2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLatest HuffPost/Pollster New Hampshire chart showing Hillary climbing and Bernie sinking
Customized
-- Date range: 5/1/2015 to present
-- Less smoothing option
-- All polls
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-presidential-democratic-caucus#!mindate=2015-05-01&smoothing=less&estimate=custom
New Hampshire is probably Bernie's strongest state besides Vermont so this is pretty much the nail in the coffin if trend continues.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)twitter action.
moobu2
(4,822 posts)last night didn't change anything that would help him either and that by itself might have hurt him. I think Bernie's done.
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)kristopher
(29,798 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Its fine if you think there are outlier polls.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The media reports will have more effect and they seem to be more leaning towards Clinton doing well.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)Thank you in advance.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Football instead? And of those the small number who will exceed their typical 3 minutes of news a day to listen to an ABC summary of the debate? You bet.
LOL, though, in case you were joking.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)EOM
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Are those informing voices whispering, "Go, GOP!"?
I would love to believe as you do. As it is, I need to take frequent looks at what today's conservatives have become to be reassured of how much better citizens we are at our worst.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)I think I will hang my hat on the scientific polling:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251812304
cosmicone
(11,014 posts)while participating in online polls till the skin on their fingers was raw.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)EOM
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)You do realize Gravis is likely the worst pollster?
Persondem
(1,936 posts)discounted, it's that one poll that had Sanders ahead by 15.
jfern
(5,204 posts)I suppose you believed that Jim Webb had 13% nationwide after Gravis had him at that in a poll? Give it up, Gravis is total crap.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)This is the statement in question.
"Gravis is total crap. "
jfern
(5,204 posts)But don't worry, they have plenty of other absurd polls. Why are most of their polls only 1 day anyways? Good pollsters usually have at least 3 days.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)They did have a poll from early Oct. that had Bernie ahead in NH. Was that a "shitty poll" as well?
It's really just about the trend of the aggregated of recent polls. Clinton has been gaining ground after her good month in Oct. It only makes sense that most polls now would have her in the lead in NH, and they do. Gravis is just 1 of 4 recent polls that see it that way. You can whine all you want.
jfern
(5,204 posts)Gravis is shitty no matter who is ahead. The other polls show a close race.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)One poll shouldn't skew it that much.
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)You posted the National page
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)I've done similar.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)Nobody can run scripts to rack up 100,000 votes for Sanders in these polls!
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)I read that he said Iowa is "must win". What can he do if NH is lost as well?
RandySF
(59,250 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Canvassing, phone banks, visibility.
I'm not about to stop.