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reformist2

(9,841 posts)
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 10:45 AM Nov 2015

As far as I'm concerned, there is nothing wrong with considering internet polls.


Mind you, I did not say they are perfectly accurate, or that they are better than so-called "scientifically conducted" polls.

What I am saying is that this weird prejudice against online polling is unwarranted and unjustified. Especially when you have hundreds of thousands of people participating in them. Especially when they keep producing similar results over and over. Far from being reasonable, the people who dismiss all of these polls with a chuckle and the wave of the hand are the ones being delusional.
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As far as I'm concerned, there is nothing wrong with considering internet polls. (Original Post) reformist2 Nov 2015 OP
Let's say I have an agenda. And there is an online poll testing the agenda... wyldwolf Nov 2015 #1
Not to mention a script to multi-click an internet poll is one of the simplest to create. MohRokTah Nov 2015 #3
Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2015 #53
You mean sort of like when PPP TM99 Nov 2015 #13
I don't mean that at all wyldwolf Nov 2015 #27
Then a blatant hypocritical point TM99 Nov 2015 #29
nope, not that either. wyldwolf Nov 2015 #30
Yes, totally that! TM99 Nov 2015 #35
It would be like this wyldwolf Nov 2015 #36
Yes, they are equivalent TM99 Nov 2015 #40
it's false equivalence wyldwolf Nov 2015 #41
No, not at all. TM99 Nov 2015 #42
yes, total false equivalence wyldwolf Nov 2015 #44
There you go again TM99 Nov 2015 #46
So disagreeing with you = fingers in the ear? wyldwolf Nov 2015 #47
It is when you refuse to accept the facts. TM99 Nov 2015 #48
It's you refusing to accept the facts. wyldwolf Nov 2015 #49
Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2015 #54
ALL online polls are debunked, hence the false equivalence wyldwolf Nov 2015 #55
Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2015 #56
the PPP poll wasn't an online Poll wyldwolf Nov 2015 #57
Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2015 #60
No one said you did wyldwolf Nov 2015 #61
, MohRokTah Nov 2015 #2
Ditto! Sometimes DU just makes one laugh! Fred Sanders Nov 2015 #5
Any poll that allows one person to vote over and sufrommich Nov 2015 #4
LOL R B Garr Nov 2015 #6
There's also nothing wrong with considering the Magic 8-ball. DanTex Nov 2015 #7
I consider them. MineralMan Nov 2015 #8
Here's the immediate problem... brooklynite Nov 2015 #9
Excellent. NurseJackie Nov 2015 #10
Apparently there aren't enough enthusiastic Hillary supporters to win even one online poll. reformist2 Nov 2015 #12
In scientific polls, people are interviewed just once. On election day, people can vote just once. NurseJackie Nov 2015 #19
Hillary supporters realize the purpose of online polls is to... MohRokTah Nov 2015 #21
There aren't enough Hillary supporters who don't sufrommich Nov 2015 #26
She's at 55% according to landline polls. Include internet polls and her lead isn't nearly as big. reformist2 Nov 2015 #11
And if you include the martian vote, Sanders is light years ahead mythology Nov 2015 #20
He does NOT need to get votes from Clinton ... Scuba Nov 2015 #23
If, as you claim, there is a massive storehouse of voters ready to vote for Sanders... brooklynite Nov 2015 #39
I made no such claim, which does not diminish the FACT that there's plenty of votes to be had ... Scuba Nov 2015 #45
So you have no evidence or data that the disaffected voters will come out... brooklynite Nov 2015 #50
My point, which stands, is that Bernie does not need to peel away Hillary fans to win. Scuba Nov 2015 #51
you make good points but my question is... Bread and Circus Nov 2015 #37
Perhaps Clinton supporters BEING older makes them more "reality" based... brooklynite Nov 2015 #38
Why bother to post on the internet? artislife Nov 2015 #52
As I've said before, that's not my goal... brooklynite Nov 2015 #58
Yes, with your wittiness and money...or money..nt artislife Nov 2015 #59
that's what I said without your snarkyness Bread and Circus Nov 2015 #63
There's nothing wrong with Saturday morning cartoons either, but I do not, for a moment, think that MADem Nov 2015 #14
They are miles worse than scientific polls Recursion Nov 2015 #15
Even this one? Rose Siding Nov 2015 #16
Those two results are not contradictory. JonLeibowitz Nov 2015 #31
huh? online 15% favor, scientific poll 63% favor Rose Siding Nov 2015 #32
One can think that $15 is too low for a fair wage & want to raise it to $15 as a first step JonLeibowitz Nov 2015 #34
Because they run 100% counter to the false narrative they are trying to implant NorthCarolina Nov 2015 #17
online polls are voodoo plain and simple dsc Nov 2015 #18
I would go further DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #22
You remember that next Fall... Adrahil Nov 2015 #24
Many (most?) polls are designed to influence opinion, not measure it. Scuba Nov 2015 #25
Sure, the conservatives have tribes of paid comment typers and voters, go right along with it. Todays_Illusion Nov 2015 #28
I'm guessing you never took a class in Statistics. n/t seaglass Nov 2015 #33
There is nothing wrong with reading bird entrails (haruspicy) either, but I wouldn't want to bet a Attorney in Texas Nov 2015 #43
The issue isn't internet vs. non-internet polls thesquanderer Nov 2015 #62

wyldwolf

(43,870 posts)
1. Let's say I have an agenda. And there is an online poll testing the agenda...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 10:52 AM
Nov 2015

...and I marshall all my people to overwhelm the online poll and vote in my favor.

You see nothing wrong with that?

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
3. Not to mention a script to multi-click an internet poll is one of the simplest to create.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 10:56 AM
Nov 2015

It's not difficult at all to rack up thousands of the same vote from the same machine in a very short time period.

Response to MohRokTah (Reply #3)

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
13. You mean sort of like when PPP
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:12 AM
Nov 2015

does a bogus poll sponsored by the Clinton Super PAC On the Record?

Pretty much the same - one involves the potential for gaming the poll with chosen individuals and the other involves the potential for gaming the poll with moneyed interests.

wyldwolf

(43,870 posts)
36. It would be like this
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 02:21 PM
Nov 2015

Someone points to a online poll to prove global science doesn't exist VS pointing to a study commissioned by an environmental group to prove it does exist. They're both dubious but to declare they're the same is gross false equivalence.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
40. Yes, they are equivalent
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 02:45 PM
Nov 2015

because the methodology was flawed in the commissioned poll. One of your fellow Clinton supporters, a statistical analyst, has already fully and thoroughly debunked it. Therefore, we are indeed comparing apples to apples - two unscientific polls that prove nothing in reality except what one chooses to believe.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
42. No, not at all.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 03:10 PM
Nov 2015

Both are unscientific, skewed, and therefore invalid.

You can put your fingers in your ears and go 'na na na na' all you want but it won't change reality.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
48. It is when you refuse to accept the facts.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 04:23 PM
Nov 2015

Oldest enough to know that you belong on an Ignore list instead of attempting to engage with on these forums.

Response to wyldwolf (Reply #49)

Response to wyldwolf (Reply #55)

wyldwolf

(43,870 posts)
57. the PPP poll wasn't an online Poll
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 06:25 PM
Nov 2015

Sanders supporters freep then quote every online poll. therefore, you have nothing to show - except apparently joining DU this afternoon to continue this discussion.

Response to wyldwolf (Reply #57)

wyldwolf

(43,870 posts)
61. No one said you did
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 06:42 PM
Nov 2015

You don't have the numbers you don't have anything. And remember IP addressed can be very telling...

sufrommich

(22,871 posts)
4. Any poll that allows one person to vote over and
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 10:56 AM
Nov 2015

over again is fake. Why do you suppose none of these internet sites ever publish these polls as scientific data?

R B Garr

(16,985 posts)
6. LOL
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 10:59 AM
Nov 2015

I was not able to vote my estimated 60 times per hour for Clinton because we were driving back from a family visit and had to listen in the car.

So I only bothered to vote 3 times in one poll and got bored.

But do enjoy yourselves! clickety click click

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
7. There's also nothing wrong with considering the Magic 8-ball.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 10:59 AM
Nov 2015

As long as it tells you what you want to hear, enjoy!

brooklynite

(94,745 posts)
9. Here's the immediate problem...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:00 AM
Nov 2015

...Sanders' goal is not to get votes; he has to get votes FROM CLINTON. She's above 55% so he has to peel away a fair number from her. If you're a Clinton supporter who became disenchanted with her performance, you MIGHT decided to shift to Sanders (or maybe give him consideration) but you won't rush out after the Debate to find an online poll to vote in.

Nobody disputes that Sanders' supporters are enthusiastic. The problem is that there aren't enough of them.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
10. Excellent.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:08 AM
Nov 2015
Nobody disputes that Sanders' supporters are enthusiastic. The problem is that there aren't enough of them.


NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
19. In scientific polls, people are interviewed just once. On election day, people can vote just once.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:25 AM
Nov 2015

Everyone (including you) knows that clickety-clickety supporters and automated scripts don't translate into a proportional number of votes.

But, in fairness, I do understand how the results of unreliable and easily manipulated online polls can be a great comfort to Bernie's fans. I feel for you, I really do. It can't be easy for anyone's supporters to remain optimistic in the face of such odds. Week after week, poll after poll, trendline after trendline, endorsement after endorsement ... ALL showing Hillary Clinton ahead ... all showing Bernie's stagnation (polls) and being behind (endorsements & delegates). Even if Bernie managed to get ALL of the undecided voters, and ALL of O'Malley's supporters, it STILL wouldn't be enough to overcome Hillary. That's got to be a bitter pill to swallow.

I'm eager to see the individual poll results (from respectable polling organizations) and the overall trends (from multiple poll results). I know that I'll be pleased, and I'll try not to gloat too much.

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
21. Hillary supporters realize the purpose of online polls is to...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:28 AM
Nov 2015

Increase click on a web site in order to increase advertising revenue.

Oh, and they are a colossal waste of time and effort.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
20. And if you include the martian vote, Sanders is light years ahead
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:27 AM
Nov 2015

Online unscientific polling is useless. You can't include it in with scientific polls as they aren't the same.

brooklynite

(94,745 posts)
39. If, as you claim, there is a massive storehouse of voters ready to vote for Sanders...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 02:44 PM
Nov 2015

...who remain totally untouched by polling or other means of measurement...

...how do you know if there are enough? And if they're registered? And if Sanders has a turnout mechanism to get them to the polls?

I'm sure you imagine that there will a transcendentally large political movement that makes itself known when voting starts and will fundamentally change politics in America. So did the Dean and Paul supporters.

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
45. I made no such claim, which does not diminish the FACT that there's plenty of votes to be had ...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 04:19 PM
Nov 2015

... besides those currently committed to Hillary. These are the potential voters that Hillary will never be able to motivate to the polls (the real ones).

brooklynite

(94,745 posts)
50. So you have no evidence or data that the disaffected voters will come out...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 04:27 PM
Nov 2015

...in which case the polling results could be perfectly accurate.

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
51. My point, which stands, is that Bernie does not need to peel away Hillary fans to win.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 05:53 PM
Nov 2015

I have no faith in any poll unless I can examine the questions, methodology, sample composition, etc.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
37. you make good points but my question is...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 02:31 PM
Nov 2015

Why do Sanders voters vote in online polls but Clinton supporters don't?

I do not think it is stuffing the ballot box alone because Clinton supporters have every option to do the same. Given there are more Clinton supporters and given we can assume they are enthusiastic they should be able to overwhelm online polls. But they don't.

I think the real thing that explains the difference is generational. Sanders attracts younger and more net savvy voters. Clinton attracts traditional and older voters. I think that explains the difference better than voting twice and thrice as oft lobbed.

brooklynite

(94,745 posts)
38. Perhaps Clinton supporters BEING older makes them more "reality" based...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 02:37 PM
Nov 2015

...and by reality I mean the real world of turning out real voters. Clicking on internet polls accomplishes nothing and changes no minds. At best, it makes the "voter" feel good. So why bother?

(you weren't here in 2004, but there was a huge movement to vote in every internet poll after each Bush-Kerry debate. What impact did it have? None.)

As a point of reference, I'm a strong supporter of Clinton; I've maxed out to her campaign and am hosting staff at my house. And I don't vote in internet polls -- except last night when I voted for Clinton THREE times, having not seen the debate at all, to make a point about how meaningless they are.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
52. Why bother to post on the internet?
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 05:55 PM
Nov 2015

I am pretty positive, though I have no scientific back up, that you have not converted one person to h's side.

brooklynite

(94,745 posts)
58. As I've said before, that's not my goal...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 06:27 PM
Nov 2015

...I convert people in the real world, not the blogosphere.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
14. There's nothing wrong with Saturday morning cartoons either, but I do not, for a moment, think that
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:14 AM
Nov 2015

they are an image of reality.

The problem with the people who "clear cache/rinse/repeat" these polls is that they don't know how to gild a lily. They skew the data with the clumsy hands and wishful thinking skills of a preschooler. The inability to use a deft, quasi-believable touch makes the interference obvious and laughable--kind of like a North Korean election.

You keep on believing, though!

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
15. They are miles worse than scientific polls
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:19 AM
Nov 2015

Like, not even the same class of thing. They tell you one thing: how many people were willing to click on a button at that moment. That information isn't so much "wrong" as "useless".

Rose Siding

(32,623 posts)
16. Even this one?
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:20 AM
Nov 2015

Scroll down, left side

http://www.wapt.com/

"Is $15 an hour a fair wage for fast-food workers?"
currently 15% yes, 85% no


Or should the results of this scientific poll be given more weight?

snipped>A poll earlier this year by Hart Research Associates found that 63 percent of the country favors raising the national minimum wage to $15 by 2020.

Read more at http://national.deseretnews.com/article/6439/The-public-supports-a-15-minimum-wage-2-is-it-realistic.html#XHho2vVR0QzvFIQy.99

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
34. One can think that $15 is too low for a fair wage & want to raise it to $15 as a first step
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 01:04 PM
Nov 2015

The poll results are not contradictory, though they may seem that way at first.

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
17. Because they run 100% counter to the false narrative they are trying to implant
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:23 AM
Nov 2015

in the public mind.

Look, there is little doubt that Bernie scares the beejeebus out of these establishment pols and talking heads. I personally have little doubt there will be election tampering during the primary election too, and that the Ohio vote on mj reform was a but a convenient trial run of their capability in that regard. The establishment will pull out all the stops to defend and protect their way of life from a politician who would dare seek to end their near complete control over DC, and to restore fairness and honesty to our government.

dsc

(52,166 posts)
18. online polls are voodoo plain and simple
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:24 AM
Nov 2015

I had a scale that told me I lost 5 pounds in 2 days. It was broken so I got rid of it. I didn't say I lost 5 pounds in 2 days even though I would have loved for that to be true.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
22. I would go further
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:29 AM
Nov 2015

Opt in online polls are the most accurate of polls, except for those of your friends on facebook.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
24. You remember that next Fall...
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:31 AM
Nov 2015

When all those online polls show the Republican winning.

Self select online "polls" are worthless.

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
25. Many (most?) polls are designed to influence opinion, not measure it.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:32 AM
Nov 2015

Landlines, previous primary voters, age selection criteria and on and on make the "scientific" polls just as suspect as internet polls.

Todays_Illusion

(1,209 posts)
28. Sure, the conservatives have tribes of paid comment typers and voters, go right along with it.
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 11:49 AM
Nov 2015

We see it right here in DU, silly empty comments by posters who are essentially trolls.
You know them by the content and value of their posts and responses to the posts of others. When someone from this group responds to comments that lean strongly liberal it is generally a simple minded insult or meaningless topic moving statement.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
43. There is nothing wrong with reading bird entrails (haruspicy) either, but I wouldn't want to bet a
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 03:11 PM
Nov 2015

lot of money on the accuracy of the results.

thesquanderer

(11,993 posts)
62. The issue isn't internet vs. non-internet polls
Sun Nov 15, 2015, 06:55 PM
Nov 2015

There are some internet polls that are scientific.

The issue is scientific vs. non-scientific polls.

Scientific polls provide useful information. They have a margin of error, and confidence levels, because there is scientific methodology to them, including (but not limited to) random selection of the pool of participants.

Another way to look at it is, if the methodology does not yield a margin of error figure, than in effect, the margin of error is the entire result.

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