I'm eager to see the individual poll results (from respectable polling organizations) and the overall trends (from multiple poll results). I know that I'll be pleased, and I'll try not to gloat too much.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)Increase click on a web site in order to increase advertising revenue.
Oh, and they are a colossal waste of time and effort.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)know useless clickbait when they see it.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)mythology
(9,527 posts)Online unscientific polling is useless. You can't include it in with scientific polls as they aren't the same.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)brooklynite
(94,745 posts)...who remain totally untouched by polling or other means of measurement...
...how do you know if there are enough? And if they're registered? And if Sanders has a turnout mechanism to get them to the polls?
I'm sure you imagine that there will a transcendentally large political movement that makes itself known when voting starts and will fundamentally change politics in America. So did the Dean and Paul supporters.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)... besides those currently committed to Hillary. These are the potential voters that Hillary will never be able to motivate to the polls (the real ones).
brooklynite
(94,745 posts)...in which case the polling results could be perfectly accurate.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)I have no faith in any poll unless I can examine the questions, methodology, sample composition, etc.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)Why do Sanders voters vote in online polls but Clinton supporters don't?
I do not think it is stuffing the ballot box alone because Clinton supporters have every option to do the same. Given there are more Clinton supporters and given we can assume they are enthusiastic they should be able to overwhelm online polls. But they don't.
I think the real thing that explains the difference is generational. Sanders attracts younger and more net savvy voters. Clinton attracts traditional and older voters. I think that explains the difference better than voting twice and thrice as oft lobbed.
brooklynite
(94,745 posts)...and by reality I mean the real world of turning out real voters. Clicking on internet polls accomplishes nothing and changes no minds. At best, it makes the "voter" feel good. So why bother?
(you weren't here in 2004, but there was a huge movement to vote in every internet poll after each Bush-Kerry debate. What impact did it have? None.)
As a point of reference, I'm a strong supporter of Clinton; I've maxed out to her campaign and am hosting staff at my house. And I don't vote in internet polls -- except last night when I voted for Clinton THREE times, having not seen the debate at all, to make a point about how meaningless they are.
artislife
(9,497 posts)I am pretty positive, though I have no scientific back up, that you have not converted one person to h's side.
brooklynite
(94,745 posts)...I convert people in the real world, not the blogosphere.
artislife
(9,497 posts)Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)I didnt even vote online lol.
MADem
(135,425 posts)they are an image of reality.
The problem with the people who "clear cache/rinse/repeat" these polls is that they don't know how to gild a lily. They skew the data with the clumsy hands and wishful thinking skills of a preschooler. The inability to use a deft, quasi-believable touch makes the interference obvious and laughable--kind of like a North Korean election.
You keep on believing, though!
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Like, not even the same class of thing. They tell you one thing: how many people were willing to click on a button at that moment. That information isn't so much "wrong" as "useless".
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)Scroll down, left side
http://www.wapt.com/
"Is $15 an hour a fair wage for fast-food workers?"
currently 15% yes, 85% no
Or should the results of this scientific poll be given more weight?
Read more at http://national.deseretnews.com/article/6439/The-public-supports-a-15-minimum-wage-2-is-it-realistic.html#XHho2vVR0QzvFIQy.99
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)The poll results are not contradictory, though they may seem that way at first.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)in the public mind.
Look, there is little doubt that Bernie scares the beejeebus out of these establishment pols and talking heads. I personally have little doubt there will be election tampering during the primary election too, and that the Ohio vote on mj reform was a but a convenient trial run of their capability in that regard. The establishment will pull out all the stops to defend and protect their way of life from a politician who would dare seek to end their near complete control over DC, and to restore fairness and honesty to our government.
dsc
(52,166 posts)I had a scale that told me I lost 5 pounds in 2 days. It was broken so I got rid of it. I didn't say I lost 5 pounds in 2 days even though I would have loved for that to be true.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)Opt in online polls are the most accurate of polls, except for those of your friends on facebook.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)When all those online polls show the Republican winning.
Self select online "polls" are worthless.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)Landlines, previous primary voters, age selection criteria and on and on make the "scientific" polls just as suspect as internet polls.
Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)We see it right here in DU, silly empty comments by posters who are essentially trolls.
You know them by the content and value of their posts and responses to the posts of others. When someone from this group responds to comments that lean strongly liberal it is generally a simple minded insult or meaningless topic moving statement.
seaglass
(8,173 posts)Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)lot of money on the accuracy of the results.
thesquanderer
(11,993 posts)There are some internet polls that are scientific.
The issue is scientific vs. non-scientific polls.
Scientific polls provide useful information. They have a margin of error, and confidence levels, because there is scientific methodology to them, including (but not limited to) random selection of the pool of participants.
Another way to look at it is, if the methodology does not yield a margin of error figure, than in effect, the margin of error is the entire result.